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SCENARIO ROBUSTNESS COMPARISON

Robustness comparison for EVI-CAL-003

ORDER_NOT_ROBUST_TO_DECLARED_UNCERTAINTY

Entity ID
EVI-SRC-003
Status
PASS
Authority
Scenario Governance Board and State Registry
Data period
Version 2.24.0
Last reviewed

Comparison

Perturbation
EVI-UP-P-003
Assumption
EVI-CAL-003
Baseline rank
3
Adjusted rank
5
Rank stable
False
Method
DETERMINISTIC_RANK_PENALTY_FOR_EXPLICIT_CONTRADICTION_AND_UNRESOLVED_INPUTS
Observation
NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION
Forecast
NOT_A_FORECAST

Changed outputs

  • {"boundedResult": "SENSITIVITY_CHANGED_NOT_FORECAST", "direction": "CONDITIONAL", "scenarioFamily": "Antarctic infrastructure"}
  • {"boundedResult": "SENSITIVITY_CHANGED_NOT_FORECAST", "direction": "CONDITIONAL", "scenarioFamily": "geopolitical reaction"}

Conclusion

ORDER_NOT_ROBUST_TO_DECLARED_UNCERTAINTY

Bounded deterministic comparison only. It does not provide a probability, forecast, observed effect, or capability claim.

Authority and record status

Responsible authority: Scenario Governance Board and State Registry.

Bounded deterministic comparison; no distribution, observation, or forecast is asserted.

Revision date: . Public corrections may be initiated through the diplomatic contact route.

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