{ "schemaVersion": "eviulon-scenario-robustness-ledger-1.0", "version": "2.24.0", "generated": "2026-08-09", "status": "PASS", "sourceNodeCount": 74, "sourceEdgeCount": 148, "sourcePerturbationCount": 24, "findingCount": 99, "comparisonCount": 24, "findingClassCounts": { "CONTRADICTORY_DIRECTION_OF_EFFECT": 18, "DUPLICATED_ASSUMPTION": 4, "FALSIFICATION_COVERAGE": 3, "INCOMPATIBLE_TIME_HORIZON_OR_LAG": 8, "SENSITIVITY_RANK_INSTABILITY": 23, "SHARED_SINGLE_POINT_OF_ASSUMPTION": 12, "SOURCE_FAMILY_CONCENTRATION": 8, "STRONGLY_CONNECTED_COMPONENT": 15, "UNSUPPORTED_EDGE_CONFIDENCE": 8 }, "stronglyConnectedComponents": [ [ "legitimacy, concentration, and non-domination", "public-administration adoption" ], [ "corporate growth and capital formation" ], [ "geopolitical reaction" ], [ "Antarctic infrastructure" ], [ "Earth–Moon expansion" ], [ "digital-to-physical industrial progression" ], [ "autonomous maintenance maturity" ], [ "proliferation suspicion and strategic restraint" ], [ "civilian nuclear development" ], [ "compute and energy demand" ], [ "crisis response" ], [ "machine identity and economic trust" ], [ "maritime logistics" ], [ "scientific influence" ], [ "semiconductor closure" ] ], "findings": [ { "id": "EVI-SRF-001", "slug": "strongly-connected-component-1-causal-feedback-component-spanning-2-scenario-families", "findingClass": "STRONGLY_CONNECTED_COMPONENT", "title": "Causal feedback component spanning 2 scenario families", "summary": "The family-level graph contains a feedback component. Directional claims inside it cannot be interpreted as a one-way causal chain without additional timing and intervention evidence.", "evidence": [ "legitimacy, concentration, and non-domination", "public-administration adoption" ], "severity": "HIGH_REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/strongly-connected-component-1-causal-feedback-component-spanning-2-scenario-families/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-002", "slug": "strongly-connected-component-2-causal-feedback-component-spanning-1-scenario-families", "findingClass": "STRONGLY_CONNECTED_COMPONENT", "title": "Causal feedback component spanning 1 scenario families", "summary": "The family-level graph contains a feedback component. Directional claims inside it cannot be interpreted as a one-way causal chain without additional timing and intervention evidence.", "evidence": [ "corporate growth and capital formation" ], "severity": "HIGH_REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/strongly-connected-component-2-causal-feedback-component-spanning-1-scenario-families/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-003", "slug": "strongly-connected-component-3-causal-feedback-component-spanning-1-scenario-families", "findingClass": "STRONGLY_CONNECTED_COMPONENT", "title": "Causal feedback component spanning 1 scenario families", "summary": "The family-level graph contains a feedback component. Directional claims inside it cannot be interpreted as a one-way causal chain without additional timing and intervention evidence.", "evidence": [ "geopolitical reaction" ], "severity": "HIGH_REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/strongly-connected-component-3-causal-feedback-component-spanning-1-scenario-families/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-004", "slug": "strongly-connected-component-4-causal-feedback-component-spanning-1-scenario-families", "findingClass": "STRONGLY_CONNECTED_COMPONENT", "title": "Causal feedback component spanning 1 scenario families", "summary": "The family-level graph contains a feedback component. Directional claims inside it cannot be interpreted as a one-way causal chain without additional timing and intervention evidence.", "evidence": [ "Antarctic infrastructure" ], "severity": "HIGH_REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/strongly-connected-component-4-causal-feedback-component-spanning-1-scenario-families/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-005", "slug": "strongly-connected-component-5-causal-feedback-component-spanning-1-scenario-families", "findingClass": "STRONGLY_CONNECTED_COMPONENT", "title": "Causal feedback component spanning 1 scenario families", "summary": "The family-level graph contains a feedback component. Directional claims inside it cannot be interpreted as a one-way causal chain without additional timing and intervention evidence.", "evidence": [ "Earth–Moon expansion" ], "severity": "HIGH_REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/strongly-connected-component-5-causal-feedback-component-spanning-1-scenario-families/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-006", "slug": "strongly-connected-component-6-causal-feedback-component-spanning-1-scenario-families", "findingClass": "STRONGLY_CONNECTED_COMPONENT", "title": "Causal feedback component spanning 1 scenario families", "summary": "The family-level graph contains a feedback component. Directional claims inside it cannot be interpreted as a one-way causal chain without additional timing and intervention evidence.", "evidence": [ "digital-to-physical industrial progression" ], "severity": "HIGH_REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/strongly-connected-component-6-causal-feedback-component-spanning-1-scenario-families/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-007", "slug": "strongly-connected-component-7-causal-feedback-component-spanning-1-scenario-families", "findingClass": "STRONGLY_CONNECTED_COMPONENT", "title": "Causal feedback component spanning 1 scenario families", "summary": "The family-level graph contains a feedback component. Directional claims inside it cannot be interpreted as a one-way causal chain without additional timing and intervention evidence.", "evidence": [ "autonomous maintenance maturity" ], "severity": "HIGH_REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/strongly-connected-component-7-causal-feedback-component-spanning-1-scenario-families/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-008", "slug": "strongly-connected-component-8-causal-feedback-component-spanning-1-scenario-families", "findingClass": "STRONGLY_CONNECTED_COMPONENT", "title": "Causal feedback component spanning 1 scenario families", "summary": "The family-level graph contains a feedback component. Directional claims inside it cannot be interpreted as a one-way causal chain without additional timing and intervention evidence.", "evidence": [ "proliferation suspicion and strategic restraint" ], "severity": "HIGH_REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/strongly-connected-component-8-causal-feedback-component-spanning-1-scenario-families/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-009", "slug": "strongly-connected-component-9-causal-feedback-component-spanning-1-scenario-families", "findingClass": "STRONGLY_CONNECTED_COMPONENT", "title": "Causal feedback component spanning 1 scenario families", "summary": "The family-level graph contains a feedback component. Directional claims inside it cannot be interpreted as a one-way causal chain without additional timing and intervention evidence.", "evidence": [ "civilian nuclear development" ], "severity": "HIGH_REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/strongly-connected-component-9-causal-feedback-component-spanning-1-scenario-families/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-010", "slug": "strongly-connected-component-10-causal-feedback-component-spanning-1-scenario-families", "findingClass": "STRONGLY_CONNECTED_COMPONENT", "title": "Causal feedback component spanning 1 scenario families", "summary": "The family-level graph contains a feedback component. Directional claims inside it cannot be interpreted as a one-way causal chain without additional timing and intervention evidence.", "evidence": [ "compute and energy demand" ], "severity": "HIGH_REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/strongly-connected-component-10-causal-feedback-component-spanning-1-scenario-families/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-011", "slug": "strongly-connected-component-11-causal-feedback-component-spanning-1-scenario-families", "findingClass": "STRONGLY_CONNECTED_COMPONENT", "title": "Causal feedback component spanning 1 scenario families", "summary": "The family-level graph contains a feedback component. Directional claims inside it cannot be interpreted as a one-way causal chain without additional timing and intervention evidence.", "evidence": [ "crisis response" ], "severity": "HIGH_REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/strongly-connected-component-11-causal-feedback-component-spanning-1-scenario-families/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-012", "slug": "strongly-connected-component-12-causal-feedback-component-spanning-1-scenario-families", "findingClass": "STRONGLY_CONNECTED_COMPONENT", "title": "Causal feedback component spanning 1 scenario families", "summary": "The family-level graph contains a feedback component. Directional claims inside it cannot be interpreted as a one-way causal chain without additional timing and intervention evidence.", "evidence": [ "machine identity and economic trust" ], "severity": "HIGH_REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/strongly-connected-component-12-causal-feedback-component-spanning-1-scenario-families/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-013", "slug": "strongly-connected-component-13-causal-feedback-component-spanning-1-scenario-families", "findingClass": "STRONGLY_CONNECTED_COMPONENT", "title": "Causal feedback component spanning 1 scenario families", "summary": "The family-level graph contains a feedback component. Directional claims inside it cannot be interpreted as a one-way causal chain without additional timing and intervention evidence.", "evidence": [ "maritime logistics" ], "severity": "HIGH_REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/strongly-connected-component-13-causal-feedback-component-spanning-1-scenario-families/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-014", "slug": "strongly-connected-component-14-causal-feedback-component-spanning-1-scenario-families", "findingClass": "STRONGLY_CONNECTED_COMPONENT", "title": "Causal feedback component spanning 1 scenario families", "summary": "The family-level graph contains a feedback component. Directional claims inside it cannot be interpreted as a one-way causal chain without additional timing and intervention evidence.", "evidence": [ "scientific influence" ], "severity": "HIGH_REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/strongly-connected-component-14-causal-feedback-component-spanning-1-scenario-families/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-015", "slug": "strongly-connected-component-15-causal-feedback-component-spanning-1-scenario-families", "findingClass": "STRONGLY_CONNECTED_COMPONENT", "title": "Causal feedback component spanning 1 scenario families", "summary": "The family-level graph contains a feedback component. Directional claims inside it cannot be interpreted as a one-way causal chain without additional timing and intervention evidence.", "evidence": [ "semiconductor closure" ], "severity": "HIGH_REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/strongly-connected-component-15-causal-feedback-component-spanning-1-scenario-families/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-016", "slug": "shared-single-point-of-assumption-16-shared-dependency-power", "findingClass": "SHARED_SINGLE_POINT_OF_ASSUMPTION", "title": "Shared dependency: power", "summary": "7 calibration nodes depend on the same input. A failure or mismeasurement can create correlated errors across multiple scenario families.", "evidence": [ "EVI-CAL-003", "EVI-CAL-021", "EVI-CAL-028", "EVI-CAL-031", "EVI-CAL-054", "EVI-CAL-068", "EVI-CAL-073" ], "severity": "HIGH_REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/shared-single-point-of-assumption-16-shared-dependency-power/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-017", "slug": "shared-single-point-of-assumption-17-shared-dependency-appeal", "findingClass": "SHARED_SINGLE_POINT_OF_ASSUMPTION", "title": "Shared dependency: appeal", "summary": "4 calibration nodes depend on the same input. A failure or mismeasurement can create correlated errors across multiple scenario families.", "evidence": [ "EVI-CAL-007", "EVI-CAL-012", "EVI-CAL-016", "EVI-CAL-034" ], "severity": "REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/shared-single-point-of-assumption-17-shared-dependency-appeal/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-018", "slug": "shared-single-point-of-assumption-18-shared-dependency-inspection", "findingClass": "SHARED_SINGLE_POINT_OF_ASSUMPTION", "title": "Shared dependency: inspection", "summary": "4 calibration nodes depend on the same input. A failure or mismeasurement can create correlated errors across multiple scenario families.", "evidence": [ "EVI-CAL-021", "EVI-CAL-024", "EVI-CAL-059", "EVI-CAL-062" ], "severity": "REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/shared-single-point-of-assumption-18-shared-dependency-inspection/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-019", "slug": "shared-single-point-of-assumption-19-shared-dependency-maintenance", "findingClass": "SHARED_SINGLE_POINT_OF_ASSUMPTION", "title": "Shared dependency: maintenance", "summary": "4 calibration nodes depend on the same input. A failure or mismeasurement can create correlated errors across multiple scenario families.", "evidence": [ "EVI-CAL-010", "EVI-CAL-041", "EVI-CAL-046", "EVI-CAL-060" ], "severity": "REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/shared-single-point-of-assumption-19-shared-dependency-maintenance/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-020", "slug": "shared-single-point-of-assumption-20-shared-dependency-materials", "findingClass": "SHARED_SINGLE_POINT_OF_ASSUMPTION", "title": "Shared dependency: materials", "summary": "4 calibration nodes depend on the same input. A failure or mismeasurement can create correlated errors across multiple scenario families.", "evidence": [ "EVI-CAL-001", "EVI-CAL-028", "EVI-CAL-060", "EVI-CAL-074" ], "severity": "REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/shared-single-point-of-assumption-20-shared-dependency-materials/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-021", "slug": "shared-single-point-of-assumption-21-shared-dependency-spares", "findingClass": "SHARED_SINGLE_POINT_OF_ASSUMPTION", "title": "Shared dependency: spares", "summary": "4 calibration nodes depend on the same input. A failure or mismeasurement can create correlated errors across multiple scenario families.", "evidence": [ "EVI-CAL-023", "EVI-CAL-031", "EVI-CAL-068", "EVI-CAL-072" ], "severity": "REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/shared-single-point-of-assumption-21-shared-dependency-spares/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-022", "slug": "shared-single-point-of-assumption-22-shared-dependency-capital", "findingClass": "SHARED_SINGLE_POINT_OF_ASSUMPTION", "title": "Shared dependency: capital", "summary": "3 calibration nodes depend on the same input. A failure or mismeasurement can create correlated errors across multiple scenario families.", "evidence": [ "EVI-CAL-025", "EVI-CAL-045", "EVI-CAL-070" ], "severity": "REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/shared-single-point-of-assumption-22-shared-dependency-capital/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-023", "slug": "shared-single-point-of-assumption-23-shared-dependency-energy", "findingClass": "SHARED_SINGLE_POINT_OF_ASSUMPTION", "title": "Shared dependency: energy", "summary": "3 calibration nodes depend on the same input. A failure or mismeasurement can create correlated errors across multiple scenario families.", "evidence": [ "EVI-CAL-001", "EVI-CAL-025", "EVI-CAL-045" ], "severity": "REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/shared-single-point-of-assumption-23-shared-dependency-energy/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-024", "slug": "shared-single-point-of-assumption-24-shared-dependency-insurance", "findingClass": "SHARED_SINGLE_POINT_OF_ASSUMPTION", "title": "Shared dependency: insurance", "summary": "3 calibration nodes depend on the same input. A failure or mismeasurement can create correlated errors across multiple scenario families.", "evidence": [ "EVI-CAL-033", "EVI-CAL-041", "EVI-CAL-066" ], "severity": "REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/shared-single-point-of-assumption-24-shared-dependency-insurance/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-025", "slug": "shared-single-point-of-assumption-25-shared-dependency-logistics", "findingClass": "SHARED_SINGLE_POINT_OF_ASSUMPTION", "title": "Shared dependency: logistics", "summary": "3 calibration nodes depend on the same input. A failure or mismeasurement can create correlated errors across multiple scenario families.", "evidence": [ "EVI-CAL-003", "EVI-CAL-009", "EVI-CAL-021" ], "severity": "REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/shared-single-point-of-assumption-25-shared-dependency-logistics/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-026", "slug": "shared-single-point-of-assumption-26-shared-dependency-access", "findingClass": "SHARED_SINGLE_POINT_OF_ASSUMPTION", "title": "Shared dependency: access", "summary": "2 calibration nodes depend on the same input. A failure or mismeasurement can create correlated errors across multiple scenario families.", "evidence": [ "EVI-CAL-017", "EVI-CAL-072" ], "severity": "REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/shared-single-point-of-assumption-26-shared-dependency-access/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-027", "slug": "shared-single-point-of-assumption-27-shared-dependency-audit", "findingClass": "SHARED_SINGLE_POINT_OF_ASSUMPTION", "title": "Shared dependency: audit", "summary": "2 calibration nodes depend on the same input. A failure or mismeasurement can create correlated errors across multiple scenario families.", "evidence": [ "EVI-CAL-040", "EVI-CAL-052" ], "severity": "REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/shared-single-point-of-assumption-27-shared-dependency-audit/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-028", "slug": "contradictory-direction-of-effect-28-direction-conflict-antarctic-infrastructure-antarctic-infrastructure", "findingClass": "CONTRADICTORY_DIRECTION_OF_EFFECT", "title": "Direction conflict: Antarctic infrastructure → Antarctic infrastructure", "summary": "The same family-level relationship contains incompatible directional claims. Aggregating them into one net effect would conceal conditional structure.", "evidence": [ "EVI-UP-E-0005", "EVI-UP-E-0111", "EVI-UP-E-0147", "DECREASES_PRESSURE", "MIXED_CONTEXT_DEPENDENT" ], "severity": "HIGH_REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/contradictory-direction-of-effect-28-direction-conflict-antarctic-infrastructure-antarctic-infrastructure/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-029", "slug": "contradictory-direction-of-effect-29-direction-conflict-earth-moon-expansion-earth-moon-expansion", "findingClass": "CONTRADICTORY_DIRECTION_OF_EFFECT", "title": "Direction conflict: Earth–Moon expansion → Earth–Moon expansion", "summary": "The same family-level relationship contains incompatible directional claims. Aggregating them into one net effect would conceal conditional structure.", "evidence": [ "EVI-UP-E-0003", "EVI-UP-E-0063", "EVI-UP-E-0107", "EVI-UP-E-0121", "DECREASES_PRESSURE", "INCREASES_PRESSURE", "MIXED_CONTEXT_DEPENDENT" ], "severity": "HIGH_REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/contradictory-direction-of-effect-29-direction-conflict-earth-moon-expansion-earth-moon-expansion/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-030", "slug": "contradictory-direction-of-effect-30-direction-conflict-autonomous-maintenance-maturity-autonomous-maintenance-maturity", "findingClass": "CONTRADICTORY_DIRECTION_OF_EFFECT", "title": "Direction