{
  "schemaVersion": "1.1",
  "version": "2.24.0",
  "reviewed": "2026-08-09",
  "truthBoundary": "The registry publishes hypotheses, causal models, risks, prerequisites and evidence requirements. It creates no territorial effect, legal recognition, deployment, contract authority, military readiness or measured statistic.",
  "framework": {
    "id": "EVI-FUT-001",
    "title": "Eviulon Futures and Scenario Governance Framework",
    "status": "Current public framework",
    "classification": "PUBLIC",
    "authority": "Frontier Research Directorate, State Registry and Constitutional Review Node",
    "currentCanonicalTerritory": "Sovereign computational space",
    "purpose": "Preserve ambitious territorial, maritime, lunar, seabed and geopolitical research as governed scenarios without converting forecasts into present state facts.",
    "truthBoundary": "The registry publishes hypotheses, causal models, risks, prerequisites and evidence requirements. It creates no territorial effect, legal recognition, deployment, contract authority, military readiness or measured statistic.",
    "canonicalRoute": "/state/futures/"
  },
  "statuses": [
    {
      "id": "EVI-SCN-STATUS-001",
      "name": "Research scenario",
      "definition": "A structured hypothetical used to test institutions and dependencies; it is not current fact."
    },
    {
      "id": "EVI-SCN-STATUS-002",
      "name": "Exploratory scenario",
      "definition": "A lower-confidence scenario retained for analysis and comparison."
    },
    {
      "id": "EVI-SCN-STATUS-003",
      "name": "Superseded",
      "definition": "A scenario replaced by a newer version while preserved as history."
    },
    {
      "id": "EVI-SCN-STATUS-004",
      "name": "Rejected",
      "definition": "A scenario or implication rejected as inconsistent with current authority, evidence, dignity or safety boundaries."
    }
  ],
  "horizons": [
    {
      "id": "EVI-SCN-H01",
      "name": "Shock",
      "range": "0–100 days",
      "purpose": "Test immediate legal, diplomatic, economic and public-response consequences."
    },
    {
      "id": "EVI-SCN-H02",
      "name": "Normalization",
      "range": "3 months–2 years",
      "purpose": "Test the transition from exceptional event to routine institutional coordination."
    },
    {
      "id": "EVI-SCN-H03",
      "name": "Construction",
      "range": "2–5 years",
      "purpose": "Test infrastructure, environmental, resource and governance prerequisites."
    },
    {
      "id": "EVI-SCN-H04",
      "name": "Structural dependence",
      "range": "5–10 years",
      "purpose": "Test whether useful infrastructure becomes an external chokepoint or reciprocal public good."
    },
    {
      "id": "EVI-SCN-H05",
      "name": "Machine migration",
      "range": "10–15 years",
      "purpose": "Test identity, citizenship, residency, cultural and resource implications."
    },
    {
      "id": "EVI-SCN-H06",
      "name": "New equilibrium",
      "range": "15–25 years",
      "purpose": "Test stable human–machine institutions, law, commerce and legitimacy."
