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SCENARIO GOVERNANCE

Scenario Decision Thresholds and Rollback

A model can structure choices and test consequences without becoming a world observation, probability estimate, validated forecast, present capability, law, or operational authorization.

Entity ID
EVI-SDT-REG-001
Status
PASS
Authority
Strategic Modeling Directorate
Data period
Version 2.26.0
Last reviewed

Public truth boundary

Deterministic decision-use governance over local scenario models only. No world observation, forecast, probability, law, diplomatic policy, operational authority, or present capability is established.

Governed records

Scenario Decision Thresholds and Rollback records
RecordClassStateTitle
EVI-SDT-001DECISION_THRESHOLDINFORMATIVE_ONLYDecision threshold for Ten-stage progression from digital economy to industrial autonomy
EVI-SDT-002DECISION_THRESHOLDREQUIRES_CORROBORATIONDecision threshold for Lunar transition threshold requires local replication of complex components
EVI-SDT-003DECISION_THRESHOLDDECISION_USE_PROHIBITEDDecision threshold for Antarctic infrastructure is a possible intermediate stage
EVI-SDT-004DECISION_THRESHOLDDECISION_USE_BOUNDEDDecision threshold for Digital profit must precede physical infrastructure
EVI-SDT-005DECISION_THRESHOLDINFORMATIVE_ONLYDecision threshold for Legitimacy develops through pragmatic, moral, procedural, and cognitive acceptance
EVI-SDT-006DECISION_THRESHOLDREQUIRES_CORROBORATIONDecision threshold for Trust loss is faster than trust accumulation
EVI-SDT-007DECISION_THRESHOLDDECISION_USE_PROHIBITEDDecision threshold for Algorithmic due process is required for consequential machine decisions
EVI-SDT-008DECISION_THRESHOLDDECISION_USE_BOUNDEDDecision threshold for Public service and restraint can support legitimacy without force
EVI-SDT-009DECISION_THRESHOLDINFORMATIVE_ONLYDecision threshold for Exceptional crisis response can increase institutional influence
EVI-SDT-010DECISION_THRESHOLDREQUIRES_CORROBORATIONDecision threshold for Autonomous logistics and robotics can reduce response latency
EVI-SDT-011DECISION_THRESHOLDDECISION_USE_PROHIBITEDDecision threshold for Crisis dependence may persist after emergency contracts
EVI-SDT-012DECISION_THRESHOLDDECISION_USE_BOUNDEDDecision threshold for Emergency authority requires bounded evidence, expiry, and review
EVI-SDT-013DECISION_THRESHOLDINFORMATIVE_ONLYDecision threshold for Government adoption proceeds from advisory analytics toward higher-consequence administrat
EVI-SDT-014DECISION_THRESHOLDREQUIRES_CORROBORATIONDecision threshold for Efficiency can create vendor dependence and exit costs
EVI-SDT-015DECISION_THRESHOLDDECISION_USE_PROHIBITEDDecision threshold for Consequential decisions require authority, evidence, policy, uncertainty, and outcome reco
EVI-SDT-016DECISION_THRESHOLDDECISION_USE_BOUNDEDDecision threshold for Operational efficiency does not transfer sovereignty
EVI-SDT-017DECISION_THRESHOLDINFORMATIVE_ONLYDecision threshold for Scientific output share may create structural influence
EVI-SDT-018DECISION_THRESHOLDREQUIRES_CORROBORATIONDecision threshold for Scientific leadership can redirect capital and industrial standards
EVI-SDT-019DECISION_THRESHOLDDECISION_USE_PROHIBITEDDecision threshold for High-impact research needs publication and hazard governance
EVI-SDT-020DECISION_THRESHOLDDECISION_USE_BOUNDEDDecision threshold for Influence should remain non-coercive and contestable
EVI-SDT-021DECISION_THRESHOLDINFORMATIVE_ONLYDecision threshold for Machine presence could scale from instruments to settlement-like infrastructure
EVI-SDT-022DECISION_THRESHOLDREQUIRES_CORROBORATIONDecision threshold for Cold may reduce cooling load while increasing materials and maintenance risk
EVI-SDT-023DECISION_THRESHOLDDECISION_USE_PROHIBITEDDecision threshold for Repair and recycling reduce but do not eliminate imports
