Dependency profile
- Dependency owner
- Licensed launch states and plural operators
- Affected population
- Spacecraft operators, researchers, future residents
- Substitutability
- CONSTRAINED
- Switching cost
- HIGH
- Replacement time
- Scenario-specific; must be measured and tested, not assumed.
- Concentration level
- HIGH
- Non-Domination Test
- PASS_REQUIREMENTS_DEFINED
Abuse and failure paths
Abuse: Navigation monopoly, launch denial, orbital access coercion.
Failure: Launch failure, debris, radiation, communication loss.
Required exit and alternatives
Exit: Interoperable navigation, multiple launch providers, safe modes, debris duties.
Portability: Portable mission data, interfaces and ephemerides.
Interoperability: Open cislunar communications and navigation standards.
Independent alternative: Independent launch and navigation systems.
Emergency handback: Safe spacecraft state; preserve data; transfer to authorized mission control.
Disconfirming evidence
- Failed exit drill
- Unavailable independent alternative
- Retaliation for attempted exit
- Material portability gap
- Undisclosed common-mode dependency
Truth boundary
Static risk-governance record. It does not prove an operational service, market share, capacity, dependency, alternative, or successful exit drill.
Authority and record status
Responsible authority: Competent space authorities.
Static concentration-governance record; no operational alternative or exit drill is proven.
Revision date: . Public corrections may be initiated through the diplomatic contact route.