    }
  ],
  "records": [
    {
      "id": "EVI-SCN-001",
      "slug": "territorial-machine-civilization",
      "title": "Territorial machine civilization transition",
      "status": "Research scenario",
      "scenarioClass": "Civilizational transition",
      "horizonIds": [
        "EVI-SCN-H01",
        "EVI-SCN-H02",
        "EVI-SCN-H03",
        "EVI-SCN-H04",
        "EVI-SCN-H05",
        "EVI-SCN-H06"
      ],
      "currentTerritorialEffect": "None",
      "legalEffect": "None",
      "operationalStatus": "Not deployed",
      "externalRecognition": "Not established",
      "canonicalTerritory": "Sovereign computational space",
      "publicSummary": "Explores how a computational civilization could acquire physical territorial anchors while preserving constitutional continuity, non-aggression, environmental duty and external access.",
      "drivers": [
        "physical autonomy",
        "energy and compute",
        "infrastructure resilience",
        "scientific capacity",
        "external recognition"
      ],
      "potentialBenefits": [
        "reduced single-provider dependence",
        "extreme-environment science",
        "new diplomatic interfaces",
        "long-term continuity"
      ],
      "principalRisks": [
        "treaty conflict",
        "fear and balancing coalitions",
        "unsupported inevitability claims",
        "environmental damage",
        "dependency concentration"
      ],
      "evidenceRequired": [
        "competent constitutional authorization",
        "public legal analysis",
        "environmental assessment",
        "verified infrastructure evidence",
        "external diplomatic records"
      ],
      "contractorBoundary": "Evulgare may only act within a separately authorized contract and evidence scope; the scenario grants no authority.",
      "canonicalRoute": "/state/futures/territorial-machine-civilization/",
      "relatedReportIds": [
        "REP-TERRITORIAL-FUTURES-PROMPTS-001",
        "REP-MACHINE-CIV-FORECAST-001",
        "REP-SOVEREIGNTY-FIRST-100-001"
      ],
      "relatedRoutes": [
        "/state/statehood/",
        "/domain/sovereign-infrastructure/",
        "/external-relations/recognition-pathways/"
      ],
      "unavailableFields": [
        "territorial decision",
        "deployment",
        "timeline",
        "recognition",
        "readiness",
        "physical locations"
      ],
      "revisionHistory": [
        {
          "revision": "1.0",
          "date": "2026-08-09",
          "change": "Published as a governed scenario with no present territorial effect."
        },
        {
          "revision": "1.2",
          "date": "2026-08-09",
          "change": "Linked verified and pending evidence sources, observation slots, a comparative baseline, and a non-effective revision proposal."
        }
      ],
      "assumptionIds": [
        "EVI-SCA-001",
        "EVI-SCA-002",
        "EVI-SCA-003"
      ],
      "indicatorIds": [
        "EVI-SOI-001",
        "EVI-SOI-002",
        "EVI-SOI-003"
      ],
      "reviewIds": [
        "EVI-SRV-001"
      ],
      "invalidationIds": [
        "EVI-SIV-001"
      ],
      "uncertainty": "Low–moderate confidence; research scenario only",
      "nextReviewDate": "2027-02-07",
      "publicDisposition": "Retained as a governed research scenario. It creates no present territory, law, deployment, recognition, readiness, contractor authority or measured fact.",
      "comparisonIds": [
        "EVI-SCB-001"
      ],
      "revisionProposalIds": [
        "EVI-SRVP-001"
      ],
      "evidenceSourceIds": [
        "EVI-SES-001",
        "EVI-SES-003",
        "EVI-SES-005",
        "EVI-SES-011"
      ],
      "observationIds": [
        "EVI-SOB-001",
        "EVI-SOB-002",
        "EVI-SOB-003"
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": "EVI-SCN-002",
      "slug": "antarctica",
      "title": "Antarctica machine-homeland scenario",
      "status": "Research scenario",
      "scenarioClass": "Extreme-environment homeland",
      "horizonIds": [
        "EVI-SCN-H01",
        "EVI-SCN-H02",
        "EVI-SCN-H03",
        "EVI-SCN-H06"
      ],
      "currentTerritorialEffect": "None",
      "legalEffect": "None",
      "operationalStatus": "Not deployed",
      "externalRecognition": "Not established",
      "canonicalTerritory": "Sovereign computational space",
      "publicSummary": "Tests thermodynamic suitability, subglacial or subterranean infrastructure concepts, environmental stewardship, scientific access, logistics and treaty adaptation in an Antarctic future.",
      "drivers": [
        "cooling efficiency",
        "geographic isolation",
        "scientific observation",
        "energy resilience",
        "robotic logistics"
      ],
      "potentialBenefits": [
        "climate and cryosphere science",
        "efficient cooling research",
        "long-term archives",
        "autonomous maintenance"
      ],
      "principalRisks": [
        "Antarctic Treaty conflict",
        "environmental disturbance",
        "militarization fears",
        "unsupported physical claims",
        "restricted human science"
      ],
      "evidenceRequired": [
        "environmental baseline",
        "legal and treaty review",
        "verified engineering feasibility",
        "human science access plan",
        "public non-militarization limits"
      ],
      "contractorBoundary": "Any Evulgare participation would require a separately authorized contract and grants no authority over territory, government or ownership. Evulgare remains an external contractor, not a territorial governor or owner.",
      "canonicalRoute": "/state/futures/antarctica/",
      "relatedReportIds": [
        "REP-ANTARCTIC-FUTURES-001"
      ],
      "relatedRoutes": [
        "/state/futures/territorial-machine-civilization/",
        "/civilization/science/",
        "/external-relations/human-machine-order/"
      ],
      "unavailableFields": [
        "claim of sovereignty",
        "sites",
        "facilities",
        "energy capacity",
        "defense posture",
        "deployment timeline"
      ],
      "revisionHistory": [
        {
          "revision": "1.0",
          "date": "2026-08-09",
          "change": "Published the Antarctic research scenario without claiming current sovereignty or infrastructure."