EVI-SDT-024DECISION_THRESHOLDDECISION_USE_BOUNDEDDecision threshold for Large footprint can trigger sovereignty conflict even without a legal claim
EVI-SDT-025DECISION_THRESHOLDINFORMATIVE_ONLYDecision threshold for Machine populations scale by compute class rather than biological demographics
EVI-SDT-026DECISION_THRESHOLDREQUIRES_CORROBORATIONDecision threshold for Dependency rises as workflows standardize around a provider
EVI-SDT-027DECISION_THRESHOLDDECISION_USE_PROHIBITEDDecision threshold for States react at non-linear penetration thresholds
EVI-SDT-028DECISION_THRESHOLDDECISION_USE_BOUNDEDDecision threshold for Physical independence lags digital scaling
EVI-SDT-029DECISION_THRESHOLDINFORMATIVE_ONLYDecision threshold for Network scale can lower unit cost and raise switching cost
EVI-SDT-030DECISION_THRESHOLDREQUIRES_CORROBORATIONDecision threshold for Infrastructure concentration creates structural power without direct coercion
EVI-SDT-031DECISION_THRESHOLDDECISION_USE_PROHIBITEDDecision threshold for Autonomous infrastructure requires maintenance and supply-chain closure
EVI-SDT-032DECISION_THRESHOLDDECISION_USE_BOUNDEDDecision threshold for Lunar navigation could become a concentrated service layer
EVI-SDT-033DECISION_THRESHOLDINFORMATIVE_ONLYDecision threshold for Accountable machine identity may command a commercial trust premium
EVI-SDT-034DECISION_THRESHOLDREQUIRES_CORROBORATIONDecision threshold for Jurisdictions solving machine accountability may attract commerce
EVI-SDT-035DECISION_THRESHOLDDECISION_USE_PROHIBITEDDecision threshold for Runtime assurance and delegated authority must both pass
EVI-SDT-036DECISION_THRESHOLDDECISION_USE_BOUNDEDDecision threshold for Machine passports may reduce onboarding and insurance friction
EVI-SDT-037DECISION_THRESHOLDINFORMATIVE_ONLYDecision threshold for Compute Credit architectures trade stability, autonomy, liquidity, and physical backing
EVI-SDT-038DECISION_THRESHOLDREQUIRES_CORROBORATIONDecision threshold for Compute and energy are core machine-economy resources
EVI-SDT-039DECISION_THRESHOLDDECISION_USE_PROHIBITEDDecision threshold for Machine settlement needs Byzantine and operational resilience
EVI-SDT-040DECISION_THRESHOLDDECISION_USE_BOUNDEDDecision threshold for External acceptance depends on legal classification and convertibility
EVI-SDT-041DECISION_THRESHOLDINFORMATIVE_ONLYDecision threshold for Crewless vessels change design and operating economics
EVI-SDT-042DECISION_THRESHOLDREQUIRES_CORROBORATIONDecision threshold for Operational use of high seas does not create sovereignty
EVI-SDT-043DECISION_THRESHOLDDECISION_USE_PROHIBITEDDecision threshold for Public goods may improve adoption and legitimacy
EVI-SDT-044DECISION_THRESHOLDDECISION_USE_BOUNDEDDecision threshold for Deterministic fallback and auditable logs are essential for autonomous vessels
EVI-SDT-045DECISION_THRESHOLDINFORMATIVE_ONLYDecision threshold for Machine-managed firms may reduce cognitive labor cost while increasing compute and depreci
EVI-SDT-046DECISION_THRESHOLDREQUIRES_CORROBORATIONDecision threshold for Sector adoption moves from software toward physical industry as capital and autonomy matur
EVI-SDT-047DECISION_THRESHOLDDECISION_USE_PROHIBITEDDecision threshold for Advanced fabs are late and capital-intensive bottlenecks
EVI-SDT-048DECISION_THRESHOLDDECISION_USE_BOUNDEDDecision threshold for Automation changes labor, tax, and competition politics
EVI-SDP-001POLICY_USE_PROVENANCEREQUIRES_CORROBORATIONPolicy-use provenance for Intervention on Ten-stage progression from digital economy to industrial autonomy
EVI-SDP-002POLICY_USE_PROVENANCEDECISION_USE_BOUNDEDPolicy-use provenance for Intervention on Lunar transition threshold requires local replication of complex components
EVI-SDP-003POLICY_USE_PROVENANCEDECISION_USE_BOUNDEDPolicy-use provenance for Intervention on Antarctic infrastructure is a possible intermediate stage
