Retained disagreement 9: The two assumptions can pull a shared scenario family in different directions or rely on incompatible timing and institutional conditions.

Provenance

Class

RETAINED_DISAGREEMENT

Original assumption

—

Direction

—

Horizon

—

State

DISAGREEMENT_UNRESOLVED

Observation

NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION

Forecast

NOT_A_FORECAST

Record hash

fefc05f2e97ce0013ceecc3c709dd38b05e638e15891e78fe3cef13e4c777241

Model effect

Available local evidence does not justify selecting one interpretation as a present-world fact.

None recorded.

None recorded.

Evidence and reversal

• Independent observation with a declared time horizon
• Source-diverse evidence that distinguishes direction and lag

Reversal or model action: Retain both models until evidence supports convergence.

Retained analytical disagreement. It is not indecision about a live operation and does not assert that either model describes the present world.