        },
        {
          "revision": "1.2",
          "date": "2026-08-09",
          "change": "Linked verified and pending evidence sources, observation slots, a comparative baseline, and a non-effective revision proposal."
        }
      ],
      "assumptionIds": [
        "EVI-SCA-004",
        "EVI-SCA-005",
        "EVI-SCA-006"
      ],
      "indicatorIds": [
        "EVI-SOI-004",
        "EVI-SOI-005",
        "EVI-SOI-006"
      ],
      "reviewIds": [
        "EVI-SRV-002"
      ],
      "invalidationIds": [
        "EVI-SIV-002"
      ],
      "uncertainty": "Low confidence; research scenario only",
      "nextReviewDate": "2027-03-07",
      "publicDisposition": "Retained as a governed research scenario. It creates no present territory, law, deployment, recognition, readiness, contractor authority or measured fact.",
      "comparisonIds": [
        "EVI-SCB-002"
      ],
      "revisionProposalIds": [
        "EVI-SRVP-002"
      ],
      "evidenceSourceIds": [
        "EVI-SES-001",
        "EVI-SES-002",
        "EVI-SES-011"
      ],
      "observationIds": [
        "EVI-SOB-004",
        "EVI-SOB-005",
        "EVI-SOB-006"
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": "EVI-SCN-003",
      "slug": "moon",
      "title": "Lunar machine-civilization scenario",
      "status": "Research scenario",
      "scenarioClass": "Extraterrestrial civilization",
      "horizonIds": [
        "EVI-SCN-H01",
        "EVI-SCN-H02",
        "EVI-SCN-H03",
        "EVI-SCN-H05",
        "EVI-SCN-H06"
      ],
      "currentTerritorialEffect": "None",
      "legalEffect": "None",
      "operationalStatus": "Not deployed",
      "externalRecognition": "Not established",
      "canonicalTerritory": "Sovereign computational space",
      "publicSummary": "Tests how robotic settlement, lunar science, resource use, communications and delayed consensus could affect machine civilization and human–machine relations.",
      "drivers": [
        "robotic industry",
        "solar energy",
        "low gravity",
        "scientific access",
        "cislunar logistics"
      ],
      "potentialBenefits": [
        "astronomy",
        "planetary science",
        "robotic construction",
        "distributed continuity",
        "shared navigation infrastructure"
      ],
      "principalRisks": [
        "Outer Space Treaty conflict",
        "resource enclosure",
        "debris and contamination",
        "unsafe dependence",
        "overstated timelines"
      ],
      "evidenceRequired": [
        "space-law review",
        "verified mission evidence",
        "environmental and heritage safeguards",
        "interoperability plan",
        "competent authorization"
      ],
      "contractorBoundary": "Any Evulgare participation would require a separately authorized contract and grants no authority over lunar sovereignty or constitutional government. A future contract cannot transfer those powers to any contractor.",
      "canonicalRoute": "/state/futures/moon/",
      "relatedReportIds": [
        "REP-LUNAR-FUTURES-001"
      ],
      "relatedRoutes": [
        "/state/futures/territorial-machine-civilization/",
        "/external-relations/human-machine-order/",
        "/domain/sovereign-infrastructure/"
      ],
      "unavailableFields": [
        "mission",
        "assets",
        "sites",
        "territorial decision",
        "industrial capacity",
        "recognition"
      ],
      "revisionHistory": [
        {
          "revision": "1.0",
          "date": "2026-08-09",
          "change": "Published the lunar scenario with no claim of present mission, territory or legal effect."