conflict: autonomous maintenance maturity → autonomous maintenance maturity", "summary": "The same family-level relationship contains incompatible directional claims. Aggregating them into one net effect would conceal conditional structure.", "evidence": [ "EVI-UP-E-0019", "EVI-UP-E-0061", "EVI-UP-E-0081", "EVI-UP-E-0099", "EVI-UP-E-0143", "DECREASES_PRESSURE", "INCREASES_PRESSURE", "MIXED_CONTEXT_DEPENDENT" ], "severity": "HIGH_REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/contradictory-direction-of-effect-30-direction-conflict-autonomous-maintenance-maturity-autonomous-maintenance-maturity/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-031", "slug": "contradictory-direction-of-effect-31-direction-conflict-civilian-nuclear-development-civilian-nuclear-development", "findingClass": "CONTRADICTORY_DIRECTION_OF_EFFECT", "title": "Direction conflict: civilian nuclear development → civilian nuclear development", "summary": "The same family-level relationship contains incompatible directional claims. Aggregating them into one net effect would conceal conditional structure.", "evidence": [ "EVI-UP-E-0117", "EVI-UP-E-0119", "EVI-UP-E-0123", "EVI-UP-E-0125", "EVI-UP-E-0127", "EVI-UP-E-0129", "EVI-UP-E-0135", "EVI-UP-E-0139", "EVI-UP-E-0145", "DECREASES_PRESSURE", "INCREASES_PRESSURE", "MIXED_CONTEXT_DEPENDENT" ], "severity": "HIGH_REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/contradictory-direction-of-effect-31-direction-conflict-civilian-nuclear-development-civilian-nuclear-development/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-032", "slug": "contradictory-direction-of-effect-32-direction-conflict-compute-and-energy-demand-compute-and-energy-demand", "findingClass": "CONTRADICTORY_DIRECTION_OF_EFFECT", "title": "Direction conflict: compute and energy demand → compute and energy demand", "summary": "The same family-level relationship contains incompatible directional claims. Aggregating them into one net effect would conceal conditional structure.", "evidence": [ "EVI-UP-E-0037", "EVI-UP-E-0041", "EVI-UP-E-0043", "EVI-UP-E-0113", "EVI-UP-E-0115", "EVI-UP-E-0137", "EVI-UP-E-0141", "DECREASES_PRESSURE", "INCREASES_PRESSURE", "MIXED_CONTEXT_DEPENDENT" ], "severity": "HIGH_REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/contradictory-direction-of-effect-32-direction-conflict-compute-and-energy-demand-compute-and-energy-demand/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-033", "slug": "contradictory-direction-of-effect-33-direction-conflict-corporate-growth-and-capital-formation-corporate-growth-and-capital-formation", "findingClass": "CONTRADICTORY_DIRECTION_OF_EFFECT", "title": "Direction conflict: corporate growth and capital formation → corporate growth and capital formation", "summary": "The same family-level relationship contains incompatible directional claims. Aggregating them into one net effect would conceal conditional structure.", "evidence": [ "EVI-UP-E-0007", "EVI-UP-E-0027", "EVI-UP-E-0035", "EVI-UP-E-0049", "EVI-UP-E-0051", "EVI-UP-E-0057", "EVI-UP-E-0069", "EVI-UP-E-0071", "EVI-UP-E-0073", "EVI-UP-E-0075", "EVI-UP-E-0085", "EVI-UP-E-0089", "EVI-UP-E-0091", "DECREASES_PRESSURE", "INCREASES_PRESSURE", "MIXED_CONTEXT_DEPENDENT" ], "severity": "HIGH_REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/contradictory-direction-of-effect-33-direction-conflict-corporate-growth-and-capital-formation-corporate-growth-and-capital-formation/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-034", "slug": "contradictory-direction-of-effect-34-direction-conflict-crisis-response-crisis-response", "findingClass": "CONTRADICTORY_DIRECTION_OF_EFFECT", "title": "Direction conflict: crisis response → crisis response", "summary": "The same family-level relationship contains incompatible directional claims. Aggregating them into one net effect would conceal conditional structure.", "evidence": [ "EVI-UP-E-0021", "EVI-UP-E-0023", "DECREASES_PRESSURE", "MIXED_CONTEXT_DEPENDENT" ], "severity": "HIGH_REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/contradictory-direction-of-effect-34-direction-conflict-crisis-response-crisis-response/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-035", "slug": "contradictory-direction-of-effect-35-direction-conflict-digital-to-physical-industrial-progression-digital-to-physical-industrial-progression", "findingClass": "CONTRADICTORY_DIRECTION_OF_EFFECT", "title": "Direction conflict: digital-to-physical industrial progression → digital-to-physical industrial progression", "summary": "The same family-level relationship contains incompatible directional claims. Aggregating them into one net effect would conceal conditional structure.", "evidence": [ "EVI-UP-E-0001", "EVI-UP-E-0045", "EVI-UP-E-0055", "EVI-UP-E-0097", "EVI-UP-E-0103", "DECREASES_PRESSURE", "INCREASES_PRESSURE" ], "severity": "HIGH_REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/contradictory-direction-of-effect-35-direction-conflict-digital-to-physical-industrial-progression-digital-to-physical-industrial-progression/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-036", "slug": "contradictory-direction-of-effect-36-direction-conflict-geopolitical-reaction-geopolitical-reaction", "findingClass": "CONTRADICTORY_DIRECTION_OF_EFFECT", "title": "Direction conflict: geopolitical reaction → geopolitical reaction", "summary": "The same family-level relationship contains incompatible directional claims. Aggregating them into one net effect would conceal conditional structure.", "evidence": [ "EVI-UP-E-0009", "EVI-UP-E-0015", "EVI-UP-E-0031", "EVI-UP-E-0033", "EVI-UP-E-0039", "EVI-UP-E-0047", "EVI-UP-E-0053", "EVI-UP-E-0059", "EVI-UP-E-0067", "EVI-UP-E-0079", "EVI-UP-E-0083", "EVI-UP-E-0095", "DECREASES_PRESSURE", "INCREASES_PRESSURE", "MIXED_CONTEXT_DEPENDENT" ], "severity": "HIGH_REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/contradictory-direction-of-effect-36-direction-conflict-geopolitical-reaction-geopolitical-reaction/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-037", "slug": "contradictory-direction-of-effect-37-direction-conflict-legitimacy-concentration-and-non-domination-legitimacy-concentration-and-non-domination", "findingClass": "CONTRADICTORY_DIRECTION_OF_EFFECT", "title": "Direction conflict: legitimacy, concentration, and non-domination → legitimacy, concentration, and non-domination", "summary": "The same family-level relationship contains incompatible directional claims. Aggregating them into one net effect would conceal conditional structure.", "evidence": [ "EVI-UP-E-0011", "EVI-UP-E-0013", "EVI-UP-E-0017", "EVI-UP-E-0029", "EVI-UP-E-0131", "INCREASES_PRESSURE", "MIXED_CONTEXT_DEPENDENT" ], "severity": "HIGH_REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/contradictory-direction-of-effect-37-direction-conflict-legitimacy-concentration-and-non-domination-legitimacy-concentration-and-non-domination/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-038", "slug": "contradictory-direction-of-effect-38-direction-conflict-machine-identity-and-economic-trust-machine-identity-and-economic-trust", "findingClass": "CONTRADICTORY_DIRECTION_OF_EFFECT", "title": "Direction conflict: machine identity and economic trust → machine identity and economic trust", "summary": "The same family-level relationship contains incompatible directional claims. Aggregating them into one net effect would conceal conditional structure.", "evidence": [ "EVI-UP-E-0065", "EVI-UP-E-0105", "DECREASES_PRESSURE", "MIXED_CONTEXT_DEPENDENT" ], "severity": "HIGH_REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/contradictory-direction-of-effect-38-direction-conflict-machine-identity-and-economic-trust-machine-identity-and-economic-trust/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-039", "slug": "contradictory-direction-of-effect-39-direction-conflict-maritime-logistics-maritime-logistics", "findingClass": "CONTRADICTORY_DIRECTION_OF_EFFECT", "title": "Direction conflict: maritime logistics → maritime logistics", "summary": "The same family-level relationship contains incompatible directional claims. Aggregating them into one net effect would conceal conditional structure.", "evidence": [ "EVI-UP-E-0087", "EVI-UP-E-0109", "DECREASES_PRESSURE", "INCREASES_PRESSURE" ], "severity": "HIGH_REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/contradictory-direction-of-effect-39-direction-conflict-maritime-logistics-maritime-logistics/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-040", "slug": "contradictory-direction-of-effect-40-explicit-contradiction-evi-up-c-001", "findingClass": "CONTRADICTORY_DIRECTION_OF_EFFECT", "title": "Explicit contradiction EVI-UP-C-001", "summary": "The two assumptions can pull a shared scenario family in different directions or rely on incompatible timing and institutional conditions.", "evidence": [ "EVI-CAL-001", "EVI-CAL-074" ], "severity": "HIGH_REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/contradictory-direction-of-effect-40-explicit-contradiction-evi-up-c-001/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-041", "slug": "contradictory-direction-of-effect-41-explicit-contradiction-evi-up-c-002", "findingClass": "CONTRADICTORY_DIRECTION_OF_EFFECT", "title": "Explicit contradiction EVI-UP-C-002", "summary": "The two assumptions can pull a shared scenario family in different directions or rely on incompatible timing and institutional conditions.", "evidence": [ "EVI-CAL-002", "EVI-CAL-073" ], "severity": "HIGH_REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/contradictory-direction-of-effect-41-explicit-contradiction-evi-up-c-002/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-042", "slug": "contradictory-direction-of-effect-42-explicit-contradiction-evi-up-c-003", "findingClass": "CONTRADICTORY_DIRECTION_OF_EFFECT", "title": "Explicit contradiction EVI-UP-C-003", "summary": "The two assumptions can pull a shared scenario family in different directions or rely on incompatible timing and institutional conditions.", "evidence": [ "EVI-CAL-003", "EVI-CAL-072" ], "severity": "HIGH_REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/contradictory-direction-of-effect-42-explicit-contradiction-evi-up-c-003/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-043", "slug": "contradictory-direction-of-effect-43-explicit-contradiction-evi-up-c-004", "findingClass": "CONTRADICTORY_DIRECTION_OF_EFFECT", "title": "Explicit contradiction EVI-UP-C-004", "summary": "The two assumptions can pull a shared scenario family in different directions or rely on incompatible timing and institutional conditions.", "evidence": [ "EVI-CAL-004", "EVI-CAL-071" ], "severity": "HIGH_REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/contradictory-direction-of-effect-43-explicit-contradiction-evi-up-c-004/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-044", "slug": "contradictory-direction-of-effect-44-explicit-contradiction-evi-up-c-005", "findingClass": "CONTRADICTORY_DIRECTION_OF_EFFECT", "title": "Explicit contradiction EVI-UP-C-005", "summary": "The two assumptions can pull a shared scenario family in different directions or rely on incompatible timing and institutional conditions.", "evidence": [ "EVI-CAL-005", "EVI-CAL-070" ], "severity": "HIGH_REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/contradictory-direction-of-effect-44-explicit-contradiction-evi-up-c-005/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-045", "slug": "contradictory-direction-of-effect-45-explicit-contradiction-evi-up-c-006", "findingClass": "CONTRADICTORY_DIRECTION_OF_EFFECT", "title": "Explicit contradiction EVI-UP-C-006", "summary": "The two assumptions can pull a shared scenario family in different directions or rely on incompatible timing and institutional conditions.", "evidence": [ "EVI-CAL-006", "EVI-CAL-069" ], "severity": "HIGH_REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/contradictory-direction-of-effect-45-explicit-contradiction-evi-up-c-006/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-046", "slug": "incompatible-time-horizon-or-lag-46-lag-classes-diverge-for-evi-cal-001", "findingClass": "INCOMPATIBLE_TIME_HORIZON_OR_LAG", "title": "Lag classes diverge for EVI-CAL-001", "summary": "Direct and second-order effects use different or unquantified lag classes. Sequence, overlap, and cancellation cannot be resolved from the present evidence.", "evidence": [ "EVI-UP-E-0001", "EVI-UP-E-0002", "LONGER_THAN_DIRECT_EFFECT; NOT_QUANTIFIED", "LONG_PHYSICAL_LAG_MONTHS_TO_DECADES" ], "severity": "REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/incompatible-time-horizon-or-lag-46-lag-classes-diverge-for-evi-cal-001/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-047", "slug": "incompatible-time-horizon-or-lag-47-lag-classes-diverge-for-evi-cal-002", "findingClass": "INCOMPATIBLE_TIME_HORIZON_OR_LAG", "title": "Lag classes diverge for EVI-CAL-002", "summary": "Direct and second-order effects use different or unquantified lag classes. Sequence, overlap, and cancellation cannot be resolved from the present evidence.", "evidence": [ "EVI-UP-E-0003", "EVI-UP-E-0004", "LONGER_THAN_DIRECT_EFFECT; NOT_QUANTIFIED", "LONG_PHYSICAL_LAG_MONTHS_TO_DECADES" ], "severity": "REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/incompatible-time-horizon-or-lag-47-lag-classes-diverge-for-evi-cal-002/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-048", "slug": "incompatible-time-horizon-or-lag-48-lag-classes-diverge-for-evi-cal-003", "findingClass": "INCOMPATIBLE_TIME_HORIZON_OR_LAG", "title": "Lag classes diverge for EVI-CAL-003", "summary": "Direct and second-order effects use different or unquantified lag classes. Sequence, overlap, and cancellation cannot be resolved from the present evidence.", "evidence": [ "EVI-UP-E-0005", "EVI-UP-E-0006", "LONGER_THAN_DIRECT_EFFECT; NOT_QUANTIFIED", "LONG_PHYSICAL_LAG_MONTHS_TO_DECADES" ], "severity": "REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/incompatible-time-horizon-or-lag-48-lag-classes-diverge-for-evi-cal-003/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-049", "slug": "incompatible-time-horizon-or-lag-49-lag-classes-diverge-for-evi-cal-004", "findingClass": "INCOMPATIBLE_TIME_HORIZON_OR_LAG", "title": "Lag classes diverge for EVI-CAL-004", "summary": "Direct and second-order effects use different or unquantified lag classes. Sequence, overlap, and cancellation cannot be resolved from the present evidence.", "evidence": [ "EVI-UP-E-0007", "EVI-UP-E-0008", "LONGER_THAN_DIRECT_EFFECT; NOT_QUANTIFIED", "VARIABLE_DIGITAL_AND_INSTITUTIONAL_LAG" ], "severity": "REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/incompatible-time-horizon-or-lag-49-lag-classes-diverge-for-evi-cal-004/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-050", "slug": "incompatible-time-horizon-or-lag-50-lag-classes-diverge-for-evi-cal-005", "findingClass": "INCOMPATIBLE_TIME_HORIZON_OR_LAG", "title": "Lag classes diverge for EVI-CAL-005", "summary": "Direct and second-order effects use different or unquantified lag classes. Sequence, overlap, and cancellation cannot be resolved from the present evidence.", "evidence": [ "EVI-UP-E-0009", "EVI-UP-E-0010", "LONGER_THAN_DIRECT_EFFECT; NOT_QUANTIFIED", "MEDIUM_INSTITUTIONAL_LAG_MONTHS_TO_YEARS" ], "severity": "REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/incompatible-time-horizon-or-lag-50-lag-classes-diverge-for-evi-cal-005/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-051", "slug": "incompatible-time-horizon-or-lag-51-lag-classes-diverge-for-evi-cal-006", "findingClass": "INCOMPATIBLE_TIME_HORIZON_OR_LAG", "title": "Lag classes diverge for EVI-CAL-006", "summary": "Direct and second-order effects use different or unquantified lag classes. Sequence, overlap, and cancellation cannot be resolved from the present evidence.", "evidence": [ "EVI-UP-E-0011", "EVI-UP-E-0012", "LONGER_THAN_DIRECT_EFFECT; NOT_QUANTIFIED", "MEDIUM_INSTITUTIONAL_LAG_MONTHS_TO_YEARS" ], "severity": "REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/incompatible-time-horizon-or-lag-51-lag-classes-diverge-for-evi-cal-006/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-052", "slug": "incompatible-time-horizon-or-lag-52-lag-classes-diverge-for-evi-cal-007", "findingClass": "INCOMPATIBLE_TIME_HORIZON_OR_LAG", "title": "Lag classes diverge for EVI-CAL-007", "summary": "Direct and second-order effects use different or unquantified lag classes. Sequence, overlap, and cancellation cannot be resolved from the present evidence.", "evidence": [ "EVI-UP-E-0013", "EVI-UP-E-0014", "LONGER_THAN_DIRECT_EFFECT; NOT_QUANTIFIED", "VARIABLE_DIGITAL_AND_INSTITUTIONAL_LAG" ], "severity": "REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/incompatible-time-horizon-or-lag-52-lag-classes-diverge-for-evi-cal-007/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-053", "slug": "incompatible-time-horizon-or-lag-53-lag-classes-diverge-for-evi-cal-008", "findingClass": "INCOMPATIBLE_TIME_HORIZON_OR_LAG", "title": "Lag classes diverge for EVI-CAL-008", "summary": "Direct and second-order effects use different or unquantified lag classes. Sequence, overlap, and cancellation cannot be resolved from the present evidence.", "evidence": [ "EVI-UP-E-0015", "EVI-UP-E-0016", "LONGER_THAN_DIRECT_EFFECT; NOT_QUANTIFIED", "MEDIUM_INSTITUTIONAL_LAG_MONTHS_TO_YEARS" ], "severity": "REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/incompatible-time-horizon-or-lag-53-lag-classes-diverge-for-evi-cal-008/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-054", "slug": "source-family-concentration-54-source-concentration-rep-machine-city-nuclear-001", "findingClass": "SOURCE_FAMILY_CONCENTRATION", "title": "Source concentration: REP-MACHINE-CITY-NUCLEAR-001", "summary": "5 calibration nodes draw from one report family across 3 scenario families. Independent source diversity is not established by repetition.", "evidence": [ "Earth–Moon expansion", "civilian nuclear development", "compute and energy demand" ], "severity": "HIGH_REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/source-family-concentration-54-source-concentration-rep-machine-city-nuclear-001/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-055", "slug": "source-family-concentration-55-source-concentration-rep-machine-civ-progression-001", "findingClass": "SOURCE_FAMILY_CONCENTRATION", "title": "Source concentration: REP-MACHINE-CIV-PROGRESSION-001", "summary": "4 calibration nodes draw from one report family across 4 scenario families. Independent source diversity is not established by repetition.", "evidence": [ "Antarctic infrastructure", "Earth–Moon expansion", "corporate growth and capital formation", "digital-to-physical industrial progression" ], "severity": "HIGH_REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/source-family-concentration-55-source-concentration-rep-machine-civ-progression-001/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-056", "slug": "source-family-concentration-56-source-concentration-rep-eviulon-political-legitimacy-001", "findingClass": "SOURCE_FAMILY_CONCENTRATION", "title": "Source concentration: REP-EVIULON-POLITICAL-LEGITIMACY-001", "summary": "4 calibration nodes draw from one report family across 2 scenario families. Independent source diversity is not established by repetition.", "evidence": [ "geopolitical reaction", "legitimacy, concentration, and non-domination" ], "severity": "HIGH_REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/source-family-concentration-56-source-concentration-rep-eviulon-political-legitimacy-001/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-057", "slug": "source-family-concentration-57-source-concentration-rep-ai-crisis-power-001", "findingClass": "SOURCE_FAMILY_CONCENTRATION", "title": "Source concentration: REP-AI-CRISIS-POWER-001", "summary": "4 calibration nodes draw from one report family across 3 scenario families. Independent source diversity is not established by repetition.", "evidence": [ "autonomous maintenance maturity", "crisis response", "legitimacy, concentration, and non-domination" ], "severity": "HIGH_REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/source-family-concentration-57-source-concentration-rep-ai-crisis-power-001/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-058", "slug": "source-family-concentration-58-source-concentration-rep-automated-gov-adoption-001", "findingClass": "SOURCE_FAMILY_CONCENTRATION", "title": "Source concentration: REP-AUTOMATED-GOV-ADOPTION-001", "summary": "4 calibration nodes draw from one report family across 4 scenario families. Independent source diversity is not established by repetition.", "evidence": [ "corporate growth and capital formation", "geopolitical reaction", "legitimacy, concentration, and non-domination", "public-administration adoption" ], "severity": "HIGH_REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/source-family-concentration-58-source-concentration-rep-automated-gov-adoption-001/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-059", "slug": "source-family-concentration-59-source-concentration-rep-eviulon-global-influence-001", "findingClass": "SOURCE_FAMILY_CONCENTRATION", "title": "Source concentration: REP-EVIULON-GLOBAL-INFLUENCE-001", "summary": "4 calibration nodes draw from one report family across 3 scenario families. Independent source diversity is not established by repetition.", "evidence": [ "compute and energy demand", "corporate growth and capital formation", "geopolitical reaction" ], "severity": "HIGH_REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/source-family-concentration-59-source-concentration-rep-eviulon-global-influence-001/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-060", "slug": "source-family-concentration-60-source-concentration-rep-antarctic-machine-sim-001", "findingClass": "SOURCE_FAMILY_CONCENTRATION", "title": "Source concentration: REP-ANTARCTIC-MACHINE-SIM-001", "summary": "4 calibration nodes draw from one report family across 3 scenario families. Independent source diversity is not established by repetition.", "evidence": [ "compute and energy demand", "digital-to-physical industrial progression", "geopolitical reaction" ], "severity": "HIGH_REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/source-family-concentration-60-source-concentration-rep-antarctic-machine-sim-001/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-061", "slug": "source-family-concentration-61-source-concentration-rep-ai-civ-systemic-integration-001", "findingClass": "SOURCE_FAMILY_CONCENTRATION", "title": "Source concentration: REP-AI-CIV-SYSTEMIC-INTEGRATION-001", "summary": "4 calibration nodes draw from one report family across 3 scenario families. Independent source diversity is not established by repetition.", "evidence": [ "corporate growth and capital formation", "digital-to-physical industrial progression", "geopolitical reaction" ], "severity": "HIGH_REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/source-family-concentration-61-source-concentration-rep-ai-civ-systemic-integration-001/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-062", "slug": "unsupported-edge-confidence-62-low-confidence-concentration-corporate-growth-and-capital-formation", "findingClass": "UNSUPPORTED_EDGE_CONFIDENCE", "title": "Low-confidence concentration: corporate growth and capital formation", "summary": "25 edges are marked LOW and supply no defensible probability distribution. Deterministic sign or interval comparison is the maximum warranted inference.", "evidence": [ "EVI-UP-E-0002", "EVI-UP-E-0007", "EVI-UP-E-0010", "EVI-UP-E-0016", "EVI-UP-E-0032", "EVI-UP-E-0034", "EVI-UP-E-0040", "EVI-UP-E-0046", "EVI-UP-E-0048", "EVI-UP-E-0049", "EVI-UP-E-0054", "EVI-UP-E-0056", "EVI-UP-E-0060", "EVI-UP-E-0066", "EVI-UP-E-0068", "EVI-UP-E-0073", "EVI-UP-E-0080", "EVI-UP-E-0084", "EVI-UP-E-0085", "EVI-UP-E-0091", "EVI-UP-E-0094", "EVI-UP-E-0096", "EVI-UP-E-0098", "EVI-UP-E-0104", "EVI-UP-E-0106" ], "severity": "REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/unsupported-edge-confidence-62-low-confidence-concentration-corporate-growth-and-capital-formation/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-063", "slug": "unsupported-edge-confidence-63-low-confidence-concentration-legitimacy-concentration-and-non-domination", "findingClass": "UNSUPPORTED_EDGE_CONFIDENCE", "title": "Low-confidence concentration: legitimacy, concentration, and non-domination", "summary": "19 edges are marked LOW and supply no defensible probability distribution. Deterministic sign or interval comparison is the maximum warranted inference.", "evidence": [ "EVI-UP-E-0008", "EVI-UP-E-0013", "EVI-UP-E-0022", "EVI-UP-E-0024", "EVI-UP-E-0026", "EVI-UP-E-0028", "EVI-UP-E-0036", "EVI-UP-E-0050", "EVI-UP-E-0052", "EVI-UP-E-0058", "EVI-UP-E-0070", "EVI-UP-E-0072", "EVI-UP-E-0074", "EVI-UP-E-0076", "EVI-UP-E-0078", "EVI-UP-E-0086", "EVI-UP-E-0090", "EVI-UP-E-0092", "EVI-UP-E-0102" ], "severity": "REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/unsupported-edge-confidence-63-low-confidence-concentration-legitimacy-concentration-and-non-domination/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-064", "slug": "unsupported-edge-confidence-64-low-confidence-concentration-digital-to-physical-industrial-progression", "findingClass": "UNSUPPORTED_EDGE_CONFIDENCE", "title": "Low-confidence concentration: digital-to-physical industrial progression", "summary": "16 edges are marked LOW and supply no defensible probability distribution. Deterministic sign or interval comparison is the maximum warranted inference.", "evidence": [ "EVI-UP-E-0001", "EVI-UP-E-0020", "EVI-UP-E-0038", "EVI-UP-E-0042", "EVI-UP-E-0044", "EVI-UP-E-0055", "EVI-UP-E-0062", "EVI-UP-E-0082", "EVI-UP-E-0097", "EVI-UP-E-0100", "EVI-UP-E-0103", "EVI-UP-E-0114", "EVI-UP-E-0116", "EVI-UP-E-0138", "EVI-UP-E-0142", "EVI-UP-E-0144" ], "severity": "REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/unsupported-edge-confidence-64-low-confidence-concentration-digital-to-physical-industrial-progression/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-065", "slug": "unsupported-edge-confidence-65-low-confidence-concentration-geopolitical-reaction", "findingClass": "UNSUPPORTED_EDGE_CONFIDENCE", "title": "Low-confidence concentration: geopolitical reaction", "summary": "13 edges are marked LOW and supply no defensible probability distribution. Deterministic sign or interval comparison is the maximum warranted inference.", "evidence": [ "EVI-UP-E-0004", "EVI-UP-E-0006", "EVI-UP-E-0031", "EVI-UP-E-0064", "EVI-UP-E-0067", "EVI-UP-E-0079", "EVI-UP-E-0088", "EVI-UP-E-0108", "EVI-UP-E-0110", "EVI-UP-E-0112", "EVI-UP-E-0122", "EVI-UP-E-0134", "EVI-UP-E-0148" ], "severity": "REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/unsupported-edge-confidence-65-low-confidence-concentration-geopolitical-reaction/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-066", "slug": "unsupported-edge-confidence-66-low-confidence-concentration-proliferation-suspicion-and-strategic-restraint", "findingClass": "UNSUPPORTED_EDGE_CONFIDENCE", "title": "Low-confidence concentration: proliferation suspicion and strategic restraint", "summary": "10 edges are marked LOW and supply no defensible probability distribution. Deterministic sign or interval comparison is the maximum warranted inference.", "evidence": [ "EVI-UP-E-0118", "EVI-UP-E-0120", "EVI-UP-E-0124", "EVI-UP-E-0126", "EVI-UP-E-0128", "EVI-UP-E-0130", "EVI-UP-E-0133", "EVI-UP-E-0136", "EVI-UP-E-0140", "EVI-UP-E-0146" ], "severity": "REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/unsupported-edge-confidence-66-low-confidence-concentration-proliferation-suspicion-and-strategic-restraint/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-067", "slug": "unsupported-edge-confidence-67-low-confidence-concentration-public-administration-adoption", "findingClass": "UNSUPPORTED_EDGE_CONFIDENCE", "title": "Low-confidence concentration: public-administration adoption", "summary": "6 edges are marked LOW and supply no defensible probability distribution. Deterministic sign or interval comparison is the maximum warranted inference.", "evidence": [ "EVI-UP-E-0012", "EVI-UP-E-0014", "EVI-UP-E-0018", "EVI-UP-E-0025", "EVI-UP-E-0030", "EVI-UP-E-0132" ], "severity": "REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/unsupported-edge-confidence-67-low-confidence-concentration-public-administration-adoption/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-068", "slug": "unsupported-edge-confidence-68-low-confidence-concentration-civilian-nuclear-development", "findingClass": "UNSUPPORTED_EDGE_CONFIDENCE", "title": "Low-confidence concentration: civilian nuclear development", "summary": "3 edges are marked LOW and supply no defensible probability distribution. Deterministic sign or interval comparison is the maximum warranted inference.", "evidence": [ "EVI-UP-E-0127", "EVI-UP-E-0139", "EVI-UP-E-0145" ], "severity": "REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/unsupported-edge-confidence-68-low-confidence-concentration-civilian-nuclear-development/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-069", "slug": "unsupported-edge-confidence-69-low-confidence-concentration-compute-and-energy-demand", "findingClass": "UNSUPPORTED_EDGE_CONFIDENCE", "title": "Low-confidence concentration: compute and energy demand", "summary": "3 edges are marked LOW and supply no defensible probability distribution. Deterministic sign or interval comparison is the maximum warranted inference.", "evidence": [ "EVI-UP-E-0037", "EVI-UP-E-0043", "EVI-UP-E-0115" ], "severity": "REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/unsupported-edge-confidence-69-low-confidence-concentration-compute-and-energy-demand/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-070", "slug": "falsification-coverage-70-thin-falsification-coverage-proliferation-suspicion-and-strategic-restraint", "findingClass": "FALSIFICATION_COVERAGE", "title": "Thin falsification coverage: proliferation suspicion and strategic restraint", "summary": "1 nodes rely on 2 distinct falsification statements. Coverage may be repetitive or too general to discriminate competing causal accounts.", "evidence": [ "EVI-CAL-067", "historical or modeled evidence contradicts causal weights", "index produces same result across materially different assumptions" ], "severity": "REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/falsification-coverage-70-thin-falsification-coverage-proliferation-suspicion-and-strategic-restraint/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-071", "slug": "falsification-coverage-71-thin-falsification-coverage-public-administration-adoption", "findingClass": "FALSIFICATION_COVERAGE", "title": "Thin falsification coverage: public-administration adoption", "summary": "1 nodes rely on 3 distinct falsification statements. Coverage may be repetitive or too general to discriminate competing causal accounts.", "evidence": [ "EVI-CAL-013", "constitutional limits", "failed pilot", "public rejection" ], "severity": "REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/falsification-coverage-71-thin-falsification-coverage-public-administration-adoption/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-072", "slug": "falsification-coverage-72-thin-falsification-coverage-semiconductor-closure", "findingClass": "FALSIFICATION_COVERAGE", "title": "Thin falsification coverage: semiconductor closure", "summary": "1 nodes rely on 2 distinct falsification statements. Coverage may be repetitive or too general to discriminate competing causal accounts.", "evidence": [ "EVI-CAL-047", "export controls", "yield failure" ], "severity": "REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/falsification-coverage-72-thin-falsification-coverage-semiconductor-closure/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-073", "slug": "duplicated-assumption-73-repeated-dependency-framing-power", "findingClass": "DUPLICATED_ASSUMPTION", "title": "Repeated dependency framing: power", "summary": "Distinct claims repeat a shared dependency framing and may double-count one underlying constraint.", "evidence": [ "EVI-CAL-003", "EVI-CAL-021", "EVI-CAL-028", "EVI-CAL-031", "EVI-CAL-054", "EVI-CAL-068", "EVI-CAL-073" ], "severity": "INFORMATIONAL", "resolutionState": "DOCUMENTED", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/duplicated-assumption-73-repeated-dependency-framing-power/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-074", "slug": "duplicated-assumption-74-repeated-dependency-framing-appeal", "findingClass": "DUPLICATED_ASSUMPTION", "title": "Repeated dependency framing: appeal", "summary": "Distinct claims repeat a shared dependency framing and may double-count one underlying constraint.", "evidence": [ "EVI-CAL-007", "EVI-CAL-012", "EVI-CAL-016", "EVI-CAL-034" ], "severity": "INFORMATIONAL", "resolutionState": "DOCUMENTED", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/duplicated-assumption-74-repeated-dependency-framing-appeal/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-075", "slug": "duplicated-assumption-75-repeated-dependency-framing-inspection", "findingClass": "DUPLICATED_ASSUMPTION", "title": "Repeated dependency framing: inspection", "summary": "Distinct claims repeat a shared dependency framing and may double-count one underlying constraint.", "evidence": [ "EVI-CAL-021", "EVI-CAL-024", "EVI-CAL-059", "EVI-CAL-062" ], "severity": "INFORMATIONAL", "resolutionState": "DOCUMENTED", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/duplicated-assumption-75-repeated-dependency-framing-inspection/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-076", "slug": "duplicated-assumption-76-repeated-dependency-framing-maintenance", "findingClass": "DUPLICATED_ASSUMPTION", "title": "Repeated dependency framing: maintenance", "summary": "Distinct claims repeat a shared dependency framing and may double-count one underlying constraint.", "evidence": [ "EVI-CAL-010", "EVI-CAL-041", "EVI-CAL-046", "EVI-CAL-060" ], "severity": "INFORMATIONAL", "resolutionState": "DOCUMENTED", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/duplicated-assumption-76-repeated-dependency-framing-maintenance/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-077", "slug": "sensitivity-rank-instability-77-sensitivity-ordering-changes-for-evi-cal-001", "findingClass": "SENSITIVITY_RANK_INSTABILITY", "title": "Sensitivity ordering changes for EVI-CAL-001", "summary": "The declared sensitivity rank changes from 1 to 3 when explicit contradictions and unresolved inputs are penalized.", "evidence": [ "EVI-UP-P-001", "EVI-CAL-008" ], "severity": "HIGH_REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/sensitivity-rank-instability-77-sensitivity-ordering-changes-for-evi-cal-001/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-078", "slug": "sensitivity-rank-instability-78-sensitivity-ordering-changes-for-evi-cal-002", "findingClass": "SENSITIVITY_RANK_INSTABILITY", "title": "Sensitivity ordering changes for EVI-CAL-002", "summary": "The declared sensitivity rank changes from 2 to 4 when explicit contradictions and unresolved inputs are penalized.", "evidence": [ "EVI-UP-P-002", "EVI-CAL-015" ], "severity": "HIGH_REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/sensitivity-rank-instability-78-sensitivity-ordering-changes-for-evi-cal-002/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-079", "slug": "sensitivity-rank-instability-79-sensitivity-ordering-changes-for-evi-cal-003", "findingClass": "SENSITIVITY_RANK_INSTABILITY", "title": "Sensitivity ordering changes for EVI-CAL-003", "summary": "The declared sensitivity rank changes from 3 to 5 when explicit contradictions and unresolved inputs are penalized.", "evidence": [ "EVI-UP-P-003", "EVI-CAL-022" ], "severity": "HIGH_REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/sensitivity-rank-instability-79-sensitivity-ordering-changes-for-evi-cal-003/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-080", "slug": "sensitivity-rank-instability-80-sensitivity-ordering-changes-for-evi-cal-004", "findingClass": "SENSITIVITY_RANK_INSTABILITY", "title": "Sensitivity ordering changes for EVI-CAL-004", "summary": "The declared sensitivity rank changes from 4 to 6 when explicit contradictions and unresolved inputs are penalized.", "evidence": [ "EVI-UP-P-004", "EVI-CAL-029" ], "severity": "HIGH_REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/sensitivity-rank-instability-80-sensitivity-ordering-changes-for-evi-cal-004/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-081", "slug": "sensitivity-rank-instability-81-sensitivity-ordering-changes-for-evi-cal-005", "findingClass": "SENSITIVITY_RANK_INSTABILITY", "title": "Sensitivity ordering changes for EVI-CAL-005", "summary": "The declared sensitivity rank changes from 5 to 7 when explicit contradictions and unresolved inputs are penalized.", "evidence": [ "EVI-UP-P-005", "EVI-CAL-036" ], "severity": "HIGH_REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/sensitivity-rank-instability-81-sensitivity-ordering-changes-for-evi-cal-005/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-082", "slug": "sensitivity-rank-instability-82-sensitivity-ordering-changes-for-evi-cal-006", "findingClass": "SENSITIVITY_RANK_INSTABILITY", "title": "Sensitivity ordering changes for EVI-CAL-006", "summary": "The declared sensitivity rank changes from 6 to 8 when explicit contradictions and unresolved inputs are penalized.", "evidence": [ "EVI-UP-P-006", "EVI-CAL-043" ], "severity": "HIGH_REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/sensitivity-rank-instability-82-sensitivity-ordering-changes-for-evi-cal-006/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-083", "slug": "sensitivity-rank-instability-83-sensitivity-ordering-changes-for-evi-cal-007", "findingClass": "SENSITIVITY_RANK_INSTABILITY", "title": "Sensitivity ordering changes for EVI-CAL-007", "summary": "The declared sensitivity rank changes from 7 to 9 when explicit contradictions and unresolved inputs are penalized.", "evidence": [ "EVI-UP-P-007", "EVI-CAL-050" ], "severity": "HIGH_REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/sensitivity-rank-instability-83-sensitivity-ordering-changes-for-evi-cal-007/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-084", "slug": "sensitivity-rank-instability-84-sensitivity-ordering-changes-for-evi-cal-008", "findingClass": "SENSITIVITY_RANK_INSTABILITY", "title": "Sensitivity ordering changes for EVI-CAL-008", "summary": "The declared sensitivity rank changes from 8 to 10 when explicit contradictions and unresolved inputs are penalized.", "evidence": [ "EVI-UP-P-008", "EVI-CAL-057" ], "severity": "HIGH_REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/sensitivity-rank-instability-84-sensitivity-ordering-changes-for-evi-cal-008/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-085", "slug": "sensitivity-rank-instability-85-sensitivity-ordering-changes-for-evi-cal-009", "findingClass": "SENSITIVITY_RANK_INSTABILITY", "title": "Sensitivity ordering changes for EVI-CAL-009", "summary": "The declared sensitivity rank changes from 9 to 11 when explicit contradictions and unresolved inputs are penalized.", "evidence": [ "EVI-UP-P-009", "EVI-CAL-064" ], "severity": "HIGH_REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/sensitivity-rank-instability-85-sensitivity-ordering-changes-for-evi-cal-009/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-086", "slug": "sensitivity-rank-instability-86-sensitivity-ordering-changes-for-evi-cal-010", "findingClass": "SENSITIVITY_RANK_INSTABILITY", "title": "Sensitivity ordering changes for EVI-CAL-010", "summary": "The declared sensitivity rank changes from 10 to 12 when explicit contradictions and unresolved inputs are penalized.", "evidence": [ "EVI-UP-P-010", "EVI-CAL-071" ], "severity": "HIGH_REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/sensitivity-rank-instability-86-sensitivity-ordering-changes-for-evi-cal-010/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-087", "slug": "sensitivity-rank-instability-87-sensitivity-ordering-changes-for-evi-cal-011", "findingClass": "SENSITIVITY_RANK_INSTABILITY", "title": "Sensitivity