Changed assumption
Double radiator mass and halve repair success
Downstream effect
Delays or defeats local industrial closure even if launch and power generation remain available.
Falsification use
Use the comparison to identify which evidence would reverse or materially alter the downstream result.
Truth boundary
No lunar schedule is predicted.
Authority and record status
Responsible authority: Scenario governance and National Archive Authority.
Illustrative comparison only; no forecast or capability claim.
Revision date: . Public corrections may be initiated through the diplomatic contact route.