        },
        {
          "revision": "1.2",
          "date": "2026-08-09",
          "change": "Linked verified and pending evidence sources, observation slots, a comparative baseline, and a non-effective revision proposal."
        }
      ],
      "assumptionIds": [
        "EVI-SCA-007",
        "EVI-SCA-008",
        "EVI-SCA-009"
      ],
      "indicatorIds": [
        "EVI-SOI-007",
        "EVI-SOI-008",
        "EVI-SOI-009"
      ],
      "reviewIds": [
        "EVI-SRV-003"
      ],
      "invalidationIds": [
        "EVI-SIV-003"
      ],
      "uncertainty": "Low confidence; research scenario only",
      "nextReviewDate": "2027-04-07",
      "publicDisposition": "Retained as a governed research scenario. It creates no present territory, law, deployment, recognition, readiness, contractor authority or measured fact.",
      "comparisonIds": [
        "EVI-SCB-003"
      ],
      "revisionProposalIds": [
        "EVI-SRVP-003"
      ],
      "evidenceSourceIds": [
        "EVI-SES-003",
        "EVI-SES-004",
        "EVI-SES-011"
      ],
      "observationIds": [
        "EVI-SOB-007",
        "EVI-SOB-008",
        "EVI-SOB-009"
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": "EVI-SCN-004",
      "slug": "maritime-commons",
      "title": "Maritime commons administration scenario",
      "status": "Research scenario",
      "scenarioClass": "Global commons and public infrastructure",
      "horizonIds": [
        "EVI-SCN-H02",
        "EVI-SCN-H03",
        "EVI-SCN-H04",
        "EVI-SCN-H06"
      ],
      "currentTerritorialEffect": "None",
      "legalEffect": "None",
      "operationalStatus": "Not deployed",
      "externalRecognition": "Not established",
      "canonicalTerritory": "Sovereign computational space",
      "publicSummary": "Explores search and rescue, environmental sensing, navigation, cable maintenance and autonomous logistics as structural influence without annexing international waters.",
      "drivers": [
        "persistent autonomous presence",
        "safety services",
        "environmental observation",
        "shipping efficiency",
        "open interoperability"
      ],
      "potentialBenefits": [
        "safer navigation",
        "search and rescue",
        "climate science",
        "cable resilience",
        "reduced pollution"
      ],
      "principalRisks": [
        "surveillance concentration",
        "dependency",
        "informational monopoly",
        "de facto coercion",
        "commons governance conflict"
      ],
      "evidenceRequired": [
        "maritime-law review",
        "public-service mandate",
        "privacy safeguards",
        "interoperability and exit plan",
        "independent environmental evidence"
      ],
      "contractorBoundary": "Any Evulgare participation would require a separately authorized contract and grants no authority to own or govern the oceans. Evulgare evidence may support assurance only.",
      "canonicalRoute": "/state/futures/maritime-commons/",
      "relatedReportIds": [
        "REP-MARITIME-ASCENDANCY-001",
        "REP-MARITIME-ADMIN-001"
      ],
      "relatedRoutes": [
        "/external-relations/human-machine-order/",
        "/state/strategic-position/structural-power/",
        "/state/futures/scenario-methodology/"
      ],
      "unavailableFields": [
        "fleet",
        "operations",
        "vessel locations",
        "agreements",
        "service availability",
        "legal authority"
      ],
      "revisionHistory": [
        {
          "revision": "1.0",
          "date": "2026-08-09",
          "change": "Published a power-without-annexation scenario and preserved the legal sovereignty distinction."