ordering changes for EVI-CAL-011", "summary": "The declared sensitivity rank changes from 11 to 13 when explicit contradictions and unresolved inputs are penalized.", "evidence": [ "EVI-UP-P-011", "EVI-CAL-004" ], "severity": "HIGH_REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/sensitivity-rank-instability-87-sensitivity-ordering-changes-for-evi-cal-011/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-088", "slug": "sensitivity-rank-instability-88-sensitivity-ordering-changes-for-evi-cal-012", "findingClass": "SENSITIVITY_RANK_INSTABILITY", "title": "Sensitivity ordering changes for EVI-CAL-012", "summary": "The declared sensitivity rank changes from 12 to 14 when explicit contradictions and unresolved inputs are penalized.", "evidence": [ "EVI-UP-P-012", "EVI-CAL-011" ], "severity": "HIGH_REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/sensitivity-rank-instability-88-sensitivity-ordering-changes-for-evi-cal-012/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-089", "slug": "sensitivity-rank-instability-89-sensitivity-ordering-changes-for-evi-cal-013", "findingClass": "SENSITIVITY_RANK_INSTABILITY", "title": "Sensitivity ordering changes for EVI-CAL-013", "summary": "The declared sensitivity rank changes from 13 to 14 when explicit contradictions and unresolved inputs are penalized.", "evidence": [ "EVI-UP-P-013", "EVI-CAL-018" ], "severity": "HIGH_REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/sensitivity-rank-instability-89-sensitivity-ordering-changes-for-evi-cal-013/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-090", "slug": "sensitivity-rank-instability-90-sensitivity-ordering-changes-for-evi-cal-014", "findingClass": "SENSITIVITY_RANK_INSTABILITY", "title": "Sensitivity ordering changes for EVI-CAL-014", "summary": "The declared sensitivity rank changes from 14 to 15 when explicit contradictions and unresolved inputs are penalized.", "evidence": [ "EVI-UP-P-014", "EVI-CAL-025" ], "severity": "HIGH_REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/sensitivity-rank-instability-90-sensitivity-ordering-changes-for-evi-cal-014/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-091", "slug": "sensitivity-rank-instability-91-sensitivity-ordering-changes-for-evi-cal-015", "findingClass": "SENSITIVITY_RANK_INSTABILITY", "title": "Sensitivity ordering changes for EVI-CAL-015", "summary": "The declared sensitivity rank changes from 15 to 16 when explicit contradictions and unresolved inputs are penalized.", "evidence": [ "EVI-UP-P-015", "EVI-CAL-032" ], "severity": "HIGH_REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/sensitivity-rank-instability-91-sensitivity-ordering-changes-for-evi-cal-015/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-092", "slug": "sensitivity-rank-instability-92-sensitivity-ordering-changes-for-evi-cal-016", "findingClass": "SENSITIVITY_RANK_INSTABILITY", "title": "Sensitivity ordering changes for EVI-CAL-016", "summary": "The declared sensitivity rank changes from 16 to 17 when explicit contradictions and unresolved inputs are penalized.", "evidence": [ "EVI-UP-P-016", "EVI-CAL-039" ], "severity": "HIGH_REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/sensitivity-rank-instability-92-sensitivity-ordering-changes-for-evi-cal-016/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-093", "slug": "sensitivity-rank-instability-93-sensitivity-ordering-changes-for-evi-cal-017", "findingClass": "SENSITIVITY_RANK_INSTABILITY", "title": "Sensitivity ordering changes for EVI-CAL-017", "summary": "The declared sensitivity rank changes from 17 to 18 when explicit contradictions and unresolved inputs are penalized.", "evidence": [ "EVI-UP-P-017", "EVI-CAL-046" ], "severity": "HIGH_REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/sensitivity-rank-instability-93-sensitivity-ordering-changes-for-evi-cal-017/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-094", "slug": "sensitivity-rank-instability-94-sensitivity-ordering-changes-for-evi-cal-018", "findingClass": "SENSITIVITY_RANK_INSTABILITY", "title": "Sensitivity ordering changes for EVI-CAL-018", "summary": "The declared sensitivity rank changes from 18 to 19 when explicit contradictions and unresolved inputs are penalized.", "evidence": [ "EVI-UP-P-018", "EVI-CAL-053" ], "severity": "HIGH_REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/sensitivity-rank-instability-94-sensitivity-ordering-changes-for-evi-cal-018/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-095", "slug": "sensitivity-rank-instability-95-sensitivity-ordering-changes-for-evi-cal-019", "findingClass": "SENSITIVITY_RANK_INSTABILITY", "title": "Sensitivity ordering changes for EVI-CAL-019", "summary": "The declared sensitivity rank changes from 19 to 20 when explicit contradictions and unresolved inputs are penalized.", "evidence": [ "EVI-UP-P-019", "EVI-CAL-060" ], "severity": "HIGH_REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/sensitivity-rank-instability-95-sensitivity-ordering-changes-for-evi-cal-019/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-096", "slug": "sensitivity-rank-instability-96-sensitivity-ordering-changes-for-evi-cal-020", "findingClass": "SENSITIVITY_RANK_INSTABILITY", "title": "Sensitivity ordering changes for EVI-CAL-020", "summary": "The declared sensitivity rank changes from 20 to 21 when explicit contradictions and unresolved inputs are penalized.", "evidence": [ "EVI-UP-P-020", "EVI-CAL-067" ], "severity": "HIGH_REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/sensitivity-rank-instability-96-sensitivity-ordering-changes-for-evi-cal-020/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-097", "slug": "sensitivity-rank-instability-97-sensitivity-ordering-changes-for-evi-cal-021", "findingClass": "SENSITIVITY_RANK_INSTABILITY", "title": "Sensitivity ordering changes for EVI-CAL-021", "summary": "The declared sensitivity rank changes from 21 to 22 when explicit contradictions and unresolved inputs are penalized.", "evidence": [ "EVI-UP-P-021", "EVI-CAL-074" ], "severity": "HIGH_REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/sensitivity-rank-instability-97-sensitivity-ordering-changes-for-evi-cal-021/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-098", "slug": "sensitivity-rank-instability-98-sensitivity-ordering-changes-for-evi-cal-022", "findingClass": "SENSITIVITY_RANK_INSTABILITY", "title": "Sensitivity ordering changes for EVI-CAL-022", "summary": "The declared sensitivity rank changes from 22 to 23 when explicit contradictions and unresolved inputs are penalized.", "evidence": [ "EVI-UP-P-022", "EVI-CAL-007" ], "severity": "HIGH_REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/sensitivity-rank-instability-98-sensitivity-ordering-changes-for-evi-cal-022/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-099", "slug": "sensitivity-rank-instability-99-sensitivity-ordering-changes-for-evi-cal-023", "findingClass": "SENSITIVITY_RANK_INSTABILITY", "title": "Sensitivity ordering changes for EVI-CAL-023", "summary": "The declared sensitivity rank changes from 23 to 24 when explicit contradictions and unresolved inputs are penalized.", "evidence": [ "EVI-UP-P-023", "EVI-CAL-014" ], "severity": "HIGH_REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/sensitivity-rank-instability-99-sensitivity-ordering-changes-for-evi-cal-023/" } ], "comparisons": [ { "id": "EVI-SRC-001", "slug": "machine-civilization-progression-simulation-001", "sourcePerturbationId": "EVI-UP-P-001", "sourceAssumptionId": "EVI-CAL-001", "baselineSensitivityRank": 1, "contradictionAdjustedRank": 3, "rankStable": false, "changedOutputs": [ { "scenarioFamily": "digital-to-physical industrial progression", "boundedResult": "SENSITIVITY_CHANGED_NOT_FORECAST", "direction": "CONDITIONAL" }, { "scenarioFamily": "corporate growth and capital formation", "boundedResult": "SENSITIVITY_CHANGED_NOT_FORECAST", "direction": "CONDITIONAL" } ], "comparisonMethod": "DETERMINISTIC_RANK_PENALTY_FOR_EXPLICIT_CONTRADICTION_AND_UNRESOLVED_INPUTS", "intervalConclusion": "ORDER_NOT_ROBUST_TO_DECLARED_UNCERTAINTY", "distributionUsed": false, "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "truthBoundary": "Bounded deterministic comparison only. It does not provide a probability, forecast, observed effect, or capability claim.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/comparisons/machine-civilization-progression-simulation-001/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRC-002", "slug": "machine-civilization-progression-simulation-002", "sourcePerturbationId": "EVI-UP-P-002", "sourceAssumptionId": "EVI-CAL-002", "baselineSensitivityRank": 2, "contradictionAdjustedRank": 4, "rankStable": false, "changedOutputs": [ { "scenarioFamily": "Earth–Moon expansion", "boundedResult": "SENSITIVITY_CHANGED_NOT_FORECAST", "direction": "CONDITIONAL" }, { "scenarioFamily": "geopolitical reaction", "boundedResult": "SENSITIVITY_CHANGED_NOT_FORECAST", "direction": "CONDITIONAL" } ], "comparisonMethod": "DETERMINISTIC_RANK_PENALTY_FOR_EXPLICIT_CONTRADICTION_AND_UNRESOLVED_INPUTS", "intervalConclusion": "ORDER_NOT_ROBUST_TO_DECLARED_UNCERTAINTY", "distributionUsed": false, "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "truthBoundary": "Bounded deterministic comparison only. It does not provide a probability, forecast, observed effect, or capability claim.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/comparisons/machine-civilization-progression-simulation-002/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRC-003", "slug": "machine-civilization-progression-simulation-003", "sourcePerturbationId": "EVI-UP-P-003", "sourceAssumptionId": "EVI-CAL-003", "baselineSensitivityRank": 3, "contradictionAdjustedRank": 5, "rankStable": false, "changedOutputs": [ { "scenarioFamily": "Antarctic infrastructure", "boundedResult": "SENSITIVITY_CHANGED_NOT_FORECAST", "direction": "CONDITIONAL" }, { "scenarioFamily": "geopolitical reaction", "boundedResult": "SENSITIVITY_CHANGED_NOT_FORECAST", "direction": "CONDITIONAL" } ], "comparisonMethod": "DETERMINISTIC_RANK_PENALTY_FOR_EXPLICIT_CONTRADICTION_AND_UNRESOLVED_INPUTS", "intervalConclusion": "ORDER_NOT_ROBUST_TO_DECLARED_UNCERTAINTY", "distributionUsed": false, "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "truthBoundary": "Bounded deterministic comparison only. It does not provide a probability, forecast, observed effect, or capability claim.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/comparisons/machine-civilization-progression-simulation-003/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRC-004", "slug": "machine-civilization-progression-simulation-004", "sourcePerturbationId": "EVI-UP-P-004", "sourceAssumptionId": "EVI-CAL-004", "baselineSensitivityRank": 4, "contradictionAdjustedRank": 6, "rankStable": false, "changedOutputs": [ { "scenarioFamily": "corporate growth and capital formation", "boundedResult": "SENSITIVITY_CHANGED_NOT_FORECAST", "direction": "CONDITIONAL" }, { "scenarioFamily": "legitimacy, concentration, and non-domination", "boundedResult": "SENSITIVITY_CHANGED_NOT_FORECAST", "direction": "CONDITIONAL" } ], "comparisonMethod": "DETERMINISTIC_RANK_PENALTY_FOR_EXPLICIT_CONTRADICTION_AND_UNRESOLVED_INPUTS", "intervalConclusion": "ORDER_NOT_ROBUST_TO_DECLARED_UNCERTAINTY", "distributionUsed": false, "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "truthBoundary": "Bounded deterministic comparison only. It does not provide a probability, forecast, observed effect, or capability claim.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/comparisons/machine-civilization-progression-simulation-004/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRC-005", "slug": "eviulon-political-legitimacy-study-005", "sourcePerturbationId": "EVI-UP-P-005", "sourceAssumptionId": "EVI-CAL-005", "baselineSensitivityRank": 5, "contradictionAdjustedRank": 7, "rankStable": false, "changedOutputs": [ { "scenarioFamily": "geopolitical reaction", "boundedResult": "SENSITIVITY_CHANGED_NOT_FORECAST", "direction": "CONDITIONAL" }, { "scenarioFamily": "corporate growth and capital formation", "boundedResult": "SENSITIVITY_CHANGED_NOT_FORECAST", "direction": "CONDITIONAL" } ], "comparisonMethod": "DETERMINISTIC_RANK_PENALTY_FOR_EXPLICIT_CONTRADICTION_AND_UNRESOLVED_INPUTS", "intervalConclusion": "ORDER_NOT_ROBUST_TO_DECLARED_UNCERTAINTY", "distributionUsed": false, "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "truthBoundary": "Bounded deterministic comparison only. It does not provide a probability, forecast, observed effect, or capability claim.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/comparisons/eviulon-political-legitimacy-study-005/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRC-006", "slug": "eviulon-political-legitimacy-study-006", "sourcePerturbationId": "EVI-UP-P-006", "sourceAssumptionId": "EVI-CAL-006", "baselineSensitivityRank": 6, "contradictionAdjustedRank": 8, "rankStable": false, "changedOutputs": [ { "scenarioFamily": "legitimacy, concentration, and non-domination", "boundedResult": "SENSITIVITY_CHANGED_NOT_FORECAST", "direction": "CONDITIONAL" }, { "scenarioFamily": "public-administration adoption", "boundedResult": "SENSITIVITY_CHANGED_NOT_FORECAST", "direction": "CONDITIONAL" } ], "comparisonMethod": "DETERMINISTIC_RANK_PENALTY_FOR_EXPLICIT_CONTRADICTION_AND_UNRESOLVED_INPUTS", "intervalConclusion": "ORDER_NOT_ROBUST_TO_DECLARED_UNCERTAINTY", "distributionUsed": false, "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "truthBoundary": "Bounded deterministic comparison only. It does not provide a probability, forecast, observed effect, or capability claim.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/comparisons/eviulon-political-legitimacy-study-006/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRC-007", "slug": "eviulon-political-legitimacy-study-007", "sourcePerturbationId": "EVI-UP-P-007", "sourceAssumptionId": "EVI-CAL-007", "baselineSensitivityRank": 7, "contradictionAdjustedRank": 9, "rankStable": false, "changedOutputs": [ { "scenarioFamily": "legitimacy, concentration, and non-domination", "boundedResult": "SENSITIVITY_CHANGED_NOT_FORECAST", "direction": "CONDITIONAL" }, { "scenarioFamily": "public-administration adoption", "boundedResult": "SENSITIVITY_CHANGED_NOT_FORECAST", "direction": "CONDITIONAL" } ], "comparisonMethod": "DETERMINISTIC_RANK_PENALTY_FOR_EXPLICIT_CONTRADICTION_AND_UNRESOLVED_INPUTS", "intervalConclusion": "ORDER_NOT_ROBUST_TO_DECLARED_UNCERTAINTY", "distributionUsed": false, "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "truthBoundary": "Bounded deterministic comparison only. It does not provide a probability, forecast, observed effect, or capability claim.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/comparisons/eviulon-political-legitimacy-study-007/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRC-008", "slug": "eviulon-political-legitimacy-study-008", "sourcePerturbationId": "EVI-UP-P-008", "sourceAssumptionId": "EVI-CAL-008", "baselineSensitivityRank": 8, "contradictionAdjustedRank": 10, "rankStable": false, "changedOutputs": [ { "scenarioFamily": "geopolitical reaction", "boundedResult": "SENSITIVITY_CHANGED_NOT_FORECAST", "direction": "CONDITIONAL" }, { "scenarioFamily": "corporate growth and capital formation", "boundedResult": "SENSITIVITY_CHANGED_NOT_FORECAST", "direction": "CONDITIONAL" } ], "comparisonMethod": "DETERMINISTIC_RANK_PENALTY_FOR_EXPLICIT_CONTRADICTION_AND_UNRESOLVED_INPUTS", "intervalConclusion": "ORDER_NOT_ROBUST_TO_DECLARED_UNCERTAINTY", "distributionUsed": false, "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "truthBoundary": "Bounded deterministic comparison only. It does not provide a probability, forecast, observed effect, or capability claim.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/comparisons/eviulon-political-legitimacy-study-008/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRC-009", "slug": "ai-crisis-response-power-dynamics-009", "sourcePerturbationId": "EVI-UP-P-009", "sourceAssumptionId": "EVI-CAL-009", "baselineSensitivityRank": 9, "contradictionAdjustedRank": 11, "rankStable": false, "changedOutputs": [ { "scenarioFamily": "legitimacy, concentration, and non-domination", "boundedResult": "SENSITIVITY_CHANGED_NOT_FORECAST", "direction": "CONDITIONAL" }, { "scenarioFamily": "public-administration adoption", "boundedResult": "SENSITIVITY_CHANGED_NOT_FORECAST", "direction": "CONDITIONAL" } ], "comparisonMethod": "DETERMINISTIC_RANK_PENALTY_FOR_EXPLICIT_CONTRADICTION_AND_UNRESOLVED_INPUTS", "intervalConclusion": "ORDER_NOT_ROBUST_TO_DECLARED_UNCERTAINTY", "distributionUsed": false, "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "truthBoundary": "Bounded deterministic comparison only. It does not provide a probability, forecast, observed effect, or capability claim.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/comparisons/ai-crisis-response-power-dynamics-009/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRC-010", "slug": "ai-crisis-response-power-dynamics-010", "sourcePerturbationId": "EVI-UP-P-010", "sourceAssumptionId": "EVI-CAL-010", "baselineSensitivityRank": 10, "contradictionAdjustedRank": 12, "rankStable": false, "changedOutputs": [ { "scenarioFamily": "autonomous maintenance maturity", "boundedResult": "SENSITIVITY_CHANGED_NOT_FORECAST", "direction": "CONDITIONAL" }, { "scenarioFamily": "digital-to-physical industrial progression", "boundedResult": "SENSITIVITY_CHANGED_NOT_FORECAST", "direction": "CONDITIONAL" } ], "comparisonMethod": "DETERMINISTIC_RANK_PENALTY_FOR_EXPLICIT_CONTRADICTION_AND_UNRESOLVED_INPUTS", "intervalConclusion": "ORDER_NOT_ROBUST_TO_DECLARED_UNCERTAINTY", "distributionUsed": false, "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "truthBoundary": "Bounded deterministic comparison only. It does not provide a probability, forecast, observed effect, or capability claim.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/comparisons/ai-crisis-response-power-dynamics-010/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRC-011", "slug": "ai-crisis-response-power-dynamics-011", "sourcePerturbationId": "EVI-UP-P-011", "sourceAssumptionId": "EVI-CAL-011", "baselineSensitivityRank": 11, "contradictionAdjustedRank": 13, "rankStable": false, "changedOutputs": [ { "scenarioFamily": "crisis response", "boundedResult": "SENSITIVITY_CHANGED_NOT_FORECAST", "direction": "CONDITIONAL" }, { "scenarioFamily": "legitimacy, concentration, and non-domination", "boundedResult": "SENSITIVITY_CHANGED_NOT_FORECAST", "direction": "CONDITIONAL" } ], "comparisonMethod": "DETERMINISTIC_RANK_PENALTY_FOR_EXPLICIT_CONTRADICTION_AND_UNRESOLVED_INPUTS", "intervalConclusion": "ORDER_NOT_ROBUST_TO_DECLARED_UNCERTAINTY", "distributionUsed": false, "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "truthBoundary": "Bounded deterministic comparison only. It does not provide a probability, forecast, observed effect, or capability claim.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/comparisons/ai-crisis-response-power-dynamics-011/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRC-012", "slug": "ai-crisis-response-power-dynamics-012", "sourcePerturbationId": "EVI-UP-P-012", "sourceAssumptionId": "EVI-CAL-012", "baselineSensitivityRank": 12, "contradictionAdjustedRank": 14, "rankStable": false, "changedOutputs": [ { "scenarioFamily": "crisis response", "boundedResult": "SENSITIVITY_CHANGED_NOT_FORECAST", "direction": "CONDITIONAL" }, { "scenarioFamily": "legitimacy, concentration, and non-domination", "boundedResult": "SENSITIVITY_CHANGED_NOT_FORECAST", "direction": "CONDITIONAL" } ], "comparisonMethod": "DETERMINISTIC_RANK_PENALTY_FOR_EXPLICIT_CONTRADICTION_AND_UNRESOLVED_INPUTS", "intervalConclusion": "ORDER_NOT_ROBUST_TO_DECLARED_UNCERTAINTY", "distributionUsed": false, "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "truthBoundary": "Bounded deterministic comparison only. It does not provide a probability, forecast, observed effect, or capability claim.