Assumption definition
- Scenario family
- semiconductor closure
- Variable class
- semiconductor autonomy
- Time horizon
- LONG_PHYSICAL_LAG_MONTHS_TO_DECADES
- Source report
- REP-MACHINE-ECON-CORP-001
Dependencies
- lithography
- UPW
- chemicals
- talent
Unresolved inputs
- Current primary source for legal, technical, market, or standards claims
- Independent evidence matching the declared units and scope
- Method and uncertainty record
- Correction history and disconfirming evidence
- Authority record for any operational conclusion
Falsification evidence
- export controls
- yield failure
Propagation edges
| Order | Target | Direction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| DIRECT | semiconductor closure | DECREASES_PRESSURE | MEDIUM |
| SECOND_ORDER | corporate growth and capital formation | CONDITIONAL_PROPAGATION | LOW |
Truth boundary
Calibration node only. No observation, operational event, forecast validation, or present capability is asserted.
Authority and record status
Responsible authority: Scenario Governance Board.
Calibrated assumption only; no observation, forecast validation or capability claim.
Revision date: . Public corrections may be initiated through the diplomatic contact route.