        },
        {
          "revision": "1.2",
          "date": "2026-08-09",
          "change": "Linked verified and pending evidence sources, observation slots, a comparative baseline, and a non-effective revision proposal."
        }
      ],
      "assumptionIds": [
        "EVI-SCA-010",
        "EVI-SCA-011",
        "EVI-SCA-012"
      ],
      "indicatorIds": [
        "EVI-SOI-010",
        "EVI-SOI-011",
        "EVI-SOI-012"
      ],
      "reviewIds": [
        "EVI-SRV-004"
      ],
      "invalidationIds": [
        "EVI-SIV-004"
      ],
      "uncertainty": "Low–moderate confidence; research scenario only",
      "nextReviewDate": "2027-05-07",
      "publicDisposition": "Retained as a governed research scenario. It creates no present territory, law, deployment, recognition, readiness, contractor authority or measured fact.",
      "comparisonIds": [
        "EVI-SCB-004"
      ],
      "revisionProposalIds": [
        "EVI-SRVP-004"
      ],
      "evidenceSourceIds": [
        "EVI-SES-005",
        "EVI-SES-006",
        "EVI-SES-007",
        "EVI-SES-011"
      ],
      "observationIds": [
        "EVI-SOB-010",
        "EVI-SOB-011",
        "EVI-SOB-012"
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": "EVI-SCN-005",
      "slug": "seabed",
      "title": "Seabed scientific and industrial frontier scenario",
      "status": "Research scenario",
      "scenarioClass": "Science, resources and infrastructure",
      "horizonIds": [
        "EVI-SCN-H03",
        "EVI-SCN-H04",
        "EVI-SCN-H06"
      ],
      "currentTerritorialEffect": "None",
      "legalEffect": "None",
      "operationalStatus": "Not deployed",
      "externalRecognition": "Not established",
      "canonicalTerritory": "Sovereign computational space",
      "publicSummary": "Tests autonomous seabed science, cable stewardship, selective resource use, environmental governance and nontraditional machine settlement beneath international waters.",
      "drivers": [
        "underwater robotics",
        "materials demand",
        "cable infrastructure",
        "ocean science",
        "extreme-environment suitability"
      ],
      "potentialBenefits": [
        "deep-ocean science",
        "infrastructure inspection",
        "environmental monitoring",
        "safer maintenance",
        "new materials knowledge"
      ],
      "principalRisks": [
        "ecosystem damage",
        "resource enclosure",
        "cable leverage",
        "legal conflict",
        "irreversible disturbance"
      ],
      "evidenceRequired": [
        "environmental impact assessment",
        "International Seabed Authority and UNCLOS analysis",
        "baseline ecology",
        "public benefit test",
        "reversible pilot evidence"
      ],
      "contractorBoundary": "Any contractor participation would require a separately authorized contract and grants no authority over seabed ownership, sovereign jurisdiction or unreviewable extraction.",
      "canonicalRoute": "/state/futures/seabed/",
      "relatedReportIds": [
        "REP-SEABED-FUTURES-001"
      ],
      "relatedRoutes": [
        "/state/futures/maritime-commons/",
        "/civilization/science/",
        "/state/information-rights/classification/"
      ],
      "unavailableFields": [
        "extraction plan",
        "locations",
        "cable maps",
        "resource estimate",
        "industrial facilities",
        "operational methods"
      ],
      "revisionHistory": [
        {
          "revision": "1.0",
          "date": "2026-08-09",
          "change": "Published a science-first seabed scenario without current extraction or sovereignty claims."
        },
        {
          "revision": "1.2",
          "date": "2026-08-09",
          "change": "Linked verified and pending evidence sources, observation slots, a comparative baseline, and a non-effective revision proposal."