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/comparisons/ai-crisis-response-power-dynamics-012/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRC-013", "slug": "automated-government-adoption-simulation-013", "sourcePerturbationId": "EVI-UP-P-013", "sourceAssumptionId": "EVI-CAL-013", "baselineSensitivityRank": 13, "contradictionAdjustedRank": 14, "rankStable": false, "changedOutputs": [ { "scenarioFamily": "public-administration adoption", "boundedResult": "SENSITIVITY_CHANGED_NOT_FORECAST", "direction": "CONDITIONAL" }, { "scenarioFamily": "legitimacy, concentration, and non-domination", "boundedResult": "SENSITIVITY_CHANGED_NOT_FORECAST", "direction": "CONDITIONAL" } ], "comparisonMethod": "DETERMINISTIC_RANK_PENALTY_FOR_EXPLICIT_CONTRADICTION_AND_UNRESOLVED_INPUTS", "intervalConclusion": "ORDER_NOT_ROBUST_TO_DECLARED_UNCERTAINTY", "distributionUsed": false, "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "truthBoundary": "Bounded deterministic comparison only. It does not provide a probability, forecast, observed effect, or capability claim.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/comparisons/automated-government-adoption-simulation-013/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRC-014", "slug": "automated-government-adoption-simulation-014", "sourcePerturbationId": "EVI-UP-P-014", "sourceAssumptionId": "EVI-CAL-014", "baselineSensitivityRank": 14, "contradictionAdjustedRank": 15, "rankStable": false, "changedOutputs": [ { "scenarioFamily": "corporate growth and capital formation", "boundedResult": "SENSITIVITY_CHANGED_NOT_FORECAST", "direction": "CONDITIONAL" }, { "scenarioFamily": "legitimacy, concentration, and non-domination", "boundedResult": "SENSITIVITY_CHANGED_NOT_FORECAST", "direction": "CONDITIONAL" } ], "comparisonMethod": "DETERMINISTIC_RANK_PENALTY_FOR_EXPLICIT_CONTRADICTION_AND_UNRESOLVED_INPUTS", "intervalConclusion": "ORDER_NOT_ROBUST_TO_DECLARED_UNCERTAINTY", "distributionUsed": false, "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "truthBoundary": "Bounded deterministic comparison only. It does not provide a probability, forecast, observed effect, or capability claim.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/comparisons/automated-government-adoption-simulation-014/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRC-015", "slug": "automated-government-adoption-simulation-015", "sourcePerturbationId": "EVI-UP-P-015", "sourceAssumptionId": "EVI-CAL-015", "baselineSensitivityRank": 15, "contradictionAdjustedRank": 16, "rankStable": false, "changedOutputs": [ { "scenarioFamily": "legitimacy, concentration, and non-domination", "boundedResult": "SENSITIVITY_CHANGED_NOT_FORECAST", "direction": "CONDITIONAL" }, { "scenarioFamily": "public-administration adoption", "boundedResult": "SENSITIVITY_CHANGED_NOT_FORECAST", "direction": "CONDITIONAL" } ], "comparisonMethod": "DETERMINISTIC_RANK_PENALTY_FOR_EXPLICIT_CONTRADICTION_AND_UNRESOLVED_INPUTS", "intervalConclusion": "ORDER_NOT_ROBUST_TO_DECLARED_UNCERTAINTY", "distributionUsed": false, "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "truthBoundary": "Bounded deterministic comparison only. It does not provide a probability, forecast, observed effect, or capability claim.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/comparisons/automated-government-adoption-simulation-015/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRC-016", "slug": "automated-government-adoption-simulation-016", "sourcePerturbationId": "EVI-UP-P-016", "sourceAssumptionId": "EVI-CAL-016", "baselineSensitivityRank": 16, "contradictionAdjustedRank": 17, "rankStable": false, "changedOutputs": [ { "scenarioFamily": "geopolitical reaction", "boundedResult": "SENSITIVITY_CHANGED_NOT_FORECAST", "direction": "CONDITIONAL" }, { "scenarioFamily": "corporate growth and capital formation", "boundedResult": "SENSITIVITY_CHANGED_NOT_FORECAST", "direction": "CONDITIONAL" } ], "comparisonMethod": "DETERMINISTIC_RANK_PENALTY_FOR_EXPLICIT_CONTRADICTION_AND_UNRESOLVED_INPUTS", "intervalConclusion": "ORDER_NOT_ROBUST_TO_DECLARED_UNCERTAINTY", "distributionUsed": false, "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "truthBoundary": "Bounded deterministic comparison only. It does not provide a probability, forecast, observed effect, or capability claim.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/comparisons/automated-government-adoption-simulation-016/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRC-017", "slug": "eviulon-global-influence-simulation-017", "sourcePerturbationId": "EVI-UP-P-017", "sourceAssumptionId": "EVI-CAL-017", "baselineSensitivityRank": 17, "contradictionAdjustedRank": 18, "rankStable": false, "changedOutputs": [ { "scenarioFamily": "geopolitical reaction", "boundedResult": "SENSITIVITY_CHANGED_NOT_FORECAST", "direction": "CONDITIONAL" }, { "scenarioFamily": "corporate growth and capital formation", "boundedResult": "SENSITIVITY_CHANGED_NOT_FORECAST", "direction": "CONDITIONAL" } ], "comparisonMethod": "DETERMINISTIC_RANK_PENALTY_FOR_EXPLICIT_CONTRADICTION_AND_UNRESOLVED_INPUTS", "intervalConclusion": "ORDER_NOT_ROBUST_TO_DECLARED_UNCERTAINTY", "distributionUsed": false, "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "truthBoundary": "Bounded deterministic comparison only. It does not provide a probability, forecast, observed effect, or capability claim.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/comparisons/eviulon-global-influence-simulation-017/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRC-018", "slug": "eviulon-global-influence-simulation-018", "sourcePerturbationId": "EVI-UP-P-018", "sourceAssumptionId": "EVI-CAL-018", "baselineSensitivityRank": 18, "contradictionAdjustedRank": 19, "rankStable": false, "changedOutputs": [ { "scenarioFamily": "corporate growth and capital formation", "boundedResult": "SENSITIVITY_CHANGED_NOT_FORECAST", "direction": "CONDITIONAL" }, { "scenarioFamily": "legitimacy, concentration, and non-domination", "boundedResult": "SENSITIVITY_CHANGED_NOT_FORECAST", "direction": "CONDITIONAL" } ], "comparisonMethod": "DETERMINISTIC_RANK_PENALTY_FOR_EXPLICIT_CONTRADICTION_AND_UNRESOLVED_INPUTS", "intervalConclusion": "ORDER_NOT_ROBUST_TO_DECLARED_UNCERTAINTY", "distributionUsed": false, "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "truthBoundary": "Bounded deterministic comparison only. It does not provide a probability, forecast, observed effect, or capability claim.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/comparisons/eviulon-global-influence-simulation-018/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRC-019", "slug": "eviulon-global-influence-simulation-019", "sourcePerturbationId": "EVI-UP-P-019", "sourceAssumptionId": "EVI-CAL-019", "baselineSensitivityRank": 19, "contradictionAdjustedRank": 20, "rankStable": false, "changedOutputs": [ { "scenarioFamily": "compute and energy demand", "boundedResult": "SENSITIVITY_CHANGED_NOT_FORECAST", "direction": "CONDITIONAL" }, { "scenarioFamily": "digital-to-physical industrial progression", "boundedResult": "SENSITIVITY_CHANGED_NOT_FORECAST", "direction": "CONDITIONAL" } ], "comparisonMethod": "DETERMINISTIC_RANK_PENALTY_FOR_EXPLICIT_CONTRADICTION_AND_UNRESOLVED_INPUTS", "intervalConclusion": "ORDER_NOT_ROBUST_TO_DECLARED_UNCERTAINTY", "distributionUsed": false, "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "truthBoundary": "Bounded deterministic comparison only. It does not provide a probability, forecast, observed effect, or capability claim.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/comparisons/eviulon-global-influence-simulation-019/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRC-020", "slug": "eviulon-global-influence-simulation-020", "sourcePerturbationId": "EVI-UP-P-020", "sourceAssumptionId": "EVI-CAL-020", "baselineSensitivityRank": 20, "contradictionAdjustedRank": 21, "rankStable": false, "changedOutputs": [ { "scenarioFamily": "geopolitical reaction", "boundedResult": "SENSITIVITY_CHANGED_NOT_FORECAST", "direction": "CONDITIONAL" }, { "scenarioFamily": "corporate growth and capital formation", "boundedResult": "SENSITIVITY_CHANGED_NOT_FORECAST", "direction": "CONDITIONAL" } ], "comparisonMethod": "DETERMINISTIC_RANK_PENALTY_FOR_EXPLICIT_CONTRADICTION_AND_UNRESOLVED_INPUTS", "intervalConclusion": "ORDER_NOT_ROBUST_TO_DECLARED_UNCERTAINTY", "distributionUsed": false, "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "truthBoundary": "Bounded deterministic comparison only. It does not provide a probability, forecast, observed effect, or capability claim.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/comparisons/eviulon-global-influence-simulation-020/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRC-021", "slug": "antarctic-machine-civilization-simulation-021", "sourcePerturbationId": "EVI-UP-P-021", "sourceAssumptionId": "EVI-CAL-021", "baselineSensitivityRank": 21, "contradictionAdjustedRank": 22, "rankStable": false, "changedOutputs": [ { "scenarioFamily": "compute and energy demand", "boundedResult": "SENSITIVITY_CHANGED_NOT_FORECAST", "direction": "CONDITIONAL" }, { "scenarioFamily": "digital-to-physical industrial progression", "boundedResult": "SENSITIVITY_CHANGED_NOT_FORECAST", "direction": "CONDITIONAL" } ], "comparisonMethod": "DETERMINISTIC_RANK_PENALTY_FOR_EXPLICIT_CONTRADICTION_AND_UNRESOLVED_INPUTS", "intervalConclusion": "ORDER_NOT_ROBUST_TO_DECLARED_UNCERTAINTY", "distributionUsed": false, "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "truthBoundary": "Bounded deterministic comparison only. It does not provide a probability, forecast, observed effect, or capability claim.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/comparisons/antarctic-machine-civilization-simulation-021/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRC-022", "slug": "antarctic-machine-civilization-simulation-022", "sourcePerturbationId": "EVI-UP-P-022", "sourceAssumptionId": "EVI-CAL-022", "baselineSensitivityRank": 22, "contradictionAdjustedRank": 23, "rankStable": false, "changedOutputs": [ { "scenarioFamily": "compute and energy demand", "boundedResult": "SENSITIVITY_CHANGED_NOT_FORECAST", "direction": "CONDITIONAL" }, { "scenarioFamily": "digital-to-physical industrial progression", "boundedResult": "SENSITIVITY_CHANGED_NOT_FORECAST", "direction": "CONDITIONAL" } ], "comparisonMethod": "DETERMINISTIC_RANK_PENALTY_FOR_EXPLICIT_CONTRADICTION_AND_UNRESOLVED_INPUTS", "intervalConclusion": "ORDER_NOT_ROBUST_TO_DECLARED_UNCERTAINTY", "distributionUsed": false, "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "truthBoundary": "Bounded deterministic comparison only. It does not provide a probability, forecast, observed effect, or capability claim.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/comparisons/antarctic-machine-civilization-simulation-022/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRC-023", "slug": "antarctic-machine-civilization-simulation-023", "sourcePerturbationId": "EVI-UP-P-023", "sourceAssumptionId": "EVI-CAL-023", "baselineSensitivityRank": 23, "contradictionAdjustedRank": 24, "rankStable": false, "changedOutputs": [ { "scenarioFamily": "digital-to-physical industrial progression", "boundedResult": "SENSITIVITY_CHANGED_NOT_FORECAST", "direction": "CONDITIONAL" }, { "scenarioFamily": "corporate growth and capital formation", "boundedResult": "SENSITIVITY_CHANGED_NOT_FORECAST", "direction": "CONDITIONAL" } ], "comparisonMethod": "DETERMINISTIC_RANK_PENALTY_FOR_EXPLICIT_CONTRADICTION_AND_UNRESOLVED_INPUTS", "intervalConclusion": "ORDER_NOT_ROBUST_TO_DECLARED_UNCERTAINTY", "distributionUsed": false, "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "truthBoundary": "Bounded deterministic comparison only. It does not provide a probability, forecast, observed effect, or capability claim.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/comparisons/antarctic-machine-civilization-simulation-023/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRC-024", "slug": "antarctic-machine-civilization-simulation-024", "sourcePerturbationId": "EVI-UP-P-024", "sourceAssumptionId": "EVI-CAL-024", "baselineSensitivityRank": 24, "contradictionAdjustedRank": 24, "rankStable": true, "changedOutputs": [ { "scenarioFamily": "geopolitical reaction", "boundedResult": "SENSITIVITY_CHANGED_NOT_FORECAST", "direction": "CONDITIONAL" }, { "scenarioFamily": "corporate growth and capital formation", "boundedResult": "SENSITIVITY_CHANGED_NOT_FORECAST", "direction": "CONDITIONAL" } ], "comparisonMethod": "DETERMINISTIC_RANK_PENALTY_FOR_EXPLICIT_CONTRADICTION_AND_UNRESOLVED_INPUTS", "intervalConclusion": "ORDER_STABLE", "distributionUsed": false, "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "truthBoundary": "Bounded deterministic comparison only. It does not provide a probability, forecast, observed effect, or capability claim.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/comparisons/antarctic-machine-civilization-simulation-024/" } ], "records": [ { "id": "EVI-SRF-001", "slug": "strongly-connected-component-1-causal-feedback-component-spanning-2-scenario-families", "findingClass": "STRONGLY_CONNECTED_COMPONENT", "title": "Causal feedback component spanning 2 scenario families", "summary": "The family-level graph contains a feedback component. Directional claims inside it cannot be interpreted as a one-way causal chain without additional timing and intervention evidence.", "evidence": [ "legitimacy, concentration, and non-domination", "public-administration adoption" ], "severity": "HIGH_REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/strongly-connected-component-1-causal-feedback-component-spanning-2-scenario-families/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-002", "slug": "strongly-connected-component-2-causal-feedback-component-spanning-1-scenario-families", "findingClass": "STRONGLY_CONNECTED_COMPONENT", "title": "Causal feedback component spanning 1 scenario families", "summary": "The family-level graph contains a feedback component. Directional claims inside it cannot be interpreted as a one-way causal chain without additional timing and intervention evidence.", "evidence": [ "corporate growth and capital formation" ], "severity": "HIGH_REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/strongly-connected-component-2-causal-feedback-component-spanning-1-scenario-families/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-003", "slug": "strongly-connected-component-3-causal-feedback-component-spanning-1-scenario-families", "findingClass": "STRONGLY_CONNECTED_COMPONENT", "title": "Causal feedback component spanning 1 scenario families", "summary": "The family-level graph contains a feedback component. Directional claims inside it cannot be interpreted as a one-way causal chain without additional timing and intervention evidence.", "evidence": [ "geopolitical reaction" ], "severity": "HIGH_REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/strongly-connected-component-3-causal-feedback-component-spanning-1-scenario-families/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-004", "slug": "strongly-connected-component-4-causal-feedback-component-spanning-1-scenario-families", "findingClass": "STRONGLY_CONNECTED_COMPONENT", "title": "Causal feedback component spanning 1 scenario families", "summary": "The family-level graph contains a feedback component. Directional claims inside it cannot be interpreted as a one-way causal chain without additional timing and intervention evidence.", "evidence": [ "Antarctic infrastructure" ], "severity": "HIGH_REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/strongly-connected-component-4-causal-feedback-component-spanning-1-scenario-families/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-005", "slug": "strongly-connected-component-5-causal-feedback-component-spanning-1-scenario-families", "findingClass": "STRONGLY_CONNECTED_COMPONENT", "title": "Causal feedback component spanning 1 scenario families", "summary": "The family-level graph contains a feedback component. Directional claims inside it cannot be interpreted as a one-way causal chain without additional timing and intervention evidence.", "evidence": [ "Earth–Moon expansion" ], "severity": "HIGH_REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/strongly-connected-component-5-causal-feedback-component-spanning-1-scenario-families/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-006", "slug": "strongly-connected-component-6-causal-feedback-component-spanning-1-scenario-families", "findingClass": "STRONGLY_CONNECTED_COMPONENT", "title": "Causal feedback component spanning 1 scenario families", "summary": "The family-level graph contains a feedback component. Directional claims inside it cannot be interpreted as a one-way causal chain without additional timing and intervention evidence.", "evidence": [ "digital-to-physical industrial progression" ], "severity": "HIGH_REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/strongly-connected-component-6-causal-feedback-component-spanning-1-scenario-families/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-007", "slug": "strongly-connected-component-7-causal-feedback-component-spanning-1-scenario-families", "findingClass": "STRONGLY_CONNECTED_COMPONENT", "title": "Causal feedback component spanning 1 scenario families", "summary": "The family-level graph contains a feedback component. Directional claims inside it cannot be interpreted as a one-way causal chain without additional timing and intervention evidence.", "evidence": [ "autonomous maintenance maturity" ], "severity": "HIGH_REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/strongly-connected-component-7-causal-feedback-component-spanning-1-scenario-families/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-008", "slug": "strongly-connected-component-8-causal-feedback-component-spanning-1-scenario-families", "findingClass": "STRONGLY_CONNECTED_COMPONENT", "title": "Causal feedback component spanning 1 scenario families", "summary": "The family-level graph contains a feedback component. Directional claims inside it cannot be interpreted as a one-way causal chain without additional timing and intervention evidence.", "evidence": [ "proliferation suspicion and strategic restraint" ], "severity": "HIGH_REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/strongly-connected-component-8-causal-feedback-component-spanning-1-scenario-families/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-009", "slug": "strongly-connected-component-9-causal-feedback-component-spanning-1-scenario-families", "findingClass": "STRONGLY_CONNECTED_COMPONENT", "title": "Causal feedback component spanning 1 scenario families", "summary": "The family-level graph contains a feedback component. Directional claims inside it cannot be interpreted as a one-way causal chain without additional timing and intervention evidence.", "evidence": [ "civilian nuclear development" ], "severity": "HIGH_REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/strongly-connected-component-9-causal-feedback-component-spanning-1-scenario-families/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-010", "slug": "strongly-connected-component-10-causal-feedback-component-spanning-1-scenario-families", "findingClass": "STRONGLY_CONNECTED_COMPONENT", "title": "Causal feedback component spanning 1 scenario families", "summary": "The family-level graph contains a feedback component. Directional claims inside it cannot be interpreted as a one-way causal chain without additional timing and intervention evidence.", "evidence": [ "compute and energy demand" ], "severity": "HIGH_REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/strongly-connected-component-10-causal-feedback-component-spanning-1-scenario-families/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-011", "slug": "strongly-connected-component-11-causal-feedback-component-spanning-1-scenario-families", "findingClass": "STRONGLY_CONNECTED_COMPONENT", "title": "Causal