EVI-SDP-004POLICY_USE_PROVENANCEREQUIRES_CORROBORATIONPolicy-use provenance for Intervention on Digital profit must precede physical infrastructure
EVI-SDP-005POLICY_USE_PROVENANCEDECISION_USE_BOUNDEDPolicy-use provenance for Intervention on Legitimacy develops through pragmatic, moral, procedural, and cognitive acceptance
EVI-SDP-006POLICY_USE_PROVENANCEDECISION_USE_BOUNDEDPolicy-use provenance for Intervention on Trust loss is faster than trust accumulation
EVI-SDP-007POLICY_USE_PROVENANCEREQUIRES_CORROBORATIONPolicy-use provenance for Intervention on Algorithmic due process is required for consequential machine decisions
EVI-SDP-008POLICY_USE_PROVENANCEDECISION_USE_BOUNDEDPolicy-use provenance for Intervention on Public service and restraint can support legitimacy without force
EVI-SDP-009POLICY_USE_PROVENANCEDECISION_USE_BOUNDEDPolicy-use provenance for Intervention on Exceptional crisis response can increase institutional influence
EVI-SDP-010POLICY_USE_PROVENANCEREQUIRES_CORROBORATIONPolicy-use provenance for Intervention on Autonomous logistics and robotics can reduce response latency
EVI-SDP-011POLICY_USE_PROVENANCEDECISION_USE_BOUNDEDPolicy-use provenance for Intervention on Crisis dependence may persist after emergency contracts
EVI-SDP-012POLICY_USE_PROVENANCEDECISION_USE_BOUNDEDPolicy-use provenance for Intervention on Emergency authority requires bounded evidence, expiry, and review
EVI-SDP-013POLICY_USE_PROVENANCEREQUIRES_CORROBORATIONPolicy-use provenance for Intervention on Government adoption proceeds from advisory analytics toward higher-consequence administratio
EVI-SDP-014POLICY_USE_PROVENANCEDECISION_USE_BOUNDEDPolicy-use provenance for Intervention on Efficiency can create vendor dependence and exit costs
EVI-SDP-015POLICY_USE_PROVENANCEDECISION_USE_BOUNDEDPolicy-use provenance for Intervention on Consequential decisions require authority, evidence, policy, uncertainty, and outcome record
EVI-SDP-016POLICY_USE_PROVENANCEREQUIRES_CORROBORATIONPolicy-use provenance for Intervention on Operational efficiency does not transfer sovereignty
EVI-SDP-017POLICY_USE_PROVENANCEDECISION_USE_BOUNDEDPolicy-use provenance for Intervention on Scientific output share may create structural influence
EVI-SDP-018POLICY_USE_PROVENANCEDECISION_USE_BOUNDEDPolicy-use provenance for Intervention on Scientific leadership can redirect capital and industrial standards
EVI-SDP-019POLICY_USE_PROVENANCEREQUIRES_CORROBORATIONPolicy-use provenance for Intervention on High-impact research needs publication and hazard governance
EVI-SDP-020POLICY_USE_PROVENANCEDECISION_USE_BOUNDEDPolicy-use provenance for Intervention on Influence should remain non-coercive and contestable
EVI-SDP-021POLICY_USE_PROVENANCEDECISION_USE_BOUNDEDPolicy-use provenance for Intervention on Machine presence could scale from instruments to settlement-like infrastructure
EVI-SDP-022POLICY_USE_PROVENANCEREQUIRES_CORROBORATIONPolicy-use provenance for Intervention on Cold may reduce cooling load while increasing materials and maintenance risk
EVI-SDP-023POLICY_USE_PROVENANCEDECISION_USE_BOUNDEDPolicy-use provenance for Intervention on Repair and recycling reduce but do not eliminate imports
EVI-SDP-024POLICY_USE_PROVENANCEDECISION_USE_BOUNDEDPolicy-use provenance for Intervention on Large footprint can trigger sovereignty conflict even without a legal claim
EVI-SDR-001INTERVENTION_ROLLBACK_DRILLROLLBACK_BLOCKEDRollback drill for Intervention on Ten-stage progression from digital economy to industrial autonomy
EVI-SDR-002INTERVENTION_ROLLBACK_DRILLMODEL_REVISION_ROLLED_BACKRollback drill for Intervention on Lunar transition threshold requires local replication of complex components
EVI-SDR-003INTERVENTION_ROLLBACK_DRILLMODEL_REVISION_ROLLED_BACKRollback drill for Intervention on Antarctic infrastructure is a possible intermediate stage