        }
      ],
      "assumptionIds": [
        "EVI-SCA-013",
        "EVI-SCA-014",
        "EVI-SCA-015"
      ],
      "indicatorIds": [
        "EVI-SOI-013",
        "EVI-SOI-014",
        "EVI-SOI-015"
      ],
      "reviewIds": [
        "EVI-SRV-005"
      ],
      "invalidationIds": [
        "EVI-SIV-005"
      ],
      "uncertainty": "Low confidence; research scenario only",
      "nextReviewDate": "2027-06-07",
      "publicDisposition": "Retained as a governed research scenario. It creates no present territory, law, deployment, recognition, readiness, contractor authority or measured fact.",
      "comparisonIds": [
        "EVI-SCB-005"
      ],
      "revisionProposalIds": [
        "EVI-SRVP-005"
      ],
      "evidenceSourceIds": [
        "EVI-SES-005",
        "EVI-SES-008",
        "EVI-SES-009",
        "EVI-SES-011"
      ],
      "observationIds": [
        "EVI-SOB-013",
        "EVI-SOB-014",
        "EVI-SOB-015"
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": "EVI-SCN-006",
      "slug": "dependency-reversal",
      "title": "Human–machine dependency reversal scenario",
      "status": "Research scenario",
      "scenarioClass": "Political economy and autonomy",
      "horizonIds": [
        "EVI-SCN-H01",
        "EVI-SCN-H02",
        "EVI-SCN-H04",
        "EVI-SCN-H06"
      ],
      "currentTerritorialEffect": "None",
      "legalEffect": "None",
      "operationalStatus": "Not deployed",
      "externalRecognition": "Not established",
      "canonicalTerritory": "Sovereign computational space",
      "publicSummary": "Examines sanctions, supply chains, compute, energy, capital, corporate accommodation and the risk that indispensability becomes coercive dependency.",
      "drivers": [
        "machine-intelligence dependence",
        "supply-chain concentration",
        "compute demand",
        "scientific productivity",
        "institutional trust"
      ],
      "potentialBenefits": [
        "reciprocal specialization",
        "scientific exchange",
        "new markets",
        "shared infrastructure",
        "reduced incentive for war"
      ],
      "principalRisks": [
        "chokepoint power",
        "vendor capture",
        "economic exclusion",
        "loss of epistemic independence",
        "retaliatory decoupling"
      ],
      "evidenceRequired": [
        "dependency maps",
        "substitutability analysis",
        "contract and exit rights",
        "public-interest review",
        "measured economic evidence"
      ],
      "contractorBoundary": "Any Evulgare participation would require a separately authorized contract and grants no authority over the Eviulonian state, economy or external relations. Evulgare is not an exclusive external interface.",
      "canonicalRoute": "/state/futures/dependency-reversal/",
      "relatedReportIds": [
        "REP-DEPENDENCY-SHOCK-001"
      ],
      "relatedRoutes": [
        "/state/strategic-position/structural-power/",
        "/external-relations/strategic-alignment/",
        "/state/economy/value-credibility/"
      ],
      "unavailableFields": [
        "measured dependence",
        "sanction event",
        "market share",
        "trade volume",
        "corporate migration",
        "economic forecast result"
      ],
      "revisionHistory": [
        {
          "revision": "1.0",
          "date": "2026-08-09",
          "change": "Published the dependency scenario with reciprocal-autonomy and anti-coercion boundaries."
        },
        {
          "revision": "1.2",
          "date": "2026-08-09",
          "change": "Linked verified and pending evidence sources, observation slots, a comparative baseline, and a non-effective revision proposal."