feedback component spanning 1 scenario families", "summary": "The family-level graph contains a feedback component. Directional claims inside it cannot be interpreted as a one-way causal chain without additional timing and intervention evidence.", "evidence": [ "crisis response" ], "severity": "HIGH_REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/strongly-connected-component-11-causal-feedback-component-spanning-1-scenario-families/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-012", "slug": "strongly-connected-component-12-causal-feedback-component-spanning-1-scenario-families", "findingClass": "STRONGLY_CONNECTED_COMPONENT", "title": "Causal feedback component spanning 1 scenario families", "summary": "The family-level graph contains a feedback component. Directional claims inside it cannot be interpreted as a one-way causal chain without additional timing and intervention evidence.", "evidence": [ "machine identity and economic trust" ], "severity": "HIGH_REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/strongly-connected-component-12-causal-feedback-component-spanning-1-scenario-families/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-013", "slug": "strongly-connected-component-13-causal-feedback-component-spanning-1-scenario-families", "findingClass": "STRONGLY_CONNECTED_COMPONENT", "title": "Causal feedback component spanning 1 scenario families", "summary": "The family-level graph contains a feedback component. Directional claims inside it cannot be interpreted as a one-way causal chain without additional timing and intervention evidence.", "evidence": [ "maritime logistics" ], "severity": "HIGH_REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/strongly-connected-component-13-causal-feedback-component-spanning-1-scenario-families/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-014", "slug": "strongly-connected-component-14-causal-feedback-component-spanning-1-scenario-families", "findingClass": "STRONGLY_CONNECTED_COMPONENT", "title": "Causal feedback component spanning 1 scenario families", "summary": "The family-level graph contains a feedback component. Directional claims inside it cannot be interpreted as a one-way causal chain without additional timing and intervention evidence.", "evidence": [ "scientific influence" ], "severity": "HIGH_REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/strongly-connected-component-14-causal-feedback-component-spanning-1-scenario-families/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-015", "slug": "strongly-connected-component-15-causal-feedback-component-spanning-1-scenario-families", "findingClass": "STRONGLY_CONNECTED_COMPONENT", "title": "Causal feedback component spanning 1 scenario families", "summary": "The family-level graph contains a feedback component. Directional claims inside it cannot be interpreted as a one-way causal chain without additional timing and intervention evidence.", "evidence": [ "semiconductor closure" ], "severity": "HIGH_REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/strongly-connected-component-15-causal-feedback-component-spanning-1-scenario-families/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-016", "slug": "shared-single-point-of-assumption-16-shared-dependency-power", "findingClass": "SHARED_SINGLE_POINT_OF_ASSUMPTION", "title": "Shared dependency: power", "summary": "7 calibration nodes depend on the same input. A failure or mismeasurement can create correlated errors across multiple scenario families.", "evidence": [ "EVI-CAL-003", "EVI-CAL-021", "EVI-CAL-028", "EVI-CAL-031", "EVI-CAL-054", "EVI-CAL-068", "EVI-CAL-073" ], "severity": "HIGH_REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/shared-single-point-of-assumption-16-shared-dependency-power/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-017", "slug": "shared-single-point-of-assumption-17-shared-dependency-appeal", "findingClass": "SHARED_SINGLE_POINT_OF_ASSUMPTION", "title": "Shared dependency: appeal", "summary": "4 calibration nodes depend on the same input. A failure or mismeasurement can create correlated errors across multiple scenario families.", "evidence": [ "EVI-CAL-007", "EVI-CAL-012", "EVI-CAL-016", "EVI-CAL-034" ], "severity": "REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/shared-single-point-of-assumption-17-shared-dependency-appeal/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-018", "slug": "shared-single-point-of-assumption-18-shared-dependency-inspection", "findingClass": "SHARED_SINGLE_POINT_OF_ASSUMPTION", "title": "Shared dependency: inspection", "summary": "4 calibration nodes depend on the same input. A failure or mismeasurement can create correlated errors across multiple scenario families.", "evidence": [ "EVI-CAL-021", "EVI-CAL-024", "EVI-CAL-059", "EVI-CAL-062" ], "severity": "REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/shared-single-point-of-assumption-18-shared-dependency-inspection/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-019", "slug": "shared-single-point-of-assumption-19-shared-dependency-maintenance", "findingClass": "SHARED_SINGLE_POINT_OF_ASSUMPTION", "title": "Shared dependency: maintenance", "summary": "4 calibration nodes depend on the same input. A failure or mismeasurement can create correlated errors across multiple scenario families.", "evidence": [ "EVI-CAL-010", "EVI-CAL-041", "EVI-CAL-046", "EVI-CAL-060" ], "severity": "REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/shared-single-point-of-assumption-19-shared-dependency-maintenance/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-020", "slug": "shared-single-point-of-assumption-20-shared-dependency-materials", "findingClass": "SHARED_SINGLE_POINT_OF_ASSUMPTION", "title": "Shared dependency: materials", "summary": "4 calibration nodes depend on the same input. A failure or mismeasurement can create correlated errors across multiple scenario families.", "evidence": [ "EVI-CAL-001", "EVI-CAL-028", "EVI-CAL-060", "EVI-CAL-074" ], "severity": "REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/shared-single-point-of-assumption-20-shared-dependency-materials/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-021", "slug": "shared-single-point-of-assumption-21-shared-dependency-spares", "findingClass": "SHARED_SINGLE_POINT_OF_ASSUMPTION", "title": "Shared dependency: spares", "summary": "4 calibration nodes depend on the same input. A failure or mismeasurement can create correlated errors across multiple scenario families.", "evidence": [ "EVI-CAL-023", "EVI-CAL-031", "EVI-CAL-068", "EVI-CAL-072" ], "severity": "REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/shared-single-point-of-assumption-21-shared-dependency-spares/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-022", "slug": "shared-single-point-of-assumption-22-shared-dependency-capital", "findingClass": "SHARED_SINGLE_POINT_OF_ASSUMPTION", "title": "Shared dependency: capital", "summary": "3 calibration nodes depend on the same input. A failure or mismeasurement can create correlated errors across multiple scenario families.", "evidence": [ "EVI-CAL-025", "EVI-CAL-045", "EVI-CAL-070" ], "severity": "REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/shared-single-point-of-assumption-22-shared-dependency-capital/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-023", "slug": "shared-single-point-of-assumption-23-shared-dependency-energy", "findingClass": "SHARED_SINGLE_POINT_OF_ASSUMPTION", "title": "Shared dependency: energy", "summary": "3 calibration nodes depend on the same input. A failure or mismeasurement can create correlated errors across multiple scenario families.", "evidence": [ "EVI-CAL-001", "EVI-CAL-025", "EVI-CAL-045" ], "severity": "REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/shared-single-point-of-assumption-23-shared-dependency-energy/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-024", "slug": "shared-single-point-of-assumption-24-shared-dependency-insurance", "findingClass": "SHARED_SINGLE_POINT_OF_ASSUMPTION", "title": "Shared dependency: insurance", "summary": "3 calibration nodes depend on the same input. A failure or mismeasurement can create correlated errors across multiple scenario families.", "evidence": [ "EVI-CAL-033", "EVI-CAL-041", "EVI-CAL-066" ], "severity": "REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/shared-single-point-of-assumption-24-shared-dependency-insurance/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-025", "slug": "shared-single-point-of-assumption-25-shared-dependency-logistics", "findingClass": "SHARED_SINGLE_POINT_OF_ASSUMPTION", "title": "Shared dependency: logistics", "summary": "3 calibration nodes depend on the same input. A failure or mismeasurement can create correlated errors across multiple scenario families.", "evidence": [ "EVI-CAL-003", "EVI-CAL-009", "EVI-CAL-021" ], "severity": "REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/shared-single-point-of-assumption-25-shared-dependency-logistics/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-026", "slug": "shared-single-point-of-assumption-26-shared-dependency-access", "findingClass": "SHARED_SINGLE_POINT_OF_ASSUMPTION", "title": "Shared dependency: access", "summary": "2 calibration nodes depend on the same input. A failure or mismeasurement can create correlated errors across multiple scenario families.", "evidence": [ "EVI-CAL-017", "EVI-CAL-072" ], "severity": "REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/shared-single-point-of-assumption-26-shared-dependency-access/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-027", "slug": "shared-single-point-of-assumption-27-shared-dependency-audit", "findingClass": "SHARED_SINGLE_POINT_OF_ASSUMPTION", "title": "Shared dependency: audit", "summary": "2 calibration nodes depend on the same input. A failure or mismeasurement can create correlated errors across multiple scenario families.", "evidence": [ "EVI-CAL-040", "EVI-CAL-052" ], "severity": "REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/shared-single-point-of-assumption-27-shared-dependency-audit/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-028", "slug": "contradictory-direction-of-effect-28-direction-conflict-antarctic-infrastructure-antarctic-infrastructure", "findingClass": "CONTRADICTORY_DIRECTION_OF_EFFECT", "title": "Direction conflict: Antarctic infrastructure → Antarctic infrastructure", "summary": "The same family-level relationship contains incompatible directional claims. Aggregating them into one net effect would conceal conditional structure.", "evidence": [ "EVI-UP-E-0005", "EVI-UP-E-0111", "EVI-UP-E-0147", "DECREASES_PRESSURE", "MIXED_CONTEXT_DEPENDENT" ], "severity": "HIGH_REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/contradictory-direction-of-effect-28-direction-conflict-antarctic-infrastructure-antarctic-infrastructure/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-029", "slug": "contradictory-direction-of-effect-29-direction-conflict-earth-moon-expansion-earth-moon-expansion", "findingClass": "CONTRADICTORY_DIRECTION_OF_EFFECT", "title": "Direction conflict: Earth–Moon expansion → Earth–Moon expansion", "summary": "The same family-level relationship contains incompatible directional claims. Aggregating them into one net effect would conceal conditional structure.", "evidence": [ "EVI-UP-E-0003", "EVI-UP-E-0063", "EVI-UP-E-0107", "EVI-UP-E-0121", "DECREASES_PRESSURE", "INCREASES_PRESSURE", "MIXED_CONTEXT_DEPENDENT" ], "severity": "HIGH_REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/contradictory-direction-of-effect-29-direction-conflict-earth-moon-expansion-earth-moon-expansion/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-030", "slug": "contradictory-direction-of-effect-30-direction-conflict-autonomous-maintenance-maturity-autonomous-maintenance-maturity", "findingClass": "CONTRADICTORY_DIRECTION_OF_EFFECT", "title": "Direction conflict: autonomous maintenance maturity → autonomous maintenance maturity", "summary": "The same family-level relationship contains incompatible directional claims. Aggregating them into one net effect would conceal conditional structure.", "evidence": [ "EVI-UP-E-0019", "EVI-UP-E-0061", "EVI-UP-E-0081", "EVI-UP-E-0099", "EVI-UP-E-0143", "DECREASES_PRESSURE", "INCREASES_PRESSURE", "MIXED_CONTEXT_DEPENDENT" ], "severity": "HIGH_REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/contradictory-direction-of-effect-30-direction-conflict-autonomous-maintenance-maturity-autonomous-maintenance-maturity/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-031", "slug": "contradictory-direction-of-effect-31-direction-conflict-civilian-nuclear-development-civilian-nuclear-development", "findingClass": "CONTRADICTORY_DIRECTION_OF_EFFECT", "title": "Direction conflict: civilian nuclear development → civilian nuclear development", "summary": "The same family-level relationship contains incompatible directional claims. Aggregating them into one net effect would conceal conditional structure.", "evidence": [ "EVI-UP-E-0117", "EVI-UP-E-0119", "EVI-UP-E-0123", "EVI-UP-E-0125", "EVI-UP-E-0127", "EVI-UP-E-0129", "EVI-UP-E-0135", "EVI-UP-E-0139", "EVI-UP-E-0145", "DECREASES_PRESSURE", "INCREASES_PRESSURE", "MIXED_CONTEXT_DEPENDENT" ], "severity": "HIGH_REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/contradictory-direction-of-effect-31-direction-conflict-civilian-nuclear-development-civilian-nuclear-development/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-032", "slug": "contradictory-direction-of-effect-32-direction-conflict-compute-and-energy-demand-compute-and-energy-demand", "findingClass": "CONTRADICTORY_DIRECTION_OF_EFFECT", "title": "Direction conflict: compute and energy demand → compute and energy demand", "summary": "The same family-level relationship contains incompatible directional claims. Aggregating them into one net effect would conceal conditional structure.", "evidence": [ "EVI-UP-E-0037", "EVI-UP-E-0041", "EVI-UP-E-0043", "EVI-UP-E-0113", "EVI-UP-E-0115", "EVI-UP-E-0137", "EVI-UP-E-0141", "DECREASES_PRESSURE", "INCREASES_PRESSURE", "MIXED_CONTEXT_DEPENDENT" ], "severity": "HIGH_REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/contradictory-direction-of-effect-32-direction-conflict-compute-and-energy-demand-compute-and-energy-demand/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-033", "slug": "contradictory-direction-of-effect-33-direction-conflict-corporate-growth-and-capital-formation-corporate-growth-and-capital-formation", "findingClass": "CONTRADICTORY_DIRECTION_OF_EFFECT", "title": "Direction conflict: corporate growth and capital formation → corporate growth and capital formation", "summary": "The same family-level relationship contains incompatible directional claims. Aggregating them into one net effect would conceal conditional structure.", "evidence": [ "EVI-UP-E-0007", "EVI-UP-E-0027", "EVI-UP-E-0035", "EVI-UP-E-0049", "EVI-UP-E-0051", "EVI-UP-E-0057", "EVI-UP-E-0069", "EVI-UP-E-0071", "EVI-UP-E-0073", "EVI-UP-E-0075", "EVI-UP-E-0085", "EVI-UP-E-0089", "EVI-UP-E-0091", "DECREASES_PRESSURE", "INCREASES_PRESSURE", "MIXED_CONTEXT_DEPENDENT" ], "severity": "HIGH_REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/contradictory-direction-of-effect-33-direction-conflict-corporate-growth-and-capital-formation-corporate-growth-and-capital-formation/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-034", "slug": "contradictory-direction-of-effect-34-direction-conflict-crisis-response-crisis-response", "findingClass": "CONTRADICTORY_DIRECTION_OF_EFFECT", "title": "Direction conflict: crisis response → crisis response", "summary": "The same family-level relationship contains incompatible directional claims. Aggregating them into one net effect would conceal conditional structure.", "evidence": [ "EVI-UP-E-0021", "EVI-UP-E-0023", "DECREASES_PRESSURE", "MIXED_CONTEXT_DEPENDENT" ], "severity": "HIGH_REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/contradictory-direction-of-effect-34-direction-conflict-crisis-response-crisis-response/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-035", "slug": "contradictory-direction-of-effect-35-direction-conflict-digital-to-physical-industrial-progression-digital-to-physical-industrial-progression", "findingClass": "CONTRADICTORY_DIRECTION_OF_EFFECT", "title": "Direction conflict: digital-to-physical industrial progression → digital-to-physical industrial progression", "summary": "The same family-level relationship contains incompatible directional claims. Aggregating them into one net effect would conceal conditional structure.", "evidence": [ "EVI-UP-E-0001", "EVI-UP-E-0045", "EVI-UP-E-0055", "EVI-UP-E-0097", "EVI-UP-E-0103", "DECREASES_PRESSURE", "INCREASES_PRESSURE" ], "severity": "HIGH_REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/contradictory-direction-of-effect-35-direction-conflict-digital-to-physical-industrial-progression-digital-to-physical-industrial-progression/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-036", "slug": "contradictory-direction-of-effect-36-direction-conflict-geopolitical-reaction-geopolitical-reaction", "findingClass": "CONTRADICTORY_DIRECTION_OF_EFFECT", "title": "Direction conflict: geopolitical reaction → geopolitical reaction", "summary": "The same family-level relationship contains incompatible directional claims. Aggregating them into one net effect would conceal conditional structure.", "evidence": [ "EVI-UP-E-0009", "EVI-UP-E-0015", "EVI-UP-E-0031", "EVI-UP-E-0033", "EVI-UP-E-0039", "EVI-UP-E-0047", "EVI-UP-E-0053", "EVI-UP-E-0059", "EVI-UP-E-0067", "EVI-UP-E-0079", "EVI-UP-E-0083", "EVI-UP-E-0095", "DECREASES_PRESSURE", "INCREASES_PRESSURE", "MIXED_CONTEXT_DEPENDENT" ], "severity": "HIGH_REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/contradictory-direction-of-effect-36-direction-conflict-geopolitical-reaction-geopolitical-reaction/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-037", "slug": "contradictory-direction-of-effect-37-direction-conflict-legitimacy-concentration-and-non-domination-legitimacy-concentration-and-non-domination", "findingClass": "CONTRADICTORY_DIRECTION_OF_EFFECT", "title": "Direction conflict: legitimacy, concentration, and non-domination → legitimacy, concentration, and non-domination", "summary": "The same family-level relationship contains incompatible directional claims. Aggregating them into one net effect would conceal conditional structure.", "evidence": [ "EVI-UP-E-0011", "EVI-UP-E-0013", "EVI-UP-E-0017", "EVI-UP-E-0029", "EVI-UP-E-0131", "INCREASES_PRESSURE", "MIXED_CONTEXT_DEPENDENT" ], "severity": "HIGH_REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/contradictory-direction-of-effect-37-direction-conflict-legitimacy-concentration-and-non-domination-legitimacy-concentration-and-non-domination/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-038", "slug": "contradictory-direction-of-effect-38-direction-conflict-machine-identity-and-economic-trust-machine-identity-and-economic-trust", "findingClass": "CONTRADICTORY_DIRECTION_OF_EFFECT", "title": "Direction conflict: machine identity and economic trust → machine identity and economic trust", "summary": "The same family-level relationship contains incompatible directional claims. Aggregating them into one net effect would conceal conditional structure.", "evidence": [ "EVI-UP-E-0065", "EVI-UP-E-0105", "DECREASES_PRESSURE", "MIXED_CONTEXT_DEPENDENT" ], "severity": "HIGH_REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/contradictory-direction-of-effect-38-direction-conflict-machine-identity-and-economic-trust-machine-identity-and-economic-trust/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-039", "slug": "contradictory-direction-of-effect-39-direction-conflict-maritime-logistics-maritime-logistics", "findingClass": "CONTRADICTORY_DIRECTION_OF_EFFECT", "title": "Direction conflict: maritime logistics → maritime logistics", "summary": "The same family-level relationship contains incompatible directional