Retained disagreement 5: The two assumptions can pull a shared scenario family in different directions or rely on incompatible timing and institutional conditions.

Provenance

Class

RETAINED_DISAGREEMENT

Original assumption

—

Direction

—

Horizon

—

State

DISAGREEMENT_UNRESOLVED

Observation

NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION

Forecast

NOT_A_FORECAST

Record hash

82f1ea7bb05242d7e2b430353592127c0c68f995c25f04d93a2bbbdda0b9a481

Model effect

Available local evidence does not justify selecting one interpretation as a present-world fact.

None recorded.

None recorded.

Evidence and reversal

• Independent observation with a declared time horizon
• Source-diverse evidence that distinguishes direction and lag

Reversal or model action: Retain both models until evidence supports convergence.

Retained analytical disagreement. It is not indecision about a live operation and does not assert that either model describes the present world.