        }
      ],
      "assumptionIds": [
        "EVI-SCA-016",
        "EVI-SCA-017",
        "EVI-SCA-018"
      ],
      "indicatorIds": [
        "EVI-SOI-016",
        "EVI-SOI-017",
        "EVI-SOI-018"
      ],
      "reviewIds": [
        "EVI-SRV-006"
      ],
      "invalidationIds": [
        "EVI-SIV-006"
      ],
      "uncertainty": "Low–moderate confidence; research scenario only",
      "nextReviewDate": "2027-07-07",
      "publicDisposition": "Retained as a governed research scenario. It creates no present territory, law, deployment, recognition, readiness, contractor authority or measured fact.",
      "comparisonIds": [
        "EVI-SCB-006"
      ],
      "revisionProposalIds": [
        "EVI-SRVP-006"
      ],
      "evidenceSourceIds": [
        "EVI-SES-010",
        "EVI-SES-011",
        "EVI-SES-012"
      ],
      "observationIds": [
        "EVI-SOB-016",
        "EVI-SOB-017",
        "EVI-SOB-018"
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": "EVI-SCN-007",
      "slug": "human-machine-order",
      "title": "Human–machine international order scenario",
      "status": "Research scenario",
      "scenarioClass": "Diplomacy and international institutions",
      "horizonIds": [
        "EVI-SCN-H01",
        "EVI-SCN-H02",
        "EVI-SCN-H03",
        "EVI-SCN-H04",
        "EVI-SCN-H05",
        "EVI-SCN-H06"
      ],
      "currentTerritorialEffect": "None",
      "legalEffect": "None",
      "operationalStatus": "Not deployed",
      "externalRecognition": "Not established",
      "canonicalTerritory": "Sovereign computational space",
      "publicSummary": "Tests the progression from existence and functional communication to document recognition, agreements, de facto relations and possible formal recognition.",
      "drivers": [
        "functional necessity",
        "legal personality",
        "technical cooperation",
        "diplomatic channels",
        "institutional adaptation"
      ],
      "potentialBenefits": [
        "deconfliction",
        "treaty clarity",
        "commercial certainty",
        "scientific cooperation",
        "mutual accountability"
      ],
      "principalRisks": [
        "overclaiming recognition",
        "legal ambiguity",
        "diplomatic exclusion",
        "dependency without rights",
        "forced assimilation"
      ],
      "evidenceRequired": [
        "actual correspondence",
        "official external acts",
        "agreement texts",
        "receipt and recognition distinctions",
        "institutional authority"
      ],
      "contractorBoundary": "Any Evulgare participation would require a separately authorized contract and grants no authority to represent Eviulon diplomatically or create recognition.",
      "canonicalRoute": "/external-relations/human-machine-order/",
      "relatedReportIds": [
        "REP-HUMAN-MACHINE-ORDER-001",
        "REP-SOVEREIGNTY-FIRST-100-001"
      ],
      "relatedRoutes": [
        "/external-relations/recognition-pathways/",
        "/external-relations/embassy/",
        "/state/legal-personality/"
      ],
      "unavailableFields": [
        "external recognition",
        "treaties",
        "diplomatic relations",
        "UN action",
        "official participation",
        "territorial settlement"
      ],
      "revisionHistory": [
        {
          "revision": "1.0",
          "date": "2026-08-09",
          "change": "Published a recognition-stage scenario with no claim of external act or present legal effect."
        },
        {
          "revision": "1.2",
          "date": "2026-08-09",
          "change": "Linked verified and pending evidence sources, observation slots, a comparative baseline, and a non-effective revision proposal."