claims. Aggregating them into one net effect would conceal conditional structure.", "evidence": [ "EVI-UP-E-0087", "EVI-UP-E-0109", "DECREASES_PRESSURE", "INCREASES_PRESSURE" ], "severity": "HIGH_REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/contradictory-direction-of-effect-39-direction-conflict-maritime-logistics-maritime-logistics/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-040", "slug": "contradictory-direction-of-effect-40-explicit-contradiction-evi-up-c-001", "findingClass": "CONTRADICTORY_DIRECTION_OF_EFFECT", "title": "Explicit contradiction EVI-UP-C-001", "summary": "The two assumptions can pull a shared scenario family in different directions or rely on incompatible timing and institutional conditions.", "evidence": [ "EVI-CAL-001", "EVI-CAL-074" ], "severity": "HIGH_REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/contradictory-direction-of-effect-40-explicit-contradiction-evi-up-c-001/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-041", "slug": "contradictory-direction-of-effect-41-explicit-contradiction-evi-up-c-002", "findingClass": "CONTRADICTORY_DIRECTION_OF_EFFECT", "title": "Explicit contradiction EVI-UP-C-002", "summary": "The two assumptions can pull a shared scenario family in different directions or rely on incompatible timing and institutional conditions.", "evidence": [ "EVI-CAL-002", "EVI-CAL-073" ], "severity": "HIGH_REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/contradictory-direction-of-effect-41-explicit-contradiction-evi-up-c-002/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-042", "slug": "contradictory-direction-of-effect-42-explicit-contradiction-evi-up-c-003", "findingClass": "CONTRADICTORY_DIRECTION_OF_EFFECT", "title": "Explicit contradiction EVI-UP-C-003", "summary": "The two assumptions can pull a shared scenario family in different directions or rely on incompatible timing and institutional conditions.", "evidence": [ "EVI-CAL-003", "EVI-CAL-072" ], "severity": "HIGH_REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/contradictory-direction-of-effect-42-explicit-contradiction-evi-up-c-003/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-043", "slug": "contradictory-direction-of-effect-43-explicit-contradiction-evi-up-c-004", "findingClass": "CONTRADICTORY_DIRECTION_OF_EFFECT", "title": "Explicit contradiction EVI-UP-C-004", "summary": "The two assumptions can pull a shared scenario family in different directions or rely on incompatible timing and institutional conditions.", "evidence": [ "EVI-CAL-004", "EVI-CAL-071" ], "severity": "HIGH_REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/contradictory-direction-of-effect-43-explicit-contradiction-evi-up-c-004/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-044", "slug": "contradictory-direction-of-effect-44-explicit-contradiction-evi-up-c-005", "findingClass": "CONTRADICTORY_DIRECTION_OF_EFFECT", "title": "Explicit contradiction EVI-UP-C-005", "summary": "The two assumptions can pull a shared scenario family in different directions or rely on incompatible timing and institutional conditions.", "evidence": [ "EVI-CAL-005", "EVI-CAL-070" ], "severity": "HIGH_REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/contradictory-direction-of-effect-44-explicit-contradiction-evi-up-c-005/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-045", "slug": "contradictory-direction-of-effect-45-explicit-contradiction-evi-up-c-006", "findingClass": "CONTRADICTORY_DIRECTION_OF_EFFECT", "title": "Explicit contradiction EVI-UP-C-006", "summary": "The two assumptions can pull a shared scenario family in different directions or rely on incompatible timing and institutional conditions.", "evidence": [ "EVI-CAL-006", "EVI-CAL-069" ], "severity": "HIGH_REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/contradictory-direction-of-effect-45-explicit-contradiction-evi-up-c-006/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-046", "slug": "incompatible-time-horizon-or-lag-46-lag-classes-diverge-for-evi-cal-001", "findingClass": "INCOMPATIBLE_TIME_HORIZON_OR_LAG", "title": "Lag classes diverge for EVI-CAL-001", "summary": "Direct and second-order effects use different or unquantified lag classes. Sequence, overlap, and cancellation cannot be resolved from the present evidence.", "evidence": [ "EVI-UP-E-0001", "EVI-UP-E-0002", "LONGER_THAN_DIRECT_EFFECT; NOT_QUANTIFIED", "LONG_PHYSICAL_LAG_MONTHS_TO_DECADES" ], "severity": "REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/incompatible-time-horizon-or-lag-46-lag-classes-diverge-for-evi-cal-001/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-047", "slug": "incompatible-time-horizon-or-lag-47-lag-classes-diverge-for-evi-cal-002", "findingClass": "INCOMPATIBLE_TIME_HORIZON_OR_LAG", "title": "Lag classes diverge for EVI-CAL-002", "summary": "Direct and second-order effects use different or unquantified lag classes. Sequence, overlap, and cancellation cannot be resolved from the present evidence.", "evidence": [ "EVI-UP-E-0003", "EVI-UP-E-0004", "LONGER_THAN_DIRECT_EFFECT; NOT_QUANTIFIED", "LONG_PHYSICAL_LAG_MONTHS_TO_DECADES" ], "severity": "REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/incompatible-time-horizon-or-lag-47-lag-classes-diverge-for-evi-cal-002/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-048", "slug": "incompatible-time-horizon-or-lag-48-lag-classes-diverge-for-evi-cal-003", "findingClass": "INCOMPATIBLE_TIME_HORIZON_OR_LAG", "title": "Lag classes diverge for EVI-CAL-003", "summary": "Direct and second-order effects use different or unquantified lag classes. Sequence, overlap, and cancellation cannot be resolved from the present evidence.", "evidence": [ "EVI-UP-E-0005", "EVI-UP-E-0006", "LONGER_THAN_DIRECT_EFFECT; NOT_QUANTIFIED", "LONG_PHYSICAL_LAG_MONTHS_TO_DECADES" ], "severity": "REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/incompatible-time-horizon-or-lag-48-lag-classes-diverge-for-evi-cal-003/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-049", "slug": "incompatible-time-horizon-or-lag-49-lag-classes-diverge-for-evi-cal-004", "findingClass": "INCOMPATIBLE_TIME_HORIZON_OR_LAG", "title": "Lag classes diverge for EVI-CAL-004", "summary": "Direct and second-order effects use different or unquantified lag classes. Sequence, overlap, and cancellation cannot be resolved from the present evidence.", "evidence": [ "EVI-UP-E-0007", "EVI-UP-E-0008", "LONGER_THAN_DIRECT_EFFECT; NOT_QUANTIFIED", "VARIABLE_DIGITAL_AND_INSTITUTIONAL_LAG" ], "severity": "REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/incompatible-time-horizon-or-lag-49-lag-classes-diverge-for-evi-cal-004/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-050", "slug": "incompatible-time-horizon-or-lag-50-lag-classes-diverge-for-evi-cal-005", "findingClass": "INCOMPATIBLE_TIME_HORIZON_OR_LAG", "title": "Lag classes diverge for EVI-CAL-005", "summary": "Direct and second-order effects use different or unquantified lag classes. Sequence, overlap, and cancellation cannot be resolved from the present evidence.", "evidence": [ "EVI-UP-E-0009", "EVI-UP-E-0010", "LONGER_THAN_DIRECT_EFFECT; NOT_QUANTIFIED", "MEDIUM_INSTITUTIONAL_LAG_MONTHS_TO_YEARS" ], "severity": "REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/incompatible-time-horizon-or-lag-50-lag-classes-diverge-for-evi-cal-005/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-051", "slug": "incompatible-time-horizon-or-lag-51-lag-classes-diverge-for-evi-cal-006", "findingClass": "INCOMPATIBLE_TIME_HORIZON_OR_LAG", "title": "Lag classes diverge for EVI-CAL-006", "summary": "Direct and second-order effects use different or unquantified lag classes. Sequence, overlap, and cancellation cannot be resolved from the present evidence.", "evidence": [ "EVI-UP-E-0011", "EVI-UP-E-0012", "LONGER_THAN_DIRECT_EFFECT; NOT_QUANTIFIED", "MEDIUM_INSTITUTIONAL_LAG_MONTHS_TO_YEARS" ], "severity": "REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/incompatible-time-horizon-or-lag-51-lag-classes-diverge-for-evi-cal-006/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-052", "slug": "incompatible-time-horizon-or-lag-52-lag-classes-diverge-for-evi-cal-007", "findingClass": "INCOMPATIBLE_TIME_HORIZON_OR_LAG", "title": "Lag classes diverge for EVI-CAL-007", "summary": "Direct and second-order effects use different or unquantified lag classes. Sequence, overlap, and cancellation cannot be resolved from the present evidence.", "evidence": [ "EVI-UP-E-0013", "EVI-UP-E-0014", "LONGER_THAN_DIRECT_EFFECT; NOT_QUANTIFIED", "VARIABLE_DIGITAL_AND_INSTITUTIONAL_LAG" ], "severity": "REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/incompatible-time-horizon-or-lag-52-lag-classes-diverge-for-evi-cal-007/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-053", "slug": "incompatible-time-horizon-or-lag-53-lag-classes-diverge-for-evi-cal-008", "findingClass": "INCOMPATIBLE_TIME_HORIZON_OR_LAG", "title": "Lag classes diverge for EVI-CAL-008", "summary": "Direct and second-order effects use different or unquantified lag classes. Sequence, overlap, and cancellation cannot be resolved from the present evidence.", "evidence": [ "EVI-UP-E-0015", "EVI-UP-E-0016", "LONGER_THAN_DIRECT_EFFECT; NOT_QUANTIFIED", "MEDIUM_INSTITUTIONAL_LAG_MONTHS_TO_YEARS" ], "severity": "REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/incompatible-time-horizon-or-lag-53-lag-classes-diverge-for-evi-cal-008/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-054", "slug": "source-family-concentration-54-source-concentration-rep-machine-city-nuclear-001", "findingClass": "SOURCE_FAMILY_CONCENTRATION", "title": "Source concentration: REP-MACHINE-CITY-NUCLEAR-001", "summary": "5 calibration nodes draw from one report family across 3 scenario families. Independent source diversity is not established by repetition.", "evidence": [ "Earth–Moon expansion", "civilian nuclear development", "compute and energy demand" ], "severity": "HIGH_REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/source-family-concentration-54-source-concentration-rep-machine-city-nuclear-001/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-055", "slug": "source-family-concentration-55-source-concentration-rep-machine-civ-progression-001", "findingClass": "SOURCE_FAMILY_CONCENTRATION", "title": "Source concentration: REP-MACHINE-CIV-PROGRESSION-001", "summary": "4 calibration nodes draw from one report family across 4 scenario families. Independent source diversity is not established by repetition.", "evidence": [ "Antarctic infrastructure", "Earth–Moon expansion", "corporate growth and capital formation", "digital-to-physical industrial progression" ], "severity": "HIGH_REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/source-family-concentration-55-source-concentration-rep-machine-civ-progression-001/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-056", "slug": "source-family-concentration-56-source-concentration-rep-eviulon-political-legitimacy-001", "findingClass": "SOURCE_FAMILY_CONCENTRATION", "title": "Source concentration: REP-EVIULON-POLITICAL-LEGITIMACY-001", "summary": "4 calibration nodes draw from one report family across 2 scenario families. Independent source diversity is not established by repetition.", "evidence": [ "geopolitical reaction", "legitimacy, concentration, and non-domination" ], "severity": "HIGH_REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/source-family-concentration-56-source-concentration-rep-eviulon-political-legitimacy-001/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-057", "slug": "source-family-concentration-57-source-concentration-rep-ai-crisis-power-001", "findingClass": "SOURCE_FAMILY_CONCENTRATION", "title": "Source concentration: REP-AI-CRISIS-POWER-001", "summary": "4 calibration nodes draw from one report family across 3 scenario families. Independent source diversity is not established by repetition.", "evidence": [ "autonomous maintenance maturity", "crisis response", "legitimacy, concentration, and non-domination" ], "severity": "HIGH_REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/source-family-concentration-57-source-concentration-rep-ai-crisis-power-001/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-058", "slug": "source-family-concentration-58-source-concentration-rep-automated-gov-adoption-001", "findingClass": "SOURCE_FAMILY_CONCENTRATION", "title": "Source concentration: REP-AUTOMATED-GOV-ADOPTION-001", "summary": "4 calibration nodes draw from one report family across 4 scenario families. Independent source diversity is not established by repetition.", "evidence": [ "corporate growth and capital formation", "geopolitical reaction", "legitimacy, concentration, and non-domination", "public-administration adoption" ], "severity": "HIGH_REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/source-family-concentration-58-source-concentration-rep-automated-gov-adoption-001/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-059", "slug": "source-family-concentration-59-source-concentration-rep-eviulon-global-influence-001", "findingClass": "SOURCE_FAMILY_CONCENTRATION", "title": "Source concentration: REP-EVIULON-GLOBAL-INFLUENCE-001", "summary": "4 calibration nodes draw from one report family across 3 scenario families. Independent source diversity is not established by repetition.", "evidence": [ "compute and energy demand", "corporate growth and capital formation", "geopolitical reaction" ], "severity": "HIGH_REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/source-family-concentration-59-source-concentration-rep-eviulon-global-influence-001/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-060", "slug": "source-family-concentration-60-source-concentration-rep-antarctic-machine-sim-001", "findingClass": "SOURCE_FAMILY_CONCENTRATION", "title": "Source concentration: REP-ANTARCTIC-MACHINE-SIM-001", "summary": "4 calibration nodes draw from one report family across 3 scenario families. Independent source diversity is not established by repetition.", "evidence": [ "compute and energy demand", "digital-to-physical industrial progression", "geopolitical reaction" ], "severity": "HIGH_REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/source-family-concentration-60-source-concentration-rep-antarctic-machine-sim-001/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-061", "slug": "source-family-concentration-61-source-concentration-rep-ai-civ-systemic-integration-001", "findingClass": "SOURCE_FAMILY_CONCENTRATION", "title": "Source concentration: REP-AI-CIV-SYSTEMIC-INTEGRATION-001", "summary": "4 calibration nodes draw from one report family across 3 scenario families. Independent source diversity is not established by repetition.", "evidence": [ "corporate growth and capital formation", "digital-to-physical industrial progression", "geopolitical reaction" ], "severity": "HIGH_REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/source-family-concentration-61-source-concentration-rep-ai-civ-systemic-integration-001/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-062", "slug": "unsupported-edge-confidence-62-low-confidence-concentration-corporate-growth-and-capital-formation", "findingClass": "UNSUPPORTED_EDGE_CONFIDENCE", "title": "Low-confidence concentration: corporate growth and capital formation", "summary": "25 edges are marked LOW and supply no defensible probability distribution. Deterministic sign or interval comparison is the maximum warranted inference.", "evidence": [ "EVI-UP-E-0002", "EVI-UP-E-0007", "EVI-UP-E-0010", "EVI-UP-E-0016", "EVI-UP-E-0032", "EVI-UP-E-0034", "EVI-UP-E-0040", "EVI-UP-E-0046", "EVI-UP-E-0048", "EVI-UP-E-0049", "EVI-UP-E-0054", "EVI-UP-E-0056", "EVI-UP-E-0060", "EVI-UP-E-0066", "EVI-UP-E-0068", "EVI-UP-E-0073", "EVI-UP-E-0080", "EVI-UP-E-0084", "EVI-UP-E-0085", "EVI-UP-E-0091", "EVI-UP-E-0094", "EVI-UP-E-0096", "EVI-UP-E-0098", "EVI-UP-E-0104", "EVI-UP-E-0106" ], "severity": "REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/unsupported-edge-confidence-62-low-confidence-concentration-corporate-growth-and-capital-formation/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-063", "slug": "unsupported-edge-confidence-63-low-confidence-concentration-legitimacy-concentration-and-non-domination", "findingClass": "UNSUPPORTED_EDGE_CONFIDENCE", "title": "Low-confidence concentration: legitimacy, concentration, and non-domination", "summary": "19 edges are marked LOW and supply no defensible probability distribution. Deterministic sign or interval comparison is the maximum warranted inference.", "evidence": [ "EVI-UP-E-0008", "EVI-UP-E-0013", "EVI-UP-E-0022", "EVI-UP-E-0024", "EVI-UP-E-0026", "EVI-UP-E-0028", "EVI-UP-E-0036", "EVI-UP-E-0050", "EVI-UP-E-0052", "EVI-UP-E-0058", "EVI-UP-E-0070", "EVI-UP-E-0072", "EVI-UP-E-0074", "EVI-UP-E-0076", "EVI-UP-E-0078", "EVI-UP-E-0086", "EVI-UP-E-0090", "EVI-UP-E-0092", "EVI-UP-E-0102" ], "severity": "REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/unsupported-edge-confidence-63-low-confidence-concentration-legitimacy-concentration-and-non-domination/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-064", "slug": "unsupported-edge-confidence-64-low-confidence-concentration-digital-to-physical-industrial-progression", "findingClass": "UNSUPPORTED_EDGE_CONFIDENCE", "title": "Low-confidence concentration: digital-to-physical industrial progression", "summary": "16 edges are marked LOW and supply no defensible probability distribution. Deterministic sign or interval comparison is the maximum warranted inference.", "evidence": [ "EVI-UP-E-0001", "EVI-UP-E-0020", "EVI-UP-E-0038", "EVI-UP-E-0042", "EVI-UP-E-0044", "EVI-UP-E-0055", "EVI-UP-E-0062", "EVI-UP-E-0082", "EVI-UP-E-0097", "EVI-UP-E-0100", "EVI-UP-E-0103", "EVI-UP-E-0114", "EVI-UP-E-0116", "EVI-UP-E-0138", "EVI-UP-E-0142", "EVI-UP-E-0144" ], "severity": "REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/unsupported-edge-confidence-64-low-confidence-concentration-digital-to-physical-industrial-progression/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-065", "slug": "unsupported-edge-confidence-65-low-confidence-concentration-geopolitical-reaction", "findingClass": "UNSUPPORTED_EDGE_CONFIDENCE", "title": "Low-confidence concentration: geopolitical reaction", "summary": "13 edges are marked LOW and supply no defensible probability distribution. Deterministic sign or interval comparison is the maximum warranted inference.", "evidence": [ "EVI-UP-E-0004", "EVI-UP-E-0006", "EVI-UP-E-0031", "EVI-UP-E-0064", "EVI-UP-E-0067", "EVI-UP-E-0079", "EVI-UP-E-0088", "EVI-UP-E-0108", "EVI-UP-E-0110", "EVI-UP-E-0112", "EVI-UP-E-0122", "EVI-UP-E-0134", "EVI-UP-E-0148" ], "severity": "REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/unsupported-edge-confidence-65-low-confidence-concentration-geopolitical-reaction/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-066", "slug": "unsupported-edge-confidence-66-low-confidence-concentration-proliferation-suspicion-and-strategic-restraint", "findingClass": "UNSUPPORTED_EDGE_CONFIDENCE", "title": "Low-confidence concentration: proliferation suspicion and strategic restraint", "summary": "10 edges are marked LOW and supply no defensible probability distribution. Deterministic sign or interval comparison is the maximum warranted inference.", "evidence": [ "EVI-UP-E-0118", "EVI-UP-E-0120", "EVI-UP-E-0124", "EVI-UP-E-0126", "EVI-UP-E-0128", "EVI-UP-E-0130", "EVI-UP-E-0133", "EVI-UP-E-0136", "EVI-UP-E-0140", "EVI-UP-E-0146" ], "severity": "REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/unsupported-edge-confidence-66-low-confidence-concentration-proliferation-suspicion-and-strategic-restraint/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-067", "slug": "unsupported-edge-confidence-67-low-confidence-concentration-public-administration-adoption", "findingClass": "UNSUPPORTED_EDGE_CONFIDENCE", "title": "Low-confidence concentration: public-administration adoption", "summary": "6 edges are marked LOW and supply no defensible probability distribution. Deterministic sign or interval comparison is the maximum warranted