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SCENARIO ROBUSTNESS FINDING

Lag classes diverge for EVI-CAL-007

Direct and second-order effects use different or unquantified lag classes. Sequence, overlap, and cancellation cannot be resolved from the present evidence.

Entity ID
EVI-SRF-052
Status
OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW
Authority
Scenario Governance Board and State Registry
Data period
Version 2.24.0
Last reviewed

Finding

Class
INCOMPATIBLE_TIME_HORIZON_OR_LAG
Severity
REVIEW
Resolution
OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW
Observation state
NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION
Forecast state
NOT_A_FORECAST

Direct and second-order effects use different or unquantified lag classes. Sequence, overlap, and cancellation cannot be resolved from the present evidence.

Deterministic evidence

  • EVI-UP-E-0013
  • EVI-UP-E-0014
  • LONGER_THAN_DIRECT_EFFECT; NOT_QUANTIFIED
  • VARIABLE_DIGITAL_AND_INSTITUTIONAL_LAG

Boundary and correction

Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.

Correction route

Authority and record status

Responsible authority: Scenario Governance Board and State Registry.

Local graph diagnostic; not an observation, forecast, or probability estimate.

Revision date: . Public corrections may be initiated through the diplomatic contact route.

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