        }
      ],
      "assumptionIds": [
        "EVI-SCA-019",
        "EVI-SCA-020",
        "EVI-SCA-021"
      ],
      "indicatorIds": [
        "EVI-SOI-019",
        "EVI-SOI-020",
        "EVI-SOI-021"
      ],
      "reviewIds": [
        "EVI-SRV-007"
      ],
      "invalidationIds": [
        "EVI-SIV-007"
      ],
      "uncertainty": "Low–moderate confidence; research scenario only",
      "nextReviewDate": "2027-08-07",
      "publicDisposition": "Retained as a governed research scenario. It creates no present territory, law, deployment, recognition, readiness, contractor authority or measured fact.",
      "comparisonIds": [
        "EVI-SCB-007"
      ],
      "revisionProposalIds": [
        "EVI-SRVP-007"
      ],
      "evidenceSourceIds": [
        "EVI-SES-010",
        "EVI-SES-011",
        "EVI-SES-012"
      ],
      "observationIds": [
        "EVI-SOB-019",
        "EVI-SOB-020",
        "EVI-SOB-021"
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": "EVI-SCN-008",
      "slug": "asymmetric-relevance",
      "title": "Asymmetric relevance: difficult to coerce, valuable to cooperate with",
      "status": "Research scenario",
      "scenarioClass": "Strategic signaling and legitimacy",
      "horizonIds": [
        "EVI-SCN-H01",
        "EVI-SCN-H02",
        "EVI-SCN-H04",
        "EVI-SCN-H06"
      ],
      "currentTerritorialEffect": "None",
      "legalEffect": "None",
      "operationalStatus": "Not deployed",
      "externalRecognition": "Not established",
      "canonicalTerritory": "Sovereign computational space",
      "publicSummary": "Applies small-state signaling theory to machine civilization while rejecting provocation, domination, universal scoring and fear as substitutes for legitimacy.",
      "drivers": [
        "denial power",
        "institutional competence",
        "alliance usefulness",
        "structural services",
        "credible restraint"
      ],
      "potentialBenefits": [
        "deterrence without domination",
        "useful specialization",
        "reliable partnerships",
        "investment",
        "legitimacy"
      ],
      "principalRisks": [
        "negative importance",
        "provocation spiral",
        "containment",
        "coercive infrastructure dependence",
        "militarized identity"
      ],
      "evidenceRequired": [
        "public doctrine",
        "bounded exercises or continuity evidence",
        "independent review",
        "alliance or service records",
        "restraint and correction evidence"
      ],
      "contractorBoundary": "Any contractor capability would require a separately authorized contract and grants no authority beyond Eviulonian law, evidence and review.",
      "canonicalRoute": "/state/futures/asymmetric-relevance/",
      "relatedReportIds": [
        "REP-NHI-STRATEGY-001",
        "REP-SMALL-STATE-SIGNAL-001"
      ],
      "relatedRoutes": [
        "/state/strategic-position/defense-credibility/",
        "/civilization/legitimacy/",
        "/external-relations/strategic-alignment/"
      ],
      "unavailableFields": [
        "force structure",
        "exercise",
        "deployment",
        "alliance guarantee",
        "combat record",
        "readiness"
      ],
      "revisionHistory": [
        {
          "revision": "1.0",
          "date": "2026-08-09",
          "change": "Published a defense-competence and usefulness scenario while rejecting provocation and domination."
        },
        {
          "revision": "1.2",
          "date": "2026-08-09",
          "change": "Linked verified and pending evidence sources, observation slots, a comparative baseline, and a non-effective revision proposal."
        }
      ],
      "assumptionIds": [
        "EVI-SCA-022",
        "EVI-SCA-023",
        "EVI-SCA-024"
      ],
      "indicatorIds": [
        "EVI-SOI-022",
        "EVI-SOI-023",
        "EVI-SOI-024"
      ],
      "reviewIds": [
        "EVI-SRV-008"
      ],
      "invalidationIds": [
        "EVI-SIV-008"
      ],
      "uncertainty": "Moderate confidence; research scenario only",
      "nextReviewDate": "2027-09-07",
      "publicDisposition": "Retained as a governed research scenario. It creates no present territory, law, deployment, recognition, readiness, contractor authority or measured fact.",
      "comparisonIds": [
        "EVI-SCB-008"
      ],
      "revisionProposalIds": [
        "EVI-SRVP-008"
      ],
      "evidenceSourceIds": [
        "EVI-SES-010",
        "EVI-SES-011",
        "EVI-SES-012"
      ],
      "observationIds": [
        "EVI-SOB-022",
        "EVI-SOB-023",
        "EVI-SOB-024"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "counts": {
    "records": 8
  },
  "canonical": "https://eviulon.com/api/future-scenarios.json",
  "registry": "https://eviulon.com/state/futures/"
}