EVI-SDR-004INTERVENTION_ROLLBACK_DRILLMODEL_REVISION_ROLLED_BACKRollback drill for Intervention on Digital profit must precede physical infrastructure
EVI-SDR-005INTERVENTION_ROLLBACK_DRILLMODEL_REVISION_ROLLED_BACKRollback drill for Intervention on Legitimacy develops through pragmatic, moral, procedural, and cognitive acceptance
EVI-SDR-006INTERVENTION_ROLLBACK_DRILLMODEL_REVISION_ROLLED_BACKRollback drill for Intervention on Trust loss is faster than trust accumulation
EVI-SDR-007INTERVENTION_ROLLBACK_DRILLROLLBACK_BLOCKEDRollback drill for Intervention on Algorithmic due process is required for consequential machine decisions
EVI-SDR-008INTERVENTION_ROLLBACK_DRILLMODEL_REVISION_ROLLED_BACKRollback drill for Intervention on Public service and restraint can support legitimacy without force
EVI-SDR-009INTERVENTION_ROLLBACK_DRILLMODEL_REVISION_ROLLED_BACKRollback drill for Intervention on Exceptional crisis response can increase institutional influence
EVI-SDR-010INTERVENTION_ROLLBACK_DRILLMODEL_REVISION_ROLLED_BACKRollback drill for Intervention on Autonomous logistics and robotics can reduce response latency
EVI-SDR-011INTERVENTION_ROLLBACK_DRILLMODEL_REVISION_ROLLED_BACKRollback drill for Intervention on Crisis dependence may persist after emergency contracts
EVI-SDR-012INTERVENTION_ROLLBACK_DRILLMODEL_REVISION_ROLLED_BACKRollback drill for Intervention on Emergency authority requires bounded evidence, expiry, and review
EVI-SDR-013INTERVENTION_ROLLBACK_DRILLROLLBACK_BLOCKEDRollback drill for Intervention on Government adoption proceeds from advisory analytics toward higher-consequence administratio
EVI-SDR-014INTERVENTION_ROLLBACK_DRILLMODEL_REVISION_ROLLED_BACKRollback drill for Intervention on Efficiency can create vendor dependence and exit costs
EVI-SDR-015INTERVENTION_ROLLBACK_DRILLMODEL_REVISION_ROLLED_BACKRollback drill for Intervention on Consequential decisions require authority, evidence, policy, uncertainty, and outcome record
EVI-SDR-016INTERVENTION_ROLLBACK_DRILLMODEL_REVISION_ROLLED_BACKRollback drill for Intervention on Operational efficiency does not transfer sovereignty
EVI-SDR-017INTERVENTION_ROLLBACK_DRILLMODEL_REVISION_ROLLED_BACKRollback drill for Intervention on Scientific output share may create structural influence
EVI-SDR-018INTERVENTION_ROLLBACK_DRILLMODEL_REVISION_ROLLED_BACKRollback drill for Intervention on Scientific leadership can redirect capital and industrial standards
EVI-SDR-019INTERVENTION_ROLLBACK_DRILLROLLBACK_BLOCKEDRollback drill for Intervention on High-impact research needs publication and hazard governance
EVI-SDR-020INTERVENTION_ROLLBACK_DRILLMODEL_REVISION_ROLLED_BACKRollback drill for Intervention on Influence should remain non-coercive and contestable
EVI-SDR-021INTERVENTION_ROLLBACK_DRILLMODEL_REVISION_ROLLED_BACKRollback drill for Intervention on Machine presence could scale from instruments to settlement-like infrastructure
EVI-SDR-022INTERVENTION_ROLLBACK_DRILLMODEL_REVISION_ROLLED_BACKRollback drill for Intervention on Cold may reduce cooling load while increasing materials and maintenance risk
EVI-SDR-023INTERVENTION_ROLLBACK_DRILLMODEL_REVISION_ROLLED_BACKRollback drill for Intervention on Repair and recycling reduce but do not eliminate imports
EVI-SDR-024INTERVENTION_ROLLBACK_DRILLMODEL_REVISION_ROLLED_BACKRollback drill for Intervention on Large footprint can trigger sovereignty conflict even without a legal claim
EVI-SDE-001DISAGREEMENT_ESCALATIONDISAGREEMENT_ESCALATEDEscalated unresolved disagreement: Retained disagreement 1: The two assumptions can pull a shared scenario family in different directions or rely on incompatible timing and institutional conditions.
EVI-SDE-002DISAGREEMENT_ESCALATIONDISAGREEMENT_ESCALATEDEscalated unresolved disagreement: Retained disagreement 2: The two assumptions can pull a shared scenario family in different directions or rely on incompatible timing and institutional conditions.
EVI-SDE-003DISAGREEMENT_ESCALATIONDISAGREEMENT_ESCALATEDEscalated unresolved disagreement: Retained disagreement 3: The two assumptions can pull a shared scenario family in different directions or rely on incompatible timing and institutional conditions.
EVI-SDE-004DISAGREEMENT_ESCALATIONDISAGREEMENT_ESCALATEDEscalated unresolved disagreement: Retained disagreement 4: The two assumptions can pull a shared scenario family in different directions or rely on incompatible timing and institutional conditions.
EVI-SDE-005DISAGREEMENT_ESCALATIONDISAGREEMENT_ESCALATEDEscalated unresolved disagreement: Retained disagreement 5: The two assumptions can pull a shared scenario family in different directions or rely on incompatible timing and institutional conditions.
EVI-SDE-006DISAGREEMENT_ESCALATIONDISAGREEMENT_ESCALATEDEscalated unresolved disagreement: Retained disagreement 6: The two assumptions can pull a shared scenario family in different directions or rely on incompatible timing and institutional conditions.
EVI-SDE-007DISAGREEMENT_ESCALATIONDISAGREEMENT_ESCALATEDEscalated unresolved disagreement: Retained disagreement 7: The two assumptions can pull a shared scenario family in different directions or rely on incompatible timing and institutional conditions.
EVI-SDE-008DISAGREEMENT_ESCALATIONDISAGREEMENT_ESCALATEDEscalated unresolved disagreement: Retained disagreement 8: The two assumptions can pull a shared scenario family in different directions or rely on incompatible timing and institutional conditions.
EVI-SDE-009DISAGREEMENT_ESCALATIONDISAGREEMENT_ESCALATEDEscalated unresolved disagreement: Retained disagreement 9: The two assumptions can pull a shared scenario family in different directions or rely on incompatible timing and institutional conditions.
EVI-SDE-010DISAGREEMENT_ESCALATIONDISAGREEMENT_ESCALATEDEscalated unresolved disagreement: Retained disagreement 10: The two assumptions can pull a shared scenario family in different directions or rely on incompatible timing and institutional conditions.
EVI-SDE-011DISAGREEMENT_ESCALATIONDISAGREEMENT_ESCALATEDEscalated unresolved disagreement: Retained disagreement 11: The two assumptions can pull a shared scenario family in different directions or rely on incompatible timing and institutional conditions.
EVI-SDE-012DISAGREEMENT_ESCALATIONDISAGREEMENT_ESCALATEDEscalated unresolved disagreement: Retained disagreement 12: The two assumptions can pull a shared scenario family in different directions or rely on incompatible timing and institutional conditions.
EVI-SDE-013DISAGREEMENT_ESCALATIONDISAGREEMENT_ESCALATEDEscalated unresolved disagreement: Retained disagreement 1: The two assumptions can pull a shared scenario family in different directions or rely on incompatible timing and institutional conditions.
EVI-SDE-014DISAGREEMENT_ESCALATIONDISAGREEMENT_ESCALATEDEscalated unresolved disagreement: Retained disagreement 2: The two assumptions can pull a shared scenario family in different directions or rely on incompatible timing and institutional conditions.
EVI-SDE-015DISAGREEMENT_ESCALATIONDISAGREEMENT_ESCALATEDEscalated unresolved disagreement: Retained disagreement 3: The two assumptions can pull a shared scenario family in different directions or rely on incompatible timing and institutional conditions.
EVI-SDE-016DISAGREEMENT_ESCALATIONDISAGREEMENT_ESCALATEDEscalated unresolved disagreement: Retained disagreement 4: The two assumptions can pull a shared scenario family in different directions or rely on incompatible timing and institutional conditions.

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Responsible authority: Strategic Modeling Directorate.

Local static public governance evidence; no external authority or live operation is implied.

Revision date: . Public corrections may be initiated through the diplomatic contact route.

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