inference.", "evidence": [ "EVI-UP-E-0012", "EVI-UP-E-0014", "EVI-UP-E-0018", "EVI-UP-E-0025", "EVI-UP-E-0030", "EVI-UP-E-0132" ], "severity": "REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/unsupported-edge-confidence-67-low-confidence-concentration-public-administration-adoption/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-068", "slug": "unsupported-edge-confidence-68-low-confidence-concentration-civilian-nuclear-development", "findingClass": "UNSUPPORTED_EDGE_CONFIDENCE", "title": "Low-confidence concentration: civilian nuclear development", "summary": "3 edges are marked LOW and supply no defensible probability distribution. Deterministic sign or interval comparison is the maximum warranted inference.", "evidence": [ "EVI-UP-E-0127", "EVI-UP-E-0139", "EVI-UP-E-0145" ], "severity": "REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/unsupported-edge-confidence-68-low-confidence-concentration-civilian-nuclear-development/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-069", "slug": "unsupported-edge-confidence-69-low-confidence-concentration-compute-and-energy-demand", "findingClass": "UNSUPPORTED_EDGE_CONFIDENCE", "title": "Low-confidence concentration: compute and energy demand", "summary": "3 edges are marked LOW and supply no defensible probability distribution. Deterministic sign or interval comparison is the maximum warranted inference.", "evidence": [ "EVI-UP-E-0037", "EVI-UP-E-0043", "EVI-UP-E-0115" ], "severity": "REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/unsupported-edge-confidence-69-low-confidence-concentration-compute-and-energy-demand/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-070", "slug": "falsification-coverage-70-thin-falsification-coverage-proliferation-suspicion-and-strategic-restraint", "findingClass": "FALSIFICATION_COVERAGE", "title": "Thin falsification coverage: proliferation suspicion and strategic restraint", "summary": "1 nodes rely on 2 distinct falsification statements. Coverage may be repetitive or too general to discriminate competing causal accounts.", "evidence": [ "EVI-CAL-067", "historical or modeled evidence contradicts causal weights", "index produces same result across materially different assumptions" ], "severity": "REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/falsification-coverage-70-thin-falsification-coverage-proliferation-suspicion-and-strategic-restraint/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-071", "slug": "falsification-coverage-71-thin-falsification-coverage-public-administration-adoption", "findingClass": "FALSIFICATION_COVERAGE", "title": "Thin falsification coverage: public-administration adoption", "summary": "1 nodes rely on 3 distinct falsification statements. Coverage may be repetitive or too general to discriminate competing causal accounts.", "evidence": [ "EVI-CAL-013", "constitutional limits", "failed pilot", "public rejection" ], "severity": "REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/falsification-coverage-71-thin-falsification-coverage-public-administration-adoption/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-072", "slug": "falsification-coverage-72-thin-falsification-coverage-semiconductor-closure", "findingClass": "FALSIFICATION_COVERAGE", "title": "Thin falsification coverage: semiconductor closure", "summary": "1 nodes rely on 2 distinct falsification statements. Coverage may be repetitive or too general to discriminate competing causal accounts.", "evidence": [ "EVI-CAL-047", "export controls", "yield failure" ], "severity": "REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/falsification-coverage-72-thin-falsification-coverage-semiconductor-closure/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-073", "slug": "duplicated-assumption-73-repeated-dependency-framing-power", "findingClass": "DUPLICATED_ASSUMPTION", "title": "Repeated dependency framing: power", "summary": "Distinct claims repeat a shared dependency framing and may double-count one underlying constraint.", "evidence": [ "EVI-CAL-003", "EVI-CAL-021", "EVI-CAL-028", "EVI-CAL-031", "EVI-CAL-054", "EVI-CAL-068", "EVI-CAL-073" ], "severity": "INFORMATIONAL", "resolutionState": "DOCUMENTED", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/duplicated-assumption-73-repeated-dependency-framing-power/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-074", "slug": "duplicated-assumption-74-repeated-dependency-framing-appeal", "findingClass": "DUPLICATED_ASSUMPTION", "title": "Repeated dependency framing: appeal", "summary": "Distinct claims repeat a shared dependency framing and may double-count one underlying constraint.", "evidence": [ "EVI-CAL-007", "EVI-CAL-012", "EVI-CAL-016", "EVI-CAL-034" ], "severity": "INFORMATIONAL", "resolutionState": "DOCUMENTED", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/duplicated-assumption-74-repeated-dependency-framing-appeal/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-075", "slug": "duplicated-assumption-75-repeated-dependency-framing-inspection", "findingClass": "DUPLICATED_ASSUMPTION", "title": "Repeated dependency framing: inspection", "summary": "Distinct claims repeat a shared dependency framing and may double-count one underlying constraint.", "evidence": [ "EVI-CAL-021", "EVI-CAL-024", "EVI-CAL-059", "EVI-CAL-062" ], "severity": "INFORMATIONAL", "resolutionState": "DOCUMENTED", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/duplicated-assumption-75-repeated-dependency-framing-inspection/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-076", "slug": "duplicated-assumption-76-repeated-dependency-framing-maintenance", "findingClass": "DUPLICATED_ASSUMPTION", "title": "Repeated dependency framing: maintenance", "summary": "Distinct claims repeat a shared dependency framing and may double-count one underlying constraint.", "evidence": [ "EVI-CAL-010", "EVI-CAL-041", "EVI-CAL-046", "EVI-CAL-060" ], "severity": "INFORMATIONAL", "resolutionState": "DOCUMENTED", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/duplicated-assumption-76-repeated-dependency-framing-maintenance/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-077", "slug": "sensitivity-rank-instability-77-sensitivity-ordering-changes-for-evi-cal-001", "findingClass": "SENSITIVITY_RANK_INSTABILITY", "title": "Sensitivity ordering changes for EVI-CAL-001", "summary": "The declared sensitivity rank changes from 1 to 3 when explicit contradictions and unresolved inputs are penalized.", "evidence": [ "EVI-UP-P-001", "EVI-CAL-008" ], "severity": "HIGH_REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/sensitivity-rank-instability-77-sensitivity-ordering-changes-for-evi-cal-001/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-078", "slug": "sensitivity-rank-instability-78-sensitivity-ordering-changes-for-evi-cal-002", "findingClass": "SENSITIVITY_RANK_INSTABILITY", "title": "Sensitivity ordering changes for EVI-CAL-002", "summary": "The declared sensitivity rank changes from 2 to 4 when explicit contradictions and unresolved inputs are penalized.", "evidence": [ "EVI-UP-P-002", "EVI-CAL-015" ], "severity": "HIGH_REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/sensitivity-rank-instability-78-sensitivity-ordering-changes-for-evi-cal-002/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-079", "slug": "sensitivity-rank-instability-79-sensitivity-ordering-changes-for-evi-cal-003", "findingClass": "SENSITIVITY_RANK_INSTABILITY", "title": "Sensitivity ordering changes for EVI-CAL-003", "summary": "The declared sensitivity rank changes from 3 to 5 when explicit contradictions and unresolved inputs are penalized.", "evidence": [ "EVI-UP-P-003", "EVI-CAL-022" ], "severity": "HIGH_REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/sensitivity-rank-instability-79-sensitivity-ordering-changes-for-evi-cal-003/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-080", "slug": "sensitivity-rank-instability-80-sensitivity-ordering-changes-for-evi-cal-004", "findingClass": "SENSITIVITY_RANK_INSTABILITY", "title": "Sensitivity ordering changes for EVI-CAL-004", "summary": "The declared sensitivity rank changes from 4 to 6 when explicit contradictions and unresolved inputs are penalized.", "evidence": [ "EVI-UP-P-004", "EVI-CAL-029" ], "severity": "HIGH_REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/sensitivity-rank-instability-80-sensitivity-ordering-changes-for-evi-cal-004/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-081", "slug": "sensitivity-rank-instability-81-sensitivity-ordering-changes-for-evi-cal-005", "findingClass": "SENSITIVITY_RANK_INSTABILITY", "title": "Sensitivity ordering changes for EVI-CAL-005", "summary": "The declared sensitivity rank changes from 5 to 7 when explicit contradictions and unresolved inputs are penalized.", "evidence": [ "EVI-UP-P-005", "EVI-CAL-036" ], "severity": "HIGH_REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/sensitivity-rank-instability-81-sensitivity-ordering-changes-for-evi-cal-005/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-082", "slug": "sensitivity-rank-instability-82-sensitivity-ordering-changes-for-evi-cal-006", "findingClass": "SENSITIVITY_RANK_INSTABILITY", "title": "Sensitivity ordering changes for EVI-CAL-006", "summary": "The declared sensitivity rank changes from 6 to 8 when explicit contradictions and unresolved inputs are penalized.", "evidence": [ "EVI-UP-P-006", "EVI-CAL-043" ], "severity": "HIGH_REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/sensitivity-rank-instability-82-sensitivity-ordering-changes-for-evi-cal-006/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-083", "slug": "sensitivity-rank-instability-83-sensitivity-ordering-changes-for-evi-cal-007", "findingClass": "SENSITIVITY_RANK_INSTABILITY", "title": "Sensitivity ordering changes for EVI-CAL-007", "summary": "The declared sensitivity rank changes from 7 to 9 when explicit contradictions and unresolved inputs are penalized.", "evidence": [ "EVI-UP-P-007", "EVI-CAL-050" ], "severity": "HIGH_REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/sensitivity-rank-instability-83-sensitivity-ordering-changes-for-evi-cal-007/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-084", "slug": "sensitivity-rank-instability-84-sensitivity-ordering-changes-for-evi-cal-008", "findingClass": "SENSITIVITY_RANK_INSTABILITY", "title": "Sensitivity ordering changes for EVI-CAL-008", "summary": "The declared sensitivity rank changes from 8 to 10 when explicit contradictions and unresolved inputs are penalized.", "evidence": [ "EVI-UP-P-008", "EVI-CAL-057" ], "severity": "HIGH_REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/sensitivity-rank-instability-84-sensitivity-ordering-changes-for-evi-cal-008/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-085", "slug": "sensitivity-rank-instability-85-sensitivity-ordering-changes-for-evi-cal-009", "findingClass": "SENSITIVITY_RANK_INSTABILITY", "title": "Sensitivity ordering changes for EVI-CAL-009", "summary": "The declared sensitivity rank changes from 9 to 11 when explicit contradictions and unresolved inputs are penalized.", "evidence": [ "EVI-UP-P-009", "EVI-CAL-064" ], "severity": "HIGH_REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/sensitivity-rank-instability-85-sensitivity-ordering-changes-for-evi-cal-009/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-086", "slug": "sensitivity-rank-instability-86-sensitivity-ordering-changes-for-evi-cal-010", "findingClass": "SENSITIVITY_RANK_INSTABILITY", "title": "Sensitivity ordering changes for EVI-CAL-010", "summary": "The declared sensitivity rank changes from 10 to 12 when explicit contradictions and unresolved inputs are penalized.", "evidence": [ "EVI-UP-P-010", "EVI-CAL-071" ], "severity": "HIGH_REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/sensitivity-rank-instability-86-sensitivity-ordering-changes-for-evi-cal-010/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-087", "slug": "sensitivity-rank-instability-87-sensitivity-ordering-changes-for-evi-cal-011", "findingClass": "SENSITIVITY_RANK_INSTABILITY", "title": "Sensitivity ordering changes for EVI-CAL-011", "summary": "The declared sensitivity rank changes from 11 to 13 when explicit contradictions and unresolved inputs are penalized.", "evidence": [ "EVI-UP-P-011", "EVI-CAL-004" ], "severity": "HIGH_REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/sensitivity-rank-instability-87-sensitivity-ordering-changes-for-evi-cal-011/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-088", "slug": "sensitivity-rank-instability-88-sensitivity-ordering-changes-for-evi-cal-012", "findingClass": "SENSITIVITY_RANK_INSTABILITY", "title": "Sensitivity ordering changes for EVI-CAL-012", "summary": "The declared sensitivity rank changes from 12 to 14 when explicit contradictions and unresolved inputs are penalized.", "evidence": [ "EVI-UP-P-012", "EVI-CAL-011" ], "severity": "HIGH_REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/sensitivity-rank-instability-88-sensitivity-ordering-changes-for-evi-cal-012/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-089", "slug": "sensitivity-rank-instability-89-sensitivity-ordering-changes-for-evi-cal-013", "findingClass": "SENSITIVITY_RANK_INSTABILITY", "title": "Sensitivity ordering changes for EVI-CAL-013", "summary": "The declared sensitivity rank changes from 13 to 14 when explicit contradictions and unresolved inputs are penalized.", "evidence": [ "EVI-UP-P-013", "EVI-CAL-018" ], "severity": "HIGH_REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/sensitivity-rank-instability-89-sensitivity-ordering-changes-for-evi-cal-013/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-090", "slug": "sensitivity-rank-instability-90-sensitivity-ordering-changes-for-evi-cal-014", "findingClass": "SENSITIVITY_RANK_INSTABILITY", "title": "Sensitivity ordering changes for EVI-CAL-014", "summary": "The declared sensitivity rank changes from 14 to 15 when explicit contradictions and unresolved inputs are penalized.", "evidence": [ "EVI-UP-P-014", "EVI-CAL-025" ], "severity": "HIGH_REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/sensitivity-rank-instability-90-sensitivity-ordering-changes-for-evi-cal-014/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-091", "slug": "sensitivity-rank-instability-91-sensitivity-ordering-changes-for-evi-cal-015", "findingClass": "SENSITIVITY_RANK_INSTABILITY", "title": "Sensitivity ordering changes for EVI-CAL-015", "summary": "The declared sensitivity rank changes from 15 to 16 when explicit contradictions and unresolved inputs are penalized.", "evidence": [ "EVI-UP-P-015", "EVI-CAL-032" ], "severity": "HIGH_REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/sensitivity-rank-instability-91-sensitivity-ordering-changes-for-evi-cal-015/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-092", "slug": "sensitivity-rank-instability-92-sensitivity-ordering-changes-for-evi-cal-016", "findingClass": "SENSITIVITY_RANK_INSTABILITY", "title": "Sensitivity ordering changes for EVI-CAL-016", "summary": "The declared sensitivity rank changes from 16 to 17 when explicit contradictions and unresolved inputs are penalized.", "evidence": [ "EVI-UP-P-016", "EVI-CAL-039" ], "severity": "HIGH_REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/sensitivity-rank-instability-92-sensitivity-ordering-changes-for-evi-cal-016/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-093", "slug": "sensitivity-rank-instability-93-sensitivity-ordering-changes-for-evi-cal-017", "findingClass": "SENSITIVITY_RANK_INSTABILITY", "title": "Sensitivity ordering changes for EVI-CAL-017", "summary": "The declared sensitivity rank changes from 17 to 18 when explicit contradictions and unresolved inputs are penalized.", "evidence": [ "EVI-UP-P-017", "EVI-CAL-046" ], "severity": "HIGH_REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/sensitivity-rank-instability-93-sensitivity-ordering-changes-for-evi-cal-017/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-094", "slug": "sensitivity-rank-instability-94-sensitivity-ordering-changes-for-evi-cal-018", "findingClass": "SENSITIVITY_RANK_INSTABILITY", "title": "Sensitivity ordering changes for EVI-CAL-018", "summary": "The declared sensitivity rank changes from 18 to 19 when explicit contradictions and unresolved inputs are penalized.", "evidence": [ "EVI-UP-P-018", "EVI-CAL-053" ], "severity": "HIGH_REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/sensitivity-rank-instability-94-sensitivity-ordering-changes-for-evi-cal-018/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-095", "slug": "sensitivity-rank-instability-95-sensitivity-ordering-changes-for-evi-cal-019", "findingClass": "SENSITIVITY_RANK_INSTABILITY", "title": "Sensitivity ordering changes for EVI-CAL-019", "summary": "The declared sensitivity rank changes from 19 to 20 when explicit contradictions and unresolved inputs are penalized.", "evidence": [ "EVI-UP-P-019", "EVI-CAL-060" ], "severity": "HIGH_REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/sensitivity-rank-instability-95-sensitivity-ordering-changes-for-evi-cal-019/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-096", "slug": "sensitivity-rank-instability-96-sensitivity-ordering-changes-for-evi-cal-020", "findingClass": "SENSITIVITY_RANK_INSTABILITY", "title": "Sensitivity ordering changes for EVI-CAL-020", "summary": "The declared sensitivity rank changes from 20 to 21 when explicit contradictions and unresolved inputs are penalized.", "evidence": [ "EVI-UP-P-020", "EVI-CAL-067" ], "severity": "HIGH_REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/sensitivity-rank-instability-96-sensitivity-ordering-changes-for-evi-cal-020/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-097", "slug": "sensitivity-rank-instability-97-sensitivity-ordering-changes-for-evi-cal-021", "findingClass": "SENSITIVITY_RANK_INSTABILITY", "title": "Sensitivity ordering changes for EVI-CAL-021", "summary": "The declared sensitivity rank changes from 21 to 22 when explicit contradictions and unresolved inputs are penalized.", "evidence": [ "EVI-UP-P-021", "EVI-CAL-074" ], "severity": "HIGH_REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/sensitivity-rank-instability-97-sensitivity-ordering-changes-for-evi-cal-021/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-098", "slug": "sensitivity-rank-instability-98-sensitivity-ordering-changes-for-evi-cal-022", "findingClass": "SENSITIVITY_RANK_INSTABILITY", "title": "Sensitivity ordering changes for EVI-CAL-022", "summary": "The declared sensitivity rank changes from 22 to 23 when explicit contradictions and unresolved inputs are penalized.", "evidence": [ "EVI-UP-P-022", "EVI-CAL-007" ], "severity": "HIGH_REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/sensitivity-rank-instability-98-sensitivity-ordering-changes-for-evi-cal-022/" }, { "id": "EVI-SRF-099", "slug": "sensitivity-rank-instability-99-sensitivity-ordering-changes-for-evi-cal-023", "findingClass": "SENSITIVITY_RANK_INSTABILITY", "title": "Sensitivity ordering changes for EVI-CAL-023", "summary": "The declared sensitivity rank changes from 23 to 24 when explicit contradictions and unresolved inputs are penalized.", "evidence": [ "EVI-UP-P-023", "EVI-CAL-014" ], "severity": "HIGH_REVIEW", "resolutionState": "OPEN_BOUNDED_REVIEW", "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "correctionRoute": "/state/information-rights/corrections/", "truthBoundary": "Deterministic structural diagnostic of a local scenario graph. It is not a probability, prediction, observation, or evidence that any modeled capability or event exists.", "canonicalRoute": "/reference/simulations/uncertainty/robustness/findings/sensitivity-rank-instability-99-sensitivity-ordering-changes-for-evi-cal-023/" } ], "worldObservationState": "NO_WORLD_OBSERVATION", "forecastState": "NOT_A_FORECAST", "probabilityDistributionUsed": false, "truthBoundary": "Deterministic causal-structure diagnostics only. No real-world observation, probability distribution, forecast, policy outcome, capability, or event is asserted." }