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SCENARIO DECISION GOVERNANCE

Decision threshold for Machine presence could scale from instruments to settlement-like infrastructure

A bounded local decision-use, rollback, policy-use, or disagreement record that remains NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION and NOT_A_FORECAST.

Entity ID
EVI-SDT-021
Status
DECISION_THRESHOLD
Authority
Strategic Modeling Directorate
Data period
Version 2.26.0
Last reviewed

Record facts

id
EVI-SDT-021
slug
threshold-antarctic-machine-civilization-simulation-021-21
recordClass
DECISION_THRESHOLD
title
Decision threshold for Machine presence could scale from instruments to settlement-like infrastructure
sourceRecordIds
  • EVI-CAL-021
  • EVI-SRF-021
decisionUseState
INFORMATIVE_ONLY
deterministicRule
May be used only to organize questions and dependencies; no decision output is authorized.
probabilityDistributionUsed
false
worldObservationState
NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION
forecastState
NOT_A_FORECAST
automaticLawOrPolicyEffect
false
automaticOperationalAuthority
false
currentCapabilityClaimed
false
evidenceRequired
  • declared units and scope
  • current source class
  • independent corroboration where relied upon
  • falsification condition
  • authority record for any real decision
rollbackRule
Restore the predecessor model digest and all affected edge states only after verifying the predecessor, bounded scope, and no overwrite of later independent records.
reviewed
2026-08-09
truthBoundary
Local deterministic model governance only. No world event was observed, no probability was estimated, no forecast was validated, and no policy or operational authority was created.
nodeId
EVI-CAL-021
robustnessFindingId
EVI-SRF-021
timeHorizon
LONG_PHYSICAL_LAG_MONTHS_TO_DECADES
variableClass
Antarctic logistics, law, power, and self-sufficiency
orderConstraint
Evaluate declared dependencies before EVI-CAL-021; do not infer missing predecessors.
intervalConstraint
No numeric interval is invented; any interval must come from a named source record.
falsificationConditions
  • Treaty objection
  • environmental harm
  • supply failure
decisionQuestion
What bounded conclusion, if any, remains supportable for compute and energy demand?
recordSha256
2c9378e360e72317f4b2a090c5131de25ba64dbb3a0f484984d0571843145af3

Machine record

The complete structured record, including any long source passage or exact comparison text omitted from this compact page, remains available through the corresponding API collection and canonical JSON asset.

Truth boundary

Local deterministic model governance only. No world event was observed, no probability was estimated, no forecast was validated, and no policy or operational authority was created.