Assumption definition
- Scenario family
- Earth–Moon expansion
- Variable class
- lunar or off-world expansion
- Time horizon
- LONG_PHYSICAL_LAG_MONTHS_TO_DECADES
- Source report
- REP-PANSPERMIA-LOOPS-001
Dependencies
- propulsion
- shielding
- power
- fault management
Unresolved inputs
- Current primary source for legal, technical, market, or standards claims
- Independent evidence matching the declared units and scope
- Method and uncertainty record
- Correction history and disconfirming evidence
- Authority record for any operational conclusion
Falsification evidence
- dust impact
- radiation
- power loss
Propagation edges
| Order | Target | Direction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| DIRECT | Earth–Moon expansion | MIXED_CONTEXT_DEPENDENT | BOUNDED_HIGH |
| SECOND_ORDER | geopolitical reaction | CONDITIONAL_PROPAGATION | LOW |
Truth boundary
Calibration node only. No observation, operational event, forecast validation, or present capability is asserted.
Authority and record status
Responsible authority: Scenario Governance Board.
Calibrated assumption only; no observation, forecast validation or capability claim.
Revision date: . Public corrections may be initiated through the